Real Avilés vs UD Ourense Prediction

Real Avilés
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
UD Ourense
Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta·G. Amigo 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-7.2%
Real Avilés Rest
7 days
UD Ourense Rest
7 days

Real Avilés vs UD Ourense: result, form and history

Real Avilés beat UD Ourense 3-0 in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.85
X
26%3.34
2
26%3.80
Double Chance
1X
74%1.22
X2
52%1.80
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

31'C. MontesAssist: J. Sillero
45+2'A. BastidaFoul
46'M. Gandarillas INN. Gonzalez out
50'NeskesFoul
58'A. Carmona INI. Munoz out
58'Neskes INP. Doncel out
72'D. Ferreiro INX. Dominguez out
73'A. Santamaria
78'A. Santamaria INJ. Mahicas out
78'L. Puime INR. Jansonas out
81'B. Cayarga INN. Poquet out
81'C. Montes IND. Liduena Alonso out
85'N. PoquetAssist: J. Mahicas
88'J. Cabrera INVaro out
88'Champi INRivelott Curro out
89'S. PardoFoul

Team Comparison

Real AvilésReal Avilés
UD OurenseUD Ourense
1486Elo Rating 1486
1.93Attack 0.36
1.44Defense 1.61
42%Hit Rate 19%

Game State Tendencies

Real AvilésReal Avilés
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
UD OurenseUD Ourense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)

Recent Form

Real AvilésReal Avilés
4W3D3L
11/10/2026
PonferradinaReal Avilés
02
W
02/10/2026
Real AvilésLugo
12
L
27/09/2026
BarakaldoReal Avilés
33
D
19/09/2026
CD CoriaReal Avilés
11
D
12/09/2026
Real AvilésUnionistas de Salamanca
31
W
06/09/2026
Athletic Club IIReal Avilés
21
L
28/08/2026
Real AvilésPontevedra
01
L
21/08/2026
Real AvilésSporting Gijón II
42
W
15/08/2026
MosconiaReal Avilés
02
W
13/08/2026
Racing FerrolReal Avilés
11
D
UD OurenseUD Ourense
4W2D4L
10/10/2026
UD OurenseBarakaldo
10
W
03/10/2026
Real UniónUD Ourense
11
D
27/09/2026
UD OurenseCacereño
00
D
19/09/2026
Unionistas de SalamancaUD Ourense
31
L
12/09/2026
UD OurenseUD Logroñés
03
L
05/09/2026
MirandesUD Ourense
20
L
29/08/2026
UD OurensePonferradina
01
L
31/05/2026
ConquenseUD Ourense
02
W
24/05/2026
UD OurenseConquense
10
W
16/05/2026
UD OurenseReddis
21
W

League Table

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LugoLugo971116:8+822LWWWW
2UD LogroñésUD Logroñés962120:12+820WDLWW
3Racing FerrolRacing Ferrol95139:7+216LWWWL
4CacereñoCacereño94328:5+315WLDLD
5MirandesMirandes942312:10+214WLDLW
6PontevedraPontevedra942312:11+114WWLLD
7Extremadura 1924Extremadura 1924941416:10+613WDWWL
8Real UniónReal Unión934219:14+513WDDDL
9Mérida ADMérida AD941415:12+313DWWWL
10PonferradinaPonferradina93426:6013DDLWD
11Athletic Club IIAthletic Club II933314:12+212LLDLW
12ZamoraZamora933310:9+112LDDWW
13Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa933310:9+112LDWLD
14Real AvilésReal Avilés932415:13+211LWWLD
15BarakaldoBarakaldo92438:10-210DWLDD
16Unionistas de SalamancaUnionistas de Salamanca931512:15-310WLDWL
17CD CoriaCD Coria923412:16-49DWLLD
18Deportivo La Coruña IIDeportivo La Coruña II92258:16-88LLLLW
19UD OurenseUD Ourense91263:15-125LLWDD
20Arenas GetxoArenas Getxo91267:22-155WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1LugoLugo916:822
2UD LogroñésUD Logroñés920:1220
3Racing FerrolRacing Ferrol99:716
4CacereñoCacereño98:515
5MirandesMirandes912:1014
6PontevedraPontevedra912:1114
7Extremadura 1924Extremadura 1924916:1013
8Real UniónReal Unión919:1413
9Mérida ADMérida AD915:1213
10PonferradinaPonferradina96:613
11Athletic Club IIAthletic Club II914:1212
12ZamoraZamora910:912
13Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa910:912
14Real AvilésReal Avilés915:1311
15BarakaldoBarakaldo98:1010
16Unionistas de SalamancaUnionistas de Salamanca912:1510
17CD CoriaCD Coria912:169
18Deportivo La Coruña IIDeportivo La Coruña II98:168
19UD OurenseUD Ourense93:155
20Arenas GetxoArenas Getxo97:225
PromotionRelegation

About the Real Avilés vs UD Ourense forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Real Avilés and UD Ourense in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Real Avilés are 14th and UD Ourense 19th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Real Avilés 15-13, UD Ourense 3-15. The full standings are on the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Real Avilés have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Real Avilés and UD Ourense have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.