Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg Prediction
Russia · Regular Season - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg: the result in context
Rodina Moskva and FC Orenburg drew 2-2 in the Premier League on 19 Oct 2026. FC Orenburg had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Rodina Moskva.
Referee Inal Tanashev averages 5.30 cards a game, 0.71 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Rodina Moskva
Avg ratingAvg rating
13S. Volkov
2I. Silva
50R. Becão
75M. Nadé
20D. Machado
5A. Egorychev
38L. Musaev
9A. Maksimenko
10Y. Reyna
17S. Bakaev
7G. Onugkha
1B. Ovsyannikov
24M. Sivis
6J. Palacios
5A. Tataev
26E. Tsenov
78R. Kul
57E. Bolotov
10J. Thompson
8D. Puebla
20D. Rybchinskiy
30G. GuzinaRodina Moskva Substitutes
FC Orenburg Substitutes
Match Stats
Rodina MoskvaFC Orenburg Team Comparison
Rodina MoskvaFC OrenburgGame State Tendencies
Rodina Moskva- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC Orenburg- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Rodina Moskva0Wins · 0%1Wins · 100%Previous meetings
18/08/2026Rodina MoskvaFC OrenburgRecent Form
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
Spartak Moscow
CSKA MoscowRodina Moskva
DynamoRodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
Rubin
Krylia SovetovRodina Moskva
Dinamo MakhachkalaRodina MoskvaSpartak MoscowRodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
BaltikaDynamoRodina MoskvaRodina MoskvaFC OrenburgFC OrenburgRubinFC OrenburgFC OrenburgDinamo MakhachkalaFC Orenburg
Tekstilshchik
LokomotivFC OrenburgFC Orenburg
FC KrasnodarDynamoFC OrenburgFC Orenburg
AkronFC OrenburgRubinSpartak MoscowFC Orenburg
FakelFC OrenburgReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.30 cards a match, 0.71 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.59).
Cards come from 23 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | +14 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Dynamo | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | +7 | 25 | LWWWW |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | 25 | WLWWD |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 20:14 | +6 | 23 | DDLDD |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:10 | +11 | 23 | LWDWW |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14:12 | +2 | 16 | WDWDL |
| 7 |  FC Rostov | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 15 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 15 | WLDDW |
| 9 | Baltika | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | +2 | 14 | DDDLD |
| 10 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 13 | LDLLL |
| 11 | Rubin | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 12 | Akron | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 | WDLWD |
| 13 | Lokomotiv | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 11 | LDWDL |
| 14 |  Akhmat | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 11 | LLDLW |
| 15 | Rodina Moskva | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:27 | -14 | 9 | WDLDL |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 6 | LWLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 12 | 27:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Dynamo | 12 | 19:12 | 25 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 12 | 21:12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 12 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 12 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 12 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 7 | FC Rostov | 12 | 13:17 | 15 |
| 8 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 9 | Baltika | 12 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 12 | 16:23 | 13 |
| 11 | Rubin | 12 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 12 | Akron | 12 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv | 12 | 16:16 | 11 |
| 14 | Akhmat | 12 | 15:17 | 11 |
| 15 | Rodina Moskva | 12 | 13:27 | 9 |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 8:20 | 6 |
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About the Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Rodina Moskva and FC Orenburg in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, FC Orenburg are 6th and Rodina Moskva 15th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Rodina Moskva 13-27, FC Orenburg 14-12. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
FC Orenburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Rodina Moskva and FC Orenburg have met only 1 time recently, with 5.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.