Rubin vs Fakel Prediction

Rubin
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Fakel
Ak Bars Arena, Kazan·Danil Kashirin 31/10/2026
RubinRubin
1-0
Finished
FakelFakel

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-2.9%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.64
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+3.2%
Rubin Rest
2 days
Fakel Rest
3 days

Rubin vs Fakel: the result in context

Rubin beat Fakel 1-0 in the Premier League on 31 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Fakel had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Rubin.

Rubin have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 1.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.06
X
28%3.30
2
22%4.21
Double Chance
1X
78%1.25
X2
50%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%2.04
No
45%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.09 = 2.61
Over 1.5
69%1.45
Over 2.5
44%2.45
Over 3.5
24%4.42
Under 1.5
31%2.74
Under 2.5
56%1.54
Under 3.5
76%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.3 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.62
Over 9.5
43%2.06
Over 10.5
32%2.54
Under 8.5
45%2.16
Under 9.5
57%1.73
Under 10.5
68%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.5 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%-
Over 4.5
46%-
Under 3.5
35%-
Under 4.5
54%-

Match Events

11'Ilnur AlshinFoul
25'Aleksandr KoksharovFoul
35'Ugochukwu IwuFoul
38'Eddie Salcedo
57'Ilya SamoshnikovFoul
58'Ugochukwu Iwu INBogdan Jočić out
58'Ulvi Babaev INNazmi Gripshi out
61'Aleksandr Koksharov INAxel Gnapi out
61'Belajdi Pusi INMaksim Turishchev out
67'Ilya Samoshnikov INIlya Rozhkov out
67'Eddie Salcedo INDaniil Motorin out
69'Vyacheslav Yakimov INRavil Netfullin out
69'Ilnur Alshin INHodaifa El Mhassani out
70'Ignacio SaavedraTime wasting
78'Butta Magomedov INNikolay Giorgobiani out
87'Ilya RozhkovFoul
87'Matvey BardachevDissent
90+3'Ignacio Saavedra INDenil Maldonado out

Lineups

Rubin
5-3-2Coach: Oleg Kuzmin
Fakel
5-3-2Coach: Aleksey Rebko
Avg rating7.03
Avg rating6.39
E. Staver7.238E. Staver
A. Arroyo6.912A. Arroyo
N. Lobov7.698N. Lobov
I. Vujačić7.55I. Vujačić
E. Teslenko7.52E. Teslenko
I. Samoshnikov6.871I. Samoshnikov
V. Hodža6.222V. Hodža
U. Iwu6.76U. Iwu
I. Saavedra6.614I. Saavedra
E. Salcedo7.710E. Salcedo
U. Babaev7.17U. Babaev
I. Obukhov6.796I. Obukhov
A. Kovalev6.517A. Kovalev
I. Yurganov6.120I. Yurganov
Clayton7.040Clayton
M. Bardachev5.653M. Bardachev
I. Alshin6.810I. Alshin
B. Magomedov6.297B. Magomedov
V. Yakimov6.423V. Yakimov
A. Bagamaev6.68A. Bagamaev
B. Pusi6.019B. Pusi
A. Koksharov5.990A. Koksharov

Rubin Substitutes

23R. Bezrukov
11N. Gripshi58'for Ulvi Babaev7.1
27A. Gritsaenko
8B. Jočić58'for Ugochukwu Iwu6.9
70D. Kabutov
3D. Maldonado90+3'for Ignacio Saavedra7.0
59D. N. Motorin67'for Eddie Salcedo6.6
25A. Nigmatullin
51I. Rozhkov67'for Ilya Samoshnikov87'7.0
99D. Shabanhaxhaj
43J. Siwe
39Ilya Ezhov

Fakel Substitutes

44Y. Zhuravlev
7M. Turishchev61'for Belajdi Pusi6.5
18K. Simonov
52R. Netfullin69'for Vyacheslav Yakimov6.9
27S. Magkeev
9A. Gnapi Dable61'for Aleksandr Koksharov6.2
99N. Giorgobiani78'for Butta Magomedov6.3
1D. Frolkin
22H. El Mahasni69'for Ilnur Alshin6.4
35V. Dorovskikh
25A. Belyaev

Match Stats

RubinFakel
43%Ball Possession57%
2Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots1
16Fouls13
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
394Total Passes513
296Passes Accurate403
13Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

RubinRubin
FakelFakel
1476Elo Rating 1458
0.17Attack 0.72
0.69Defense 1.87
0%Hit Rate 36%
12.2Shots per Game 10.5
3.3Shots on Target 3.0
3.1Corners per Game 4.5
2.2Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

RubinRubin
  • No tendency data available
FakelFakel
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

RubinRubin4Wins · 66%
Draws117%
FakelFakel1Wins · 17%
1.3Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6

Previous meetings

Premier League27/04/2025
RubinFakel
21
Cup01/10/2024
RubinFakel
01
Premier League27/09/2024
FakelRubin
00
Cup27/08/2024
FakelRubin
02
Premier League26/11/2023
RubinFakel Voronezh
10
Premier League25/09/2023
Fakel VoronezhRubin
01

Recent Form

FakelFakel
4W1D5L
27/10/2026
FakelAkhmat
3010
W
24/10/2026
FakelRodina Moskva
01
L
17/10/2026
Krylia SovetovFakel
12
W
13/10/2026
FC KrasnodarFakel
02
W
10/10/2026
FakelLokomotiv
05
L
03/10/2026
FakelFC Vitebsk
10
W
16/09/2026
Spartak MoscowFakel
10
L
12/09/2026
FakelBaltika
22
D
05/09/2026
FC RostovFakel
31
L
01/09/2026
FakelFC Krasnodar
3141
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
2ZenitZenit1290327:13+1427WWWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1272321:10+1123LWDWW
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1236317:17015WLDDW
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1225516:16011LDWDL
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1321:1228
2ZenitZenit1227:1327
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1221:1023
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1217:1715
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1216:1611
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the Rubin vs Fakel forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rubin and Fakel in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Rubin are 10th and Fakel 16th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Rubin 13-18, Fakel 8-21. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.