Santa Clara vs Rio Ave Prediction

Santa Clara
4-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Rio Ave
A. Rodrigues 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.74
SignalGOODModel47%RiskMediumGap+9.7%
Santa Clara Rest
8 days
Rio Ave Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.84
X
26%3.26
2
24%4.52
Double Chance
1X
76%1.20
X2
50%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%2.00
No
63%1.74
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 0.86 = 2.30
Over 1.5
37%1.39
Over 2.5
19%2.21
Over 3.5
17%4.05
Under 1.5
63%2.89
Under 2.5
81%1.65
Under 3.5
83%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4 = 9.5
Over 8.5
53%1.60
Over 9.5
40%2.00
Over 10.5
31%2.54
Under 8.5
47%2.12
Under 9.5
60%1.73
Under 10.5
69%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.8 = 3.4
Over 3.5
43%1.41
Over 4.5
25%1.89
Under 3.5
57%2.50
Under 4.5
75%1.82

Match Events

3'Brenner Lucas Goncalves SantosAssist: Vinicius lopes
45'Diogo Bezerra INMalik Sellouki out
45'Marios Vrushai INPedro Amaral out
45'Dario Špikić INSebastian Clemensen out
47'Tiago RibeiroAssist: Gonçalo Paciência
52'Vinicius lopes
64'Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro INRoland Galcik out
66'Tiago Ribeiro INDani Borges out
66'Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos INLuiz Fernando Salles De Castro out
76'Vinicius lopes INJoao Vasconcelos out
76'Gonçalo Paciência INLuis Fernando Santos Oliveira out
77'Andreas Ntoi INJoão Tomé Baptista out
83'Tamas NikitscherFoul
84'Dani Borges
85'José Tavares INFrederico Medeiros Silva out
90'Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira

Lineups

Santa Clara
4-2-3-1Coach: Petit
Rio Ave
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Silaidopoulos
Lucas França1L. FrançaLucas França
Lucas Soares42L. SoaresLucas Soares
Pedro Pacheco4P. PachecoPedro Pacheco
Emanuel Fernandes21E. FernandesEmanuel Fernandes
Guilherme Romão5G. RomãoGuilherme Romão
Pedro Ferreira6P. FerreiraPedro Ferreira
José Luís Rocha Tavares8J. Luís Rocha TavaresJosé Luís Rocha Tavares
Vinícius Lopes70V. LopesVinícius Lopes
Tiago Ribeiro20T. RibeiroTiago Ribeiro
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos10B. Lucas Gonçalves SantosBrenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
Gonçalo Paciência9G. PaciênciaGonçalo Paciência
E. van der Gouw99E. van der GouwE. van der Gouw
G. Liavas54G. LiavasG. Liavas
F. Petrasso23F. PetrassoF. Petrasso
Gustavo Mancha39G. ManchaGustavo Mancha
M. Vrousai17M. VrousaiM. Vrousai
T. Nikitscher44T. NikitscherT. Nikitscher
A. Ntoi5A. NtoiA. Ntoi
Diogo Bezerra7D. BezerraDiogo Bezerra
J. Blesa11J. BlesaJ. Blesa
D. Špikić77D. ŠpikićD. Špikić
Tamble Monteiro9T. MonteiroTamble Monteiro

Santa Clara Substitutes

99SorrisoF
25F. MedeirosF
11Welinton TorrãoF
12NenecaG
3Henrique SilvaD
22VitinhoM
41Daniel BorgesM
18A. DuarteF
73Léo JacóF
80Tiago Ribeiro DuarteF
7Luis Fernando Santos OliveiraF
17João VasconcelosM

Rio Ave Substitutes

22K. ChamorroG
79M. PatricioM
20João ToméD
30R. GalčíkF
24Pedro AmaralD
80S. ClemmensenF
60CaikeD
27T. MedinaM
98Rodrigo Ramos RealG
19M. SelloukiM
70A. WenckM
67SamuelF

Match Stats

Santa ClaraRio Ave
58%Ball Possession42%
8Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots5
6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal1
14Shots Inside Box3
2Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots1
12Fouls9
3Goalkeeper Saves2
499Total Passes356
444Passes Accurate301
8Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Santa ClaraSanta Clara
Rio AveRio Ave
1680Elo Rating 1557
1.96Attack 1.14
2.54Defense 0.21
81%Hit Rate 17%
12.9Shots per Game 7.6
3.9Shots on Target 2.9
3.6Corners per Game 3.3
2.3Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+123 Elo
📈BTTS Trend42% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Santa ClaraSanta Clara
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Rio AveRio Ave
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Santa Clara 17%Draw 42%41% Rio Ave
1.83Avg Goals
42%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Santa ClaraSanta Clara
3W2D0L
Rio AveRio Ave
2W0D3L
28/08/2026
Rio AveSporting CP
04
L
22/08/2026
EstorilRio Ave
02
W
15/08/2026
Rio AveFC Porto
02
L
09/08/2026
GIL VicenteRio Ave
10
L
01/08/2026
Rio AveTondela
31
W

Referee Profile

A. Rodrigues · 10 matches analysed

4.1Avg Yellows
4.3Avg Cards
24.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 32% of referees analysed

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto660015:2+1318WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica651021:4+1716WWWWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP642015:6+914DWWWW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara642011:4+714WWDWW
5AroucaArouca63128:5+310LDWLW
6EstrelaEstrela624014:12+210DWDWD
7SC BragaSC Braga53117:5+210WLWWD
8Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu62227:9-28WWLDL
9GIL VicenteGIL Vicente52124:407LLDWW
10MaritimoMaritimo62137:11-47LLLDW
11MoreirenseMoreirense62137:13-67WLLWL
12AlvercaAlverca61238:11-35WLDLD
13FamalicaoFamalicao60425:7-24DDDLL
14Vitória SCVitória SC61144:7-34LDLWL
15NacionalNacional61147:11-44LLLLW
16Rio AveRio Ave61145:14-94DLLWL
17EstorilEstoril60242:8-62LDLLL
18Casa PiaCasa Pia60151:15-141LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto615:218
2BenficaBenfica621:416
3Sporting CPSporting CP615:614
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara611:414
5AroucaArouca68:510
6EstrelaEstrela614:1210
7SC BragaSC Braga57:510
8Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu67:98
9GIL VicenteGIL Vicente54:47
10MaritimoMaritimo67:117
11MoreirenseMoreirense67:137
12AlvercaAlverca68:115
13FamalicaoFamalicao65:74
14Vitória SCVitória SC64:74
15NacionalNacional67:114
16Rio AveRio Ave65:144
17EstorilEstoril62:82
18Casa PiaCasa Pia61:151
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Santa Clara vs Rio Ave Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primeira Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primeira Liga

ScorePredicts covers Portugal football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Santa Clara have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Santa Clara and Rio Ave have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.83 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.