Alverca vs Santa Clara Prediction

Alverca
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Santa Clara
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo·Diogo Rosa, Portugal 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-0.8%
Value Analysis
55%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.01
SignalNEUTRALModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Alverca Rest
6 days
Santa Clara Rest
5 days

Alverca vs Santa Clara: the result in context

Alverca and Santa Clara drew 1-1 in the Primeira Liga on 29 Aug 2026. Santa Clara had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Alverca.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.70
X
31%3.00
2
30%2.85
Double Chance
1X
70%1.40
X2
61%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%2.01
No
45%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.13 = 2.40
Over 1.5
68%1.48
Over 2.5
44%2.50
Over 3.5
21%4.83
Under 1.5
32%2.62
Under 2.5
56%1.53
Under 3.5
79%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.6 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.56
Over 9.5
53%1.98
Over 10.5
41%2.48
Under 8.5
36%2.23
Under 9.5
47%1.76
Under 10.5
59%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.6 = 5.2
Over 3.5
75%1.26
Over 4.5
51%1.52
Under 3.5
25%3.60
Under 4.5
49%2.33

Match Events

21'Nabil Touaizi INDiogo Spencer out
60'Emanuel MoreiraPersistent infringement
63'Ian Luccas INVasco da Silva Moreira out
63'Tiago Ribeiro INVitor Hugo Amorim de Assis out
63'Luiz Fernando Salles De Castro INBrenner Lucas Goncalves Santos out
69'Vivaldo SemedoAssist: Isaac James
71'Gonçalo Paciência INLuis Fernando Santos Oliveira out
71'Vinicius lopes INWelinton Torrão out
74'Vivaldo Semedo INSamy Jr Merheg Enciso out
75'Francisco Chissumba INSergi Gómez out
75'André Vidigal INMarco Essimi out
85'José Tavares INLéo Jacó out
87'Brenner Lucas Goncalves SantosAssist: Welinton Torrão
90+3'Lucas Figueiredo dos SantosArgument
90+3'Brenner Lucas Goncalves SantosArgument

Lineups

Alverca
3-4-2-1Coach: Sérgio Ferreira
Santa Clara
4-2-3-1Coach: Petit
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating6.57
Mateus Oliveira7.031M. Oliveira
S. Baseya6.914S. Baseya
Y. Bojang7.04Y. Bojang
I. James7.112I. James
Zoubdi6.52Zoubdi
Ian Luccas6.425I. Luccas
Rayan6.635Rayan
Francisco Chissumba6.655F. Chissumba
André Vidigal6.17A. Vidigal
Figueiredo6.322Figueiredo
Vivaldo Semedo7.99V. Semedo
Lucas França5.91L. França
Diogo Calila6.22D. Calila
Emanuel Fernandes6.421E. Fernandes
Guilherme Romão6.25G. Romão
Pedro Ferreira6.76P. Ferreira
José Luís Rocha Tavares6.38J. Luís Rocha Tavares
Sorriso6.199Sorriso
Tiago Ribeiro6.920T. Ribeiro
Vinícius Lopes6.870V. Lopes
Gonçalo Paciência6.49G. Paciência

Alverca Substitutes

19M. Essimi Ateba75'for André Vidigal6.5
21Sergi Gómez75'for Francisco Chissumba6.9
6D. Gui
91Jhonatan
15I. Julian
18Z. Kassary
8Vasco Moreira63'for Ian Luccas6.2
11C. Nuozzi
20Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques21'for Nabil Touaizi6.1
27Toni Tamarit
93Zé Rafael

Santa Clara Substitutes

22Vitinho63'for Tiago Ribeiro6.7
3Henrique Silva
12Neneca
42Lucas Soares
10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos63'for Luiz Fernando Salles De Castro87'90+3'8.2
73Léo Jacó85'for José Tavares6.6
11Welinton Torrão71'for Vinicius lopes6.9
17João Vasconcelos
18A. Duarte

Match Stats

AlvercaSanta Clara
50%Ball Possession50%
10Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
5Total Shots15
1Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal5
3Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots7
14Fouls9
3Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
351Total Passes356
278Passes Accurate265
79%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

AlvercaAlverca
Santa ClaraSanta Clara
1626Elo Rating 1684
1.37Attack 1.20
2.39Defense 1.86
50%Hit Rate 34%
13.8Shots per Game 12.4
4.2Shots on Target 3.7
3.5Corners per Game 3.9
2.5Cards per Game 4.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

AlvercaAlverca
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Santa ClaraSanta Clara
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

AlvercaAlverca0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
Santa ClaraSanta Clara1Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga21/02/2026
AlvercaSanta Clara
11
Primeira Liga20/09/2025
Santa ClaraAlverca
21

Recent Form

AlvercaAlverca
3W2D5L
22/08/2026
Sporting CPAlverca
31
L
15/08/2026
AlvercaEstrela
22
D
09/08/2026
FC PortoAlverca
20
L
01/08/2026
AlvercaSporting CP B
10
W
25/07/2026
MafraAlverca
10
L
22/07/2026
AlvercaEstoril
20
W
17/07/2026
AlvercaCF Os Belenenses
21
W
16/05/2026
FamalicaoAlverca
10
L
10/05/2026
AlvercaEstoril
11
D
02/05/2026
FC PortoAlverca
10
L
Santa ClaraSanta Clara
7W2D1L
23/08/2026
Santa ClaraFamalicao
10
W
15/08/2026
Academico ViseuSanta Clara
01
W
10/08/2026
Santa ClaraNacional
22
D
25/07/2026
Santa ClaraArouca
30
W
22/07/2026
Santa ClaraFelgueiras 1932
11
D
22/07/2026
Santa ClaraMoreirense
21
W
18/07/2026
Santa ClaraParedes
20
W
15/07/2026
Santa ClaraLeça
40
W
16/05/2026
FC PortoSanta Clara
10
L
11/05/2026
Santa ClaraNacional
20
W

Referee Profile

Diogo Rosa69 matches

5.64Cards per match
5.46Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
28.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Diogo Rosa5.64
Other referees5.20

5.64 cards a match, 0.44 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).

Cards come from 28 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto10100025:4+2130WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica971126:8+1822WWLWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP1063123:11+1221WLWDD
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1063115:6+921WLWDW
5AroucaArouca1062213:7+620WWWDL
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1062215:12+320WWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente94238:7+114LWWDL
8MoreirenseMoreirense1042413:17-414WWLDW
9AlvercaAlverca932413:13011LWWWL
10SC BragaSC Braga93249:11-211LLLDW
11FamalicaoFamalicao924314:11+310WLWDD
12EstrelaEstrela1024415:19-410LLLLD
13Vitória SCVitória SC922510:1008WLDLD
14MaritimoMaritimo102269:21-128LLLDL
15NacionalNacional1021710:19-97LWLLL
16Rio AveRio Ave102179:23-147LLWLD
17Casa PiaCasa Pia102175:19-147LWLWL
18EstorilEstoril100285:19-142LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto1025:430
2BenficaBenfica926:822
3Sporting CPSporting CP1023:1121
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1015:621
5AroucaArouca1013:720
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1015:1220
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente98:714
8MoreirenseMoreirense1013:1714
9AlvercaAlverca913:1311
10SC BragaSC Braga99:1111
11FamalicaoFamalicao914:1110
12EstrelaEstrela1015:1910
13Vitória SCVitória SC910:108
14MaritimoMaritimo109:218
15NacionalNacional1010:197
16Rio AveRio Ave109:237
17Casa PiaCasa Pia105:197
18EstorilEstoril105:192
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Alverca vs Santa Clara forecast

The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Alverca and Santa Clara in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, Santa Clara are 4th and Alverca 9th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Alverca 13-13, Santa Clara 15-6. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Alverca and Santa Clara have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.