Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam Prediction

Sarpsborg 08 FF
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg·Kristoffer Hagenes, Norway 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
Value Analysis
78%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+12.1%
Sarpsborg 08 FF Rest
8 days
Ham-Kam Rest
3 days

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam: result, form and history

Sarpsborg 08 FF beat Ham-Kam 1-0 in the Eliteserien on 26 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sarpsborg 08 FF had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Ham-Kam.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 8 previous meetings averaged 4.1 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them. Referee Kristoffer Hagenes averages 3.86 cards a game, 0.59 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.73
X
28%3.88
2
21%4.20
Double Chance
1X
79%1.21
X2
49%2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.55
No
44%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.73 + 1.11 = 2.84
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
55%1.57
Over 3.5
32%2.38
Under 1.5
20%4.75
Under 2.5
45%2.35
Under 3.5
68%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.26
Over 9.5
52%1.43
Over 10.5
41%1.77
Under 8.5
38%3.23
Under 9.5
48%2.45
Under 10.5
59%1.94
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.5
41%-
Over 4.5
24%-
Under 3.5
59%-
Under 4.5
76%-

Match Events

27'M. Johnsgard
29'A. Nibe
33'D. Karlsbakk
46'F. Sjolstad INH. Opsahl out
52'A. EkerothMisses next match
58'A. Hiim
60'D. Benjamin INB. Isufi out
68'A. Nibe INO. Skarsem out
68'C. Niyukuri INM. Lode out
70'M. Johnsgard IND. Al Saed out
71'H. Opsahl
78'A. Sher INN. Williams out
84'B. UtvikMisses next match
84'S. Sorli INJ. Berget out
85'D. Karlsbakk INE. Wichne out
87'P. Metcalfe INS. Nilsen out

Lineups

Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2Coach: Even Sel
Ham-Kam
5-3-2Coach: Thomas Myhre
Avg rating6.98
Avg rating6.62
Leander Øy6.687L. Øy
Claus Niyukuri7.012C. Niyukuri
Bjorn Utvik7.24B. Utvik
Magnar OdegaardC6.95M. Odegaard
Anders Hiim6.621A. Hiim
Sondre Sörli7.210S. Sörli
Sander Christiansen7.58S. Christiansen
Aimar Sher8.06A. Sher
Andreas Hansen7.933A. Hansen
Daniel Karlsbakk7.311D. Karlsbakk
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen6.722V. Emanuel Halvorsen
Marcus Sandberg7.512M. Sandberg
Patrick Metcalfe6.626P. Metcalfe
Martin Gjone7.62M. Gjone
Fredrik SjolstadC6.223F. Sjolstad
Ethan Amundsen-Day6.73E. Amundsen-Day
Anton Ekeroth6.95A. Ekeroth
Markus Johnsgard5.98M. Johnsgard
Luc Mares7.014L. Mares
Aksel Baran Potur6.917A. Baran Potur
Henrik Udahl5.619H. Udahl
David Benjamin6.528D. Benjamin

Sarpsborg 08 FF Substitutes

2Marius Lode68'for C. Niyukuri6.6
77Olaus Skarsem68'for A. Nibe6.3
13Carljohan Eriksson
32Eirik Wichne85'for D. Karlsbakk6.7
81Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn
18Bop Guèye
17Noa Williams78'for A. Sher6.6
7Camil Mmaee
14Jo Inge Berget84'for S. Sorli6.5

Ham-Kam Substitutes

4Halvor Rodolen Opsahl46'for F. Sjolstad71'6.7
29Blerton Isufi60'for D. Benjamin6.3
24Danilo Al-Saed70'for M. Johnsgard6.3
13Sander Østraat
22Snorre Strand Nilsen87'for P. Metcalfe
7Viðar Ari Jónsson
6William Osnes-Ringen
18Gard Simenstad
20Julian Bakkeli Gonstad

Match Stats

Sarpsborg 08 FFHam-Kam
39%Ball Possession61%
4Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal9
6Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
19Fouls9
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
326Total Passes520
248Passes Accurate451
76%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-KamHam-Kam
1576Elo Rating 1580
2.18Attack 1.56
0.49Defense 1.03
56%Hit Rate 37%
22.9Shots per Game 13.0
6.5Shots on Target 2.7
10.8Corners per Game 4.1
2.0Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
Ham-KamHam-Kam
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF4Wins · 50%
Draws113%
Ham-KamHam-Kam3Wins · 37%
4.1Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
75%3+ goals6 of 8

Previous meetings

Eliteserien31/08/2025
Ham-KamSarpsborg 08 FF
13
Eliteserien11/05/2025
Sarpsborg 08 FFHam-Kam
40
Eliteserien20/10/2024
Ham-KamSarpsborg 08 FF
02
Eliteserien16/05/2024
Sarpsborg 08 FFHam-Kam
17
Eliteserien24/09/2023
Ham-KamSarpsborg 08 FF
11
Eliteserien16/07/2023
Sarpsborg 08 FFHam-Kam
23
Eliteserien04/09/2022
Sarpsborg 08 FFHam-Kam
21
Eliteserien26/06/2022
Ham-KamSarpsborg 08 FF
32

Recent Form

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
4W2D4L
18/07/2026
Kristiansund BKSarpsborg 08 FF
00
D
12/07/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
10
W
29/05/2026
BrannSarpsborg 08 FF
12
W
25/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFMolde
21
W
16/05/2026
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
32
L
09/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
21
W
03/05/2026
LillestromSarpsborg 08 FF
40
L
26/04/2026
KFUM OsloSarpsborg 08 FF
10
L
19/04/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFTromso
01
L
15/04/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFBodo/Glimt
11
D
Ham-KamHam-Kam
4W3D3L
22/07/2026
Bodo/GlimtHam-Kam
30
L
18/07/2026
Ham-KamTromso
14
L
12/07/2026
SandefjordHam-Kam
22
D
27/06/2026
IFK GoteborgHam-Kam
12
W
29/05/2026
AalesundHam-Kam
22
D
25/05/2026
Ham-KamLillestrom
20
W
16/05/2026
FredrikstadHam-Kam
21
L
08/05/2026
Ham-KamValerenga
10
W
03/05/2026
Kristiansund BKHam-Kam
11
D
26/04/2026
Ham-KamStart
21
W

Referee Profile

Kristoffer Hagenes129 matches

3.86Cards per match
3.70Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kristoffer Hagenes3.86
Other referees3.27

3.86 cards a match, 0.59 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.27).

Cards come from 102 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking26202469:27+4262WLWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt26202463:23+4062WWLWW
3RosenborgRosenborg26144853:32+2146WWWWD
4LillestromLillestrom26143939:35+445WWWWD
5MoldeMolde26135864:44+2044DLWWD
6TromsoTromso26117843:40+340LLLDD
7BrannBrann261031347:44+333DWLLL
8ValerengaValerenga26951243:47-432LWWWL
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF26871132:42-1031LLWLW
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo26871133:46-1331LDDDW
11Ham-KamHam-Kam26861238:53-1530WDLLW
12FredrikstadFredrikstad26861231:46-1530DLLLD
13SandefjordSandefjord26771231:39-828DWLLD
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK26751430:51-2126WWDLL
15AalesundAalesund26591245:60-1524LLLWL
16StartStart26541727:59-3219LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2669:2762
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2663:2362
3RosenborgRosenborg2653:3246
4LillestromLillestrom2639:3545
5MoldeMolde2664:4444
6TromsoTromso2643:4040
7BrannBrann2647:4433
8ValerengaValerenga2643:4732
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2632:4231
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2633:4631
11Ham-KamHam-Kam2638:5330
12FredrikstadFredrikstad2631:4630
13SandefjordSandefjord2631:3928
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2630:5126
15AalesundAalesund2645:6024
16StartStart2627:5919
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sarpsborg 08 FF and Ham-Kam in the Eliteserien table

Sarpsborg 08 FF and Ham-Kam are close in the Eliteserien table, 9th and 11th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Sarpsborg 08 FF 32-42, Ham-Kam 38-53. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.