Aalesund vs Viking Prediction

Aalesund
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Viking
Color Line Stadion, Aalesund·Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway 26/07/2026
AalesundAalesund
1-1
Finished
VikingViking

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-0.8%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.60
SignalGOODModel56%SurpriseMediumGap+12.2%
Aalesund Rest
10 days
Viking Rest
4 days

Aalesund vs Viking: result, form and history

Aalesund and Viking drew 1-1 in the Eliteserien on 26 Jul 2026. Viking had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Aalesund.

Viking have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
13%5.40
X
21%4.53
2
66%1.50
Double Chance
1X
34%2.50
X2
87%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.49
No
44%2.42
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.94 = 3.08
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.40
Over 3.5
34%2.00
Under 1.5
17%5.83
Under 2.5
40%2.85
Under 3.5
66%1.78
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5.9 = 10.6
Over 8.5
75%1.22
Over 9.5
65%1.42
Over 10.5
53%1.72
Under 8.5
25%3.48
Under 9.5
35%2.58
Under 10.5
47%2.00
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.6 = 3.8
Over 3.5
47%1.56
Over 4.5
31%2.15
Under 3.5
53%2.25
Under 4.5
69%1.60

Match Events

25'E. Austbo
45+1'K. Askildsen
46'M. ChristensenAssist: K. Lonebu
64'E. Osenbroch IND. Johannsson out
68'S. Bjorshol INH. J. Haugen out
68'S. Kvia-Egeskog INR. Alte out
68'J. Bell INT. Moi out
71'M. Andresen INK. Nesso out
76'M. ChristensenMisses next match
78'G. StensnessMisses next match
82'K. Lonebu INE. Myrlid out
82'M. Christensen INH. Melland out
84'N. Fuglestad INA. Cosic out
86'O. Gudmundsson
87'T. Moi
87'V. Auklend INK. Haugen out
90+6'
90+6'

Lineups

Aalesund
3-5-2Coach: Kjetil-Andre Rekdal
Viking
4-1-4-1Coach: Bjarte Aarsheim
Avg rating6.87
Avg rating6.80
Luca Podlech6.91L. Podlech
Simen Haram7.24S. Haram
Emil Engqvist6.322E. Engqvist
Ólafur Guðmundsson6.53Ó. Guðmundsson
Marius Andresen6.72M. Andresen
Mathias ChristensenC7.921M. Christensen
Hakon Butli Hammer7.26H. Butli Hammer
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen6.518E. Kristoffersen Hagen
Uba Charles7.914U. Charles
Kristian Lonebu7.039K. Lonebu
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch6.615E. Hjertager Osenbroch
Ľubomír Belko8.030Ľ. Belko
Sondre Flem Bjørshol6.518S. Flem Bjørshol
Gianni Stensness6.66G. Stensness
Anders Baertelsen7.021A. Baertelsen
Vetle Auklend7.324V. Auklend
Joe BellC6.78J. Bell
Kristoffer Askildsen7.97K. Askildsen
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad5.923N. Kemp Fuglestad
Simen Kvia-Egeskog6.726S. Kvia-Egeskog
Edvin Austbø6.217E. Austbø
Peter Christiansen6.520P. Christiansen

Aalesund Substitutes

26Tor Erik Larsen
25Ulrik Syversen
7Kristoffer Nessø71'for M. Andresen6.7
16Jakob Nyland Örsahl
45Philip Sandvik Aukland
8Henrik Melland82'replaced by M. Christensen6.7
11Davíð Snær Jóhannsson64'for E. Osenbroch6.5
20Ivan Djantou
17Elias Heggland Myrlid82'for K. Lonebu6.5

Viking Substitutes

1Arild Østbø
28Kristoffer Haugen87'for V. Auklend
3Viljar Vevatne
2Herman Johan Haugen68'for S. Bjorshol6.3
33Jakob Segadal Hansen
29Tobias Moi68'for J. Bell87'6.7
19Amin Cosic84'for N. Fuglestad
16Ruben Alte68'for S. Kvia-Egeskog6.9
15Ola Visted

Match Stats

AalesundViking
39%Ball Possession61%
4Corner Kicks10
3Yellow Cards4
19Total Shots22
7Shots on Goal7
8Shots off Goal10
9Shots Inside Box16
10Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots5
18Fouls8
3Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves7
346Total Passes532
258Passes Accurate437
75%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

AalesundAalesund
VikingViking
1575Elo Rating 1887
2.41Attack 2.71
0.80Defense 1.07
39%Hit Rate 61%
15.4Shots per Game 14.9
5.3Shots on Target 5.3
6.6Corners per Game 6.0
2.5Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.08 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AalesundAalesund
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
VikingViking
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

AalesundAalesund2Wins · 33%
Draws00%
VikingViking4Wins · 67%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

NM Cupen18/03/2026
VikingAalesund
12
NM Cupen25/06/2025
AalesundViking
01
Eliteserien26/11/2023
AalesundViking
04
Eliteserien24/07/2023
VikingAalesund
31
Eliteserien02/10/2022
AalesundViking
21
Eliteserien10/04/2022
VikingAalesund
10

Recent Form

AalesundAalesund
3W4D3L
16/07/2026
ValerengaAalesund
61
L
11/07/2026
AalesundMolde
22
D
27/06/2026
Kristiansund BKAalesund
03
W
29/05/2026
AalesundHam-Kam
22
D
25/05/2026
TromsoAalesund
11
D
20/05/2026
AalesundBrann
21
W
16/05/2026
RosenborgAalesund
23
W
03/05/2026
SandefjordAalesund
10
L
26/04/2026
AalesundKristiansund BK
11
D
22/04/2026
BrannAalesund
21
L
VikingViking
8W1D1L
22/07/2026
LillestromViking
12
W
18/07/2026
VikingSandefjord
21
W
12/07/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
10
L
03/07/2026
SonderjyskeViking
11
D
24/05/2026
Kristiansund BKViking
12
W
16/05/2026
VikingStart
63
W
10/05/2026
KFUM OsloViking
02
W
01/05/2026
VikingRosenborg
30
W
25/04/2026
FredrikstadViking
12
W
18/04/2026
VikingBrann
32
W

Referee Profile

Stian Rovig Sletner107 matches

3.24Cards per match
3.21Yellow cards per match
0.03Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Stian Rovig Sletner3.24
Other referees3.52

3.24 cards a match, 0.28 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.52).

Cards come from 29 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking26202469:27+4262WLWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt26202463:23+4062WWLWW
3RosenborgRosenborg26144853:32+2146WWWWD
4LillestromLillestrom26143939:35+445WWWWD
5MoldeMolde26135864:44+2044DLWWD
6TromsoTromso26117843:40+340LLLDD
7BrannBrann261031347:44+333DWLLL
8ValerengaValerenga26951243:47-432LWWWL
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF26871132:42-1031LLWLW
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo26871133:46-1331LDDDW
11Ham-KamHam-Kam26861238:53-1530WDLLW
12FredrikstadFredrikstad26861231:46-1530DLLLD
13SandefjordSandefjord26771231:39-828DWLLD
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK26751430:51-2126WWDLL
15AalesundAalesund26591245:60-1524LLLWL
16StartStart26541727:59-3219LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2669:2762
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2663:2362
3RosenborgRosenborg2653:3246
4LillestromLillestrom2639:3545
5MoldeMolde2664:4444
6TromsoTromso2643:4040
7BrannBrann2647:4433
8ValerengaValerenga2643:4732
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2632:4231
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2633:4631
11Ham-KamHam-Kam2638:5330
12FredrikstadFredrikstad2631:4630
13SandefjordSandefjord2631:3928
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2630:5126
15AalesundAalesund2645:6024
16StartStart2627:5919
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Aalesund vs Viking forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aalesund and Viking in the Eliteserien table

The table shows a wide gap: Viking are 1st in the Eliteserien, while Aalesund sit 15th, 38 points behind. League goal record so far: Aalesund 45-60, Viking 69-27. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.