Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad Prediction

Rosenborg
4-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Fredrikstad
Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim·Ola Hobber Nilsen, Norway 27/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-2.1%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Over 1.5
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+11.6%
Rosenborg Rest
3 days
Fredrikstad Rest
9 days

Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad: result, form and history

Rosenborg beat Fredrikstad 4-0 in the Eliteserien on 27 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Rosenborg had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Fredrikstad.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 5 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.50
X
21%4.33
2
22%5.75
Double Chance
1X
77%1.13
X2
43%2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.71
No
44%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.81 + 1.27 = 3.08
Over 1.5
83%1.18
Over 2.5
59%1.61
Over 3.5
33%2.48
Under 1.5
17%4.47
Under 2.5
41%2.25
Under 3.5
67%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.9 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.28
Over 9.5
50%1.51
Over 10.5
39%1.85
Under 8.5
38%3.20
Under 9.5
50%2.35
Under 10.5
61%1.85
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.1 = 3.7
Over 3.5
47%2.02
Over 4.5
30%3.00
Under 3.5
53%1.69
Under 4.5
70%1.30

Match Events

10'A. PereiraAssist: O. Selnaes
13'E. K. CeideAssist: O. Selnaes
32'A. Pereira
46'J. Nunez INS. Laghzaoui out
46'J. Svensson INA. F. Witry out
57'S. Rafn ING. Wesseh out
67'O. Ohlenschlaeger INJ. Jezierski out
70'D. Duris INJ. Reitan-Sunde out
70'A. Pereira INT. Dahl out
76'U. Fredriksen INJ. Nysveen out
76'F. Ghebreyohannes INS. Owusu out
77'A. ChiakhaAssist: M. Bomholt
81'O. Selnaes INH. Volden out
85'E. K. Ceide INN. Sahsah out
88'I. Fossum

Lineups

Rosenborg
4-3-3Coach: Freyr Alexandersson
Fredrikstad
3-4-3Coach: Andreas Hagen
Avg rating7.12
Avg rating6.70
Leopold Wahlstedt7.21L. Wahlstedt
Jonas SvenssonC7.622J. Svensson
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide6.64M. Konradsen Ceide
Tomáš Nemčík7.221T. Nemčík
Adrian Nilsen Pereira7.219A. Nilsen Pereira
Mads Bomholt6.517M. Bomholt
Ole Selnaes7.910O. Selnaes
Iver Fossum6.98I. Fossum
Dávid Ďuriš6.329D. Ďuriš
Amin Chiakha7.218A. Chiakha
Emil Konradsen Ceide8.235E. Konradsen Ceide
Martin Borsheim6.377M. Borsheim
Simen RafnC6.75S. Rafn
Fredrik Holmé7.24F. Holmé
Ulrik Fredriksen6.312U. Fredriksen
Daniel Eid6.916D. Eid
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger7.220O. Øhlenschlaeger
Max Nilsson7.214M. Nilsson
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem6.719F. Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Benjamin Faraas6.97B. Faraas
Henrik Langaas Skogvold6.223H. Langaas Skogvold
Johannes Núñez6.710J. Núñez

Rosenborg Substitutes

12Rasmus Sandberg
5Håkon Volden81'for O. Selnaes
15Jonas Mortensen
16Aslak Witry46'for J. Svensson6.6
3Tobias Solheim Dahl70'for A. Pereira
25Johan Johanessen Bakke
14Jesper Reitan-Sunde70'for D. Duris
11Noah Sahsah85'for E. K. Ceide
30Maciej Soboczynski

Fredrikstad Substitutes

1Oystein Ovretveit
28Solomon Owusu76'for F. Ghebreyohannes
3Aleksander Andresen
18Jonathan Norbye
26Joachim Nysveen76'for U. Fredriksen
21Jakub Jezierski67'for O. Ohlenschlaeger
24Leonard Owusu
9Salim Laghzaoui46'for J. Nunez6.5
29Gabriel Wesseh57'for S. Rafn6.3

Match Stats

RosenborgFredrikstad
55%Ball Possession45%
10Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
23Total Shots7
10Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal2
14Shots Inside Box4
9Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots1
15Fouls9
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves6
584Total Passes492
506Passes Accurate398
87%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

RosenborgRosenborg
FredrikstadFredrikstad
1768Elo Rating 1598
2.26Attack 1.81
2.40Defense 0.12
63%Hit Rate 23%
19.7Shots per Game 15.3
6.3Shots on Target 4.6
6.2Corners per Game 5.1
2.7Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+169 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.08 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

RosenborgRosenborg
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FredrikstadFredrikstad
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

RosenborgRosenborg2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
FredrikstadFredrikstad1Wins · 20%
2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
20%3+ goals1 of 5

Previous meetings

Eliteserien28/05/2025
FredrikstadRosenborg
02
Eliteserien05/04/2025
RosenborgFredrikstad
10
Eliteserien27/07/2024
FredrikstadRosenborg
22
Eliteserien02/06/2024
RosenborgFredrikstad
11
NM Cupen01/05/2024
FredrikstadRosenborg
10

Recent Form

RosenborgRosenborg
4W2D4L
24/07/2026
RosenborgManchester United
05
L
18/07/2026
StartRosenborg
03
W
12/07/2026
RosenborgKristiansund BK
30
W
05/07/2026
RosenborgMolde
21
W
29/05/2026
RosenborgBodo/Glimt
22
D
25/05/2026
KFUM OsloRosenborg
20
L
16/05/2026
RosenborgAalesund
23
L
10/05/2026
RosenborgLillestrom
20
W
01/05/2026
VikingRosenborg
30
L
25/04/2026
RosenborgBrann
11
D
FredrikstadFredrikstad
2W1D7L
17/07/2026
Bodo/GlimtFredrikstad
10
L
11/07/2026
FredrikstadLillestrom
02
L
04/07/2026
ValerengaFredrikstad
31
L
29/05/2026
FredrikstadStart
21
W
25/05/2026
SandefjordFredrikstad
11
D
16/05/2026
FredrikstadHam-Kam
21
W
09/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
21
L
02/05/2026
BrannFredrikstad
31
L
25/04/2026
FredrikstadViking
12
L
19/04/2026
Kristiansund BKFredrikstad
20
L

Referee Profile

Ola Hobber Nilsen118 matches

3.13Cards per match
3.05Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
20.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ola Hobber Nilsen3.13
Other referees3.37

3.13 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.37).

Cards come from 101 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt26202463:23+4062WWLWW
2VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
3RosenborgRosenborg26144853:32+2146WWWWD
4MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso26117843:40+340LLLDD
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8ValerengaValerenga25951143:46-332WWWLD
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart26541727:59-3219LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2663:2362
2VikingViking2564:2659
3RosenborgRosenborg2653:3246
4MoldeMolde2559:3943
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2643:4040
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8ValerengaValerenga2543:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2627:5919
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rosenborg and Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Rosenborg are 3rd and Fredrikstad 11th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Rosenborg 53-32, Fredrikstad 29-44. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rosenborg have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.