Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction

Major League SoccerUSA USA · Regular Season - 19
Derby
Seattle Sounders
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Vancouver Whitecaps
Lumen Field, Seattle· Armando Villarrea, USA 17/08/2026
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
0-2
Finished
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.52
SignalNEUTRALModel44%RiskMediumGap-2.1%
Seattle Sounders Rest
4 days
Vancouver Whitecaps Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%3.62
X
25%3.77
2
41%1.93
Double Chance
1X
59%1.84
X2
66%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.52
No
36%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.44 = 2.97
Over 1.5
83%1.17
Over 2.5
62%1.57
Over 3.5
37%2.40
Under 1.5
17%4.80
Under 2.5
38%2.35
Under 3.5
63%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 5 = 8.9
Over 8.5
51%1.46
Over 9.5
44%1.73
Over 10.5
32%2.27
Under 8.5
49%2.57
Under 9.5
56%1.95
Under 10.5
68%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.5
61%1.54
Over 4.5
42%1.88
Under 3.5
39%2.47
Under 4.5
58%1.90

Match Events

18'J. Badwal INR. Elloumi out
36'J. Ferreira INS. Gomez out
57'J. Ragen
58'S. Brunell INA. Lopez out
58'C. Sabaly INR. Gauld out
66'R. Priso INT. Blackmon out
73'D. Musovski INO. De Rosario out
73'K. Kossa-Rienzi INKim Kee-Hee out
76'Nouhou
77'R. ElloumiAssist: E. Sabbi
82'T. MullerAssist: O. Larraz
85'A. Roldan INC. Gaffney out
86'E. Sabbi INN. Djordjevic out
86'P. Rothrock

Lineups

Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Coach: Brian Schmetzer
Vancouver Whitecaps
4-2-3-1Coach: Jesper Sorensen
A. Thomas26A. ThomasA. Thomas
K. Kossa-Rienzi85K. Kossa-RienziK. Kossa-Rienzi
A. Roldan16A. RoldanA. Roldan
J. Ragen25J. RagenJ. Ragen
Nouhou5NouhouNouhou
S. Brunell37S. BrunellS. Brunell
P. Kingston45P. KingstonP. Kingston
J. Ferreira9J. FerreiraJ. Ferreira
A. Rusnak11A. RusnakA. Rusnak
P. Rothrock14P. RothrockP. Rothrock
D. Musovski19D. MusovskiD. Musovski
Y. Takaoka1Y. TakaokaY. Takaoka
E. Ocampo18E. OcampoE. Ocampo
M. Laborda2M. LabordaM. Laborda
R. Priso6R. PrisoR. Priso
T. Johnson28T. JohnsonT. Johnson
O. Larraz8O. LarrazO. Larraz
A. Cubas20A. CubasA. Cubas
J. Badwal59J. BadwalJ. Badwal
T. Muller13T. MullerT. Muller
C. Sabaly7C. SabalyC. Sabaly
E. Sabbi11E. SabbiE. Sabbi

Seattle Sounders Substitutes

24S. FreiG
20Kim Kee-HeeD
35A. LopezD
4R. SailorD
39S. HawkinsD
84C. GaffneyM
32X. GnaulatiM
95O. De RosarioF
90S. GomezM

Vancouver Whitecaps Substitutes

32I. BoehmerG
33T. BlackmonD
29M. GherasimencovD
3S. AdekugbeD
41N. DjordjevicD
25R. GauldM
97L. MacKenzieM
26J. NgandoM
19R. ElloumiF

Match Stats

Seattle SoundersVancouver Whitecaps
43%Ball Possession57%
1Corner Kicks8
3Yellow Cards0
5Total Shots19
0Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal5
5Shots Inside Box13
0Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots8
16Fouls11
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves0
413Total Passes539
334Passes Accurate462
81%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
1559Elo Rating 1653
0.97Attack 1.39
1.89Defense 1.36
0%Hit Rate 19%
15.4Shots per Game 17.5
5.6Shots on Target 6.1
5.3Corners per Game 6.7
1.2Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
🔥Derby Match
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Seattle Sounders 64%Draw 19%17% Vancouver Whitecaps
3.19Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
1W0D4L
13/08/2026
Seattle SoundersGuadalajara Chivas
12
L
09/08/2026
Seattle SoundersClub Queretaro
30
W
06/08/2026
TolucaSeattle Sounders
30
L
02/08/2026
Portland TimbersSeattle Sounders
21
L26/07/2026
Philadelphia UnionSeattle Sounders
10
L
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
0W2D3L
12/08/2026
Tigres UANLVancouver Whitecaps
5141
L
08/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsFC Juarez
13
L
05/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsAtlante FC
01
L
02/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FC
11
D26/07/2026
Minnesota United FCVancouver Whitecaps
00
D

Referee Profile

Armando Villarrea, USA · 16 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
23.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 19% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction

This Major League Soccer meeting between Seattle Sounders and Vancouver Whitecaps carries extra rivalry weight, and our AI model factors that context in alongside team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Seattle Sounders and Vancouver Whitecaps have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.19 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.