Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana Prediction

Shamrock Rovers
5-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Floriana
Tallaght Stadium, Dublin·J. Ostling 14/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalHIGHModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+7.0%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalSTRONGModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+13.9%
Shamrock Rovers Rest
7 days
Floriana Rest
7 days

Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana: result, form and history

Shamrock Rovers beat Floriana 5-1 in the UEFA Champions League on 14 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee J. Ostling averages 4.53 cards a game, 0.93 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.29
X
15%5.15
2
14%9.00
Double Chance
1X
86%1.04
X2
29%3.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.08
No
53%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 0.91 = 2.45
Over 1.5
71%1.20
Over 2.5
46%1.67
Over 3.5
24%2.60
Under 1.5
29%4.15
Under 2.5
54%2.12
Under 3.5
76%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'L. GraceAssist: J. Byrne
13'T. GudeljAssist: M. Jah
29'D. WattsAssist: A. Brennan
48'J. McGovernAssist: D. Watts
52'R. Muric INK. Dervisagic out
61'G. BurkeAssist: J. Mulraney
64'Chapi IND. Vella out
65'J. Mulraney INT. Sobowale out
68'John McGovernFoul
71'T. Gudelj INA. C. N Dri out
73'J. ByrneAssist: D. Watts
75'Dylan WattsFoul
77'G. Burke INJ. Afolabi out
77'J. O'Sullivan INC. Malley out
77'D. Watts INN. Razi out
77'J. McGovern INM. Noonan out
81'Dunstan VellaFoul
82'Naj RaziFoul

Lineups

Shamrock Rovers
3-5-2Coach: Stephen Bradley
Floriana
4-4-2Coach: Daniel Portela
Ed McGinty1E. McGinty
Lee Grace5L. Grace
Pico4Pico
Cory O'Sullivan27C. O'Sullivan
Jake Mulraney11J. Mulraney
Dylan Watts7D. Watts
John O'Sullivan26J. O'Sullivan
Jack Byrne29J. Byrne
Adam Brennan19A. Brennan
John McGovern88J. McGovern
Graham Burke10G. Burke
Guilherme Cioletti23G. Cioletti
Carlo Zammit Lonardelli21C. Zammit Lonardelli
Owen Spiteri17O. Spiteri
Kauan4Kauan
Myles Beerman3M. Beerman
Robert Murić11R. Murić
Chapi Romano16C. Romano
Alen Kurtalić14A. Kurtalić
Fede Varela10F. Varela
Tomislav Gudelj22T. Gudelj
Mustapha Jah19M. Jah

Shamrock Rovers Substitutes

22Tunmise Sobowale65'for J. Mulraney
23Connor Malley77'replaced by J. O'Sullivan
28Naj Razi77'for D. Watts82'
18Jonathan Afolabi77'for G. Burke
31Michael Noonan77'for J. McGovern
25Lee Steacy
41Alex Noonan
3Enda Stevens
17Luke O'Regan
33Cian Barrett
15Maleace Asamoah
38Max Kovaleskis

Floriana Substitutes

9Kenan Dervišagić52'for R. Muric
12Dunstan Vella64'replaced by Chapi81'
88Ange Curtis N Dri71'replaced by T. Gudelj
80Pablo Picón
5Gerrard Cann Rodgers
6Amar Drina
8Zachary Scerri
20Emerson Piscopo
27Zyas Vella Newell

Match Stats

Shamrock RoversFloriana
56%Ball Possession44%
6Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots6
14Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal5
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
FlorianaFloriana
1606Elo Rating 1597
1.94Attack 1.81
1.50Defense 1.48
54%Hit Rate 14%
11.9Shots per Game -
4.6Shots on Target -
6.3Corners per Game -
2.9Cards per Game -

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FlorianaFloriana
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
FlorianaFloriana1Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
6W1D3L
07/07/2026
FlorianaShamrock Rovers
20
L
03/07/2026
Sligo RoversShamrock Rovers
12
W
30/06/2026
Shamrock RoversHibernian
10
W
26/06/2026
Shamrock RoversGalway United
31
W
22/06/2026
Shamrock RoversDerry City
11
D
19/06/2026
WaterfordShamrock Rovers
02
W
12/06/2026
ShelbourneShamrock Rovers
21
L
29/05/2026
Shamrock RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
10
W
25/05/2026
BohemiansShamrock Rovers
12
W
22/05/2026
Shamrock RoversSligo Rovers
12
L
FlorianaFloriana
8W1D1L
07/07/2026
FlorianaShamrock Rovers
20
W
16/05/2026
FlorianaMarsaxlokk
21
W
09/05/2026
Valletta FCFloriana
1030
W
30/04/2026
Gzira UnitedFloriana
01
W
25/04/2026
FlorianaHamrun Spartans
14
L
18/04/2026
FlorianaValletta FC
20
W
15/04/2026
MarsaxlokkFloriana
13
W
11/04/2026
Naxxar LionsFloriana
01
W
14/03/2026
BirkirkaraFloriana
22
D
07/03/2026
Sliema WanderersFloriana
01
W

Referee Profile

J. Ostling137 matches

4.53Cards per match
4.42Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
25.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

J. Ostling4.53
Other referees3.60

4.53 cards a match, 0.93 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.60).

Cards come from 108 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded

About the Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Champions League

More UEFA Champions League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Champions League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Shamrock Rovers have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Shamrock Rovers and Floriana have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.