Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction

Jinan Olympic Sports Center, Jinan·Meng Xiangkun, China 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.25
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-6.7%
Shandong Luneng Rest
6 days
Hangzhou Greentown Rest
8 days

Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown: result, form and history

Shandong Luneng beat Hangzhou Greentown 5-0 in the Super League on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.6 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.69
X
22%4.50
2
26%3.87
Double Chance
1X
74%1.25
X2
48%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
74%1.30
No
26%3.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 1.44 = 3.24
Over 1.5
88%1.05
Over 2.5
71%1.25
Over 3.5
52%1.67
Under 1.5
12%8.10
Under 2.5
29%3.60
Under 3.5
48%2.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 5.1 = 10.9
Over 8.5
73%1.39
Over 9.5
63%1.70
Over 10.5
51%2.12
Under 8.5
27%2.63
Under 9.5
37%2.01
Under 10.5
49%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
56%-
Over 4.5
37%-
Under 3.5
44%-
Under 4.5
63%-

Match Events

17'Xu JunchiSerious foul
20'Guilherme MadrugaAssist: Cryzan
23'M. Tolic INTong Lei out
33'Goal Disallowed - offsideY. Li
37'Mijit MewlanUnsportsmanlike conduct
40'Xie WennengAssist: V. Qazaishvili
45+5'V. QazaishviliAssist: Cryzan
46'Wu Wei INCheng Jin out
53'Goal Disallowed - offsideY. Wang
61'Y. Li INMemet Imran out
61'Mijit Mewlan INChen Pu out
64'Huang ZhengyuFoul
76'Sun Guowen INWang Shiqin out
78'Xie Wenneng INShi Songchen out
78'Huang Zhengyu INChen Zeshi out
79'V. QazaishviliAssist: Chen Pu
81'Liu HaofanFoul
83'Cryzan(Penalty missed)
88'Cheng JinUnsportsmanlike conduct
89'Peng Xiao INYin Jiaxi out
90+2'Cryzan

Lineups

Shandong Luneng
3-4-3
Hangzhou Greentown
4-2-3-1
Avg rating7.51
Avg rating6.29
Dalei WangC8.314D. Wang
Guilherme Madruga8.08G. Madruga
Peng Xiao6.93P. Xiao
Pedro Álvaro7.523P. Álvaro
Maiwulang Mijiti6.928M. Mijiti
Yuanyi Li6.622Y. Li
Zhengyu Huang6.935Z. Huang
Yang Liu6.911Y. Liu
Wenneng Xie7.67W. Xie
Cryzan8.59Cryzan
Valeri Qazaishvili10.010V. Qazaishvili
Bo Zhao6.033B. Zhao
Xu Junchi3.325X. Junchi
Liu Haofan5.95L. Haofan
Lucas PossignoloC5.936L. Possignolo
Guowen Sun6.326G. Sun
Wei Wu6.314W. Wu
Jin-seob Park6.54J. Park
Qianglong Tao6.07Q. Tao
Marko Tolić6.510M. Tolić
Alexandru Mitriță7.628A. Mitriță
Wang Yudong7.211W. Yudong

Shandong Luneng Substitutes

38Memet Imran61'for Y. Li6.6
29Chen Pu61'for Mijit Mewlan6.9
36Qiwei Liu
1Yu Jinyong
32Qihang Sun
15Songchen Shi78'for Xie Wenneng
5Zheng Zheng
37Zeshi Chen78'for Huang Zhengyu
34Jiaxi Yin89'for Peng Xiao
41Junwei Lu

Hangzhou Greentown Substitutes

16Tong Lei23'for M. Tolic7.0
22Cheng Jin46'for Wu Wei88'7.3
1Chunyu Dong
38Zhang Aihui
17Shiqin Wang76'for Sun Guowen
3Wang Chang
8Alexander N'Doumbou
6Bao Shengxin
29Jiaqi Zhang
18Hao Fang
27Felippe Cardoso
9Di Gao

Match Stats

Shandong LunengHangzhou Greentown
50%Ball Possession50%
2Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards2
21Total Shots16
10Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal6
13Shots Inside Box15
8Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots4
15Fouls12
2Offsides3
5Goalkeeper Saves6
409Total Passes394
346Passes Accurate326
85%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown
1647Elo Rating 1576
2.85Attack 2.27
1.41Defense 0.09
50%Hit Rate 44%
14.7Shots per Game 14.1
5.9Shots on Target 5.6
3.6Corners per Game 3.6
1.5Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.24 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.2 in second half)
Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Shandong LunengShandong Luneng5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown3Wins · 30%
3.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League20/05/2026
Hangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
41
Super League18/10/2025
Hangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
22
Super League10/05/2025
Shandong LunengHangzhou Greentown
42
Super League27/10/2024
Hangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
33
Super League25/05/2024
Shandong LunengHangzhou Greentown
30
Super League22/07/2023
Hangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
21
Super League25/04/2023
Shandong LunengHangzhou Greentown
21
FA Cup15/01/2023
Hangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
12
Super League25/06/2022
Hangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
20
Super League03/06/2022
Shandong LunengHangzhou Greentown
10

Referee Profile

Meng Xiangkun3 matches analysed

4.17Cards per match
3.83Yellow cards per match
0.34Red cards per match
25.5Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 16% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City29157751:35+1652LLLDW
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing291541046:43+349WWWWD
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan291410557:36+2147WWWDD
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng29155957:47+1044WWDDW
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG29138850:36+1442WWWDW
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun291171157:60-340DDLWL
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island29815632:38-639DLLDD
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua291451063:50+1337LWWWL
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long29812931:34-336WDDLD
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown291161251:54-334WLLWL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu29951539:51-1232WLDDL
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda291181039:35+431LWWWW
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban29851641:52-1129LWDLL
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye298101138:42-428LLDDD
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns295121244:55-1122LLDLD
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon29632034:62-2814LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City2951:3552
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2946:4349
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2957:3647
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2957:4744
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG2950:3642
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun2957:6040
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island2932:3839
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua2963:5037
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long2931:3436
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2951:5434
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu2939:5132
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2939:3531
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban2941:5229
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2938:4228
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns2944:5522
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2934:6214
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Shandong Luneng and Hangzhou Greentown in the Super League table

In the Super League table, Shandong Luneng are 4th and Hangzhou Greentown 10th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Shandong Luneng 57-47, Hangzhou Greentown 51-54. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Shandong Luneng have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.