Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction

Shinnik, Yaroslavl·E. Rubtsov 26/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.43
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-0.9%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Rest
8 days
Spartak Kostroma Rest
9 days

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma: result, form and history

Shinnik Yaroslavl beat Spartak Kostroma 2-1 in the First League on 26 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Spartak Kostroma had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Shinnik Yaroslavl.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.80
X
32%3.00
2
32%2.71
Double Chance
1X
68%1.43
X2
64%1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.99
No
50%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.13 = 2.39
Over 1.5
65%1.46
Over 2.5
40%2.49
Over 3.5
21%4.74
Under 1.5
35%2.57
Under 2.5
60%1.54
Under 3.5
79%1.16
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'Amur Kalmykov
33'Dmitri Samoilov
45+1'Albek Gongapshev
46'Amir Mokhammad INNader Mohammadi out
46'David Karaev INAnatoliy Nemchenko out
51'armin spahic
51'Ilya Azyavin
52'Nikita Chistyakov
52'Kirill Malyarov
54'Dmitri Samoilov
68'
68'Nikita Chistyakov
68'Vladislav Kamilov INSergey Bugriev out
70'Dmitri Samoilov INMaksim Karaev out
70'Marko Bugarin
72'Ilya Azyavin INDenis Mironov out
78'Albek Gongapshev INAnton Antonov out
83'Marko Bugarin
84'
84'Anatoliy Nemchenko INKirill Chursin out
84'Kirill Malyarov INilia rubtsov out
86'armin spahic
90+5'

Lineups

Shinnik Yaroslavl
Coach: D. Boyarintsev
Spartak Kostroma
Coach: Evgeniy Taranukhin

Shinnik Yaroslavl Starting XI

24I. Azyavin51'72'replaced by Denis Mironov
66N. Yanovich
54I. Shmakov
15D. Samoylov33'54'70'replaced by Maksim Karaev
53N. Kotin
62V. Karpov
10A. Gongapshev45+1'78'replaced by Anton Antonov
50A. Golubev
23N. Chistyakov52'68'
27A. Cherny
17E. Valiakhmetov

Spartak Kostroma Starting XI

21M. Bugarin70'83'
90A. Kalmykov13'
18V. Kamilov68'replaced by Sergey Bugriev
17D. Kaptilovich
10D. Karaev46'replaced by Anatoliy Nemchenko
7K. Malyarov52'84'replaced by ilia rubtsov
96A. Mokhammad46'replaced by Nader Mohammadi
87Armin Spahic51'86'
2N. Tarasov
5D. Zhilmostnykh
50E. Shamov

Shinnik Yaroslavl Substitutes

77A. Antonov78'for Albek Gongapshev
19Y. Arbuzov
49M. Karaev70'for Dmitri Samoilov
7D. Martovoy
88D. Mironov72'for Ilya Azyavin
21D. Pushkarev
95D. Vambolt
13D. Yanov

Spartak Kostroma Substitutes

11D. Gurtskaia
73D. Kirakosyan
77I. Meshcheryakov
6N. Mohammadi46'for Amir Mokhammad
22A. Nemchenko46'for David Karaev84'for Kirill Chursin
82O. Nikiforenko
66Maksim Nikiforov
13I. Rubtsov84'for Kirill Malyarov
3S. Bugriev68'for Vladislav Kamilov
69K. Chursin84'replaced by Anatoliy Nemchenko
70R. Chervyakov
68M. Gaydash

Match Stats

Shinnik YaroslavlSpartak Kostroma
48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards2
8Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal6
0Blocked Shots0

Team Comparison

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma
1499Elo Rating 1539
0.66Attack 1.46
1.67Defense 2.08
19%Hit Rate 64%
5.2Shots per Game 7.3
2.6Shots on Target 3.4
6.7Corners per Game 5.2
1.2Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl0Wins · 0%
Draws2100%
Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

First League22/03/2026
Spartak KostromaShinnik Yaroslavl
11
First League25/10/2025
Shinnik YaroslavlSpartak Kostroma
22

Recent Form

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
3W5D2L
18/10/2026
VelesShinnik Yaroslavl
11
D
14/10/2026
Nizhny NovgorodShinnik Yaroslavl
40
L
10/10/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlTekstilshchik
20
W
27/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlSka-khabarovsk
00
D
18/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlKAMAZ
01
L
14/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlUral
11
D
10/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlTorpedo Moskva
20
W
05/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlRotor Volgograd
22
D
30/08/2026
EniseyShinnik Yaroslavl
00
D
22/08/2026
Volga UlyanovskShinnik Yaroslavl
13
W
Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma
7W0D3L
17/10/2026
Spartak KostromaLeningradets
20
W
13/10/2026
Spartak KostromaChelyabinsk
10
W
09/10/2026
Arsenal TulaSpartak Kostroma
32
L
26/09/2026
Spartak KostromaUral
12
L
18/09/2026
Volga UlyanovskSpartak Kostroma
01
W
14/09/2026
Spartak KostromaFK Neftekhimik
10
W
08/09/2026
RyazanSpartak Kostroma
02
W
05/09/2026
ChelyabinskSpartak Kostroma
01
W
31/08/2026
Spartak KostromaRotor Volgograd
10
W
21/08/2026
Torpedo MoskvaSpartak Kostroma
30
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod15131144:15+2940WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi15102326:15+1132WWWDW
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1584327:12+1528DWWDD
4UralUral1584325:11+1428WLLWW
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1483320:13+727WLLWW
6VelesVeles1683520:19+127LDWLD
7FC UFAFC UFA1556418:15+321LWLDL
8Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1663721:22-121WWDWL
9Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1448218:14+420DWDLD
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1554623:18+519DLDWW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1554619:29-1019WLWLD
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1543819:26-715LLWDW
13EniseyEnisey1535716:30-1414LLLDW
14LeningradetsLeningradets1535712:26-1414DLLWL
15KAMAZKAMAZ1534819:27-813LWDWD
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik15411011:22-1113DLLLL
17Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1524918:28-1010WLDDD
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1524911:25-1410LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1544:1540
2FC SochiFC Sochi1526:1532
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1527:1228
4UralUral1525:1128
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1420:1327
6VelesVeles1620:1927
7FC UFAFC UFA1518:1521
8Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1621:2221
9Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1418:1420
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1523:1819
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1519:2919
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1519:2615
13EniseyEnisey1516:3014
14LeningradetsLeningradets1512:2614
15KAMAZKAMAZ1519:2713
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1511:2213
17Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1518:2810
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1511:2510

About the Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Shinnik Yaroslavl and Spartak Kostroma in the First League table

In the First League table, Spartak Kostroma are 5th and Shinnik Yaroslavl 9th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Shinnik Yaroslavl 18-14, Spartak Kostroma 20-13. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Shinnik Yaroslavl and Spartak Kostroma have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.