Smiltene vs Riga FC II Prediction

Smiltene
2-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Riga FC II
17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.19
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-8.8%
Smiltene Rest
6 days
Riga FC II Rest
5 days

Smiltene vs Riga FC II: the result in context

Smiltene and Riga FC II drew 2-2 in the 1. Liga on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Riga FC II have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 4.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%3.52
X
22%4.05
2
52%1.72
Double Chance
1X
48%1.89
X2
74%1.19
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

SmilteneSmiltene
Riga FC IIRiga FC II
1428Elo Rating 1486
2.75Attack 2.27
1.74Defense 2.01
77%Hit Rate 37%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend22% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

SmilteneSmiltene
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Riga FC IIRiga FC II
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

SmilteneSmiltene2Wins · 22%
Draws00%
Riga FC IIRiga FC II7Wins · 78%
4.1Avg Goals
22%Both teams scored2 of 9
78%3+ goals7 of 9

Previous meetings

1. Liga14/06/2026
Riga FC IISmiltene
20
1. Liga01/08/2025
Riga FC IISmiltene
02
1. Liga06/04/2025
SmilteneRiga FC II
51
1. Liga02/11/2024
SmilteneRiga FC II
03
1. Liga20/07/2024
Riga FC IISmiltene
51
1. Liga22/10/2023
SmilteneRiga FC II
07
1. Liga01/07/2023
Riga FC IISmiltene
30
1. Liga03/09/2022
SmilteneRiga FC II
05
1. Liga30/04/2022
Riga FC IISmiltene
30

Recent Form

SmilteneSmiltene
5W0D5L
11/10/2026
SmilteneTukums II
32
W
19/09/2026
Super Nova 2Smiltene
02
W
12/09/2026
SmilteneRiga Mariners
41
W
05/09/2026
JDFS AlbertsSmiltene
32
L
29/08/2026
SmilteneMetta / LU
06
L
23/08/2026
Leevon / PPKSmiltene
42
L
08/08/2026
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
14
L
02/08/2026
JFK VentspilsSmiltene
12
W
25/07/2026
SmilteneRīgas FS II
35
L
19/07/2026
SmilteneRēzekne FA
10
W
Riga FC IIRiga FC II
3W4D3L
11/10/2026
Riga FC IIRēzekne FA
50
W
20/09/2026
MārupeRiga FC II
00
D
13/09/2026
Riga FC IILeevon / PPK
11
D
07/09/2026
Riga FC IISkanste
32
W
29/08/2026
JFK VentspilsRiga FC II
11
D
24/08/2026
Riga FC IIRiga Mariners
13
L
08/08/2026
JDFS AlbertsRiga FC II
20
L
01/08/2026
Riga FC IIMetta / LU
22
D
27/07/2026
Valmiera / BSSRiga FC II
30
L
19/07/2026
Riga FC IISuper Nova 2
21
W

League Table

1. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metta / LUMetta / LU24203198:18+8063WWWWW
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS24175266:26+4056WDDLW
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners24165360:31+2953WWLWL
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK24165349:29+2053LDWWD
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts24135651:33+1844WDWLL
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2496939:39033WDWDD
7MārupeMārupe241031138:40-233LDWDW
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22478933:36-329WLDLD
9SkansteSkanste24821447:51-426LLLLW
10SmilteneSmiltene24651337:62-2523WDWWW
11Tukums IITukums II24541531:68-3719LDLWW
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II24531637:68-3118LWLLL
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils24371421:48-2716LDLLW
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA24132017:75-586LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Metta / LUMetta / LU2498:1863
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS2466:2656
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners2460:3153
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK2449:2953
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2451:3344
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2439:3933
7MārupeMārupe2438:4033
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22433:3629
9SkansteSkanste2447:5126
10SmilteneSmiltene2437:6223
11Tukums IITukums II2431:6819
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2437:6818
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2421:4816
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2417:756

About the Smiltene vs Riga FC II forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Smiltene and Riga FC II in the 1. Liga table

In the 1. Liga table, Riga FC II are 6th and Smiltene 10th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Smiltene 37-62, Riga FC II 39-39. The full standings are on the 1. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Smiltene have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.