Mārupe vs Riga Mariners Prediction

Mārupe
1-6
Finished
HT 0-2
Riga Mariners
24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
Mārupe Rest
6 days
Riga Mariners Rest
6 days

Mārupe vs Riga Mariners: result, form and history

Riga Mariners beat Mārupe 6-1 in the 1. Liga on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%5.04
X
18%4.65
2
63%1.42
Double Chance
1X
37%2.53
X2
81%1.11
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

31'A. Pavlovskis
41'A. Grazis
52'E. Stuglis
68'A. Grazis
76'A. DenisovsAssist: G. Krievins
84'R. Owusu
86'H. Bekeris

Team Comparison

MārupeMārupe
Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
1440Elo Rating 1690
1.56Attack 3.34
0.99Defense 0.37
34%Hit Rate 66%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MārupeMārupe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

MārupeMārupe0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Riga MarinersRiga Mariners3Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

1. Liga27/06/2026
Riga MarinersMārupe
20
1. Liga09/08/2025
Riga MarinersMārupe
31
1. Liga12/04/2025
MārupeRiga Mariners
12

Recent Form

MārupeMārupe
4W2D4L
18/10/2026
JFK VentspilsMārupe
00
D
10/10/2026
Rīgas FS IIMārupe
23
W
20/09/2026
MārupeRiga FC II
00
D
12/09/2026
MārupeTukums II
50
W
29/08/2026
MārupeJDFS Alberts
02
L
22/08/2026
Valmiera / BSSMārupe
41
L
15/08/2026
MārupeSuper Nova 2
21
W
08/08/2026
MārupeLeevon / PPK
01
L
01/08/2026
SkansteMārupe
42
L
25/07/2026
Rēzekne FAMārupe
12
W
Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
7W1D2L
17/10/2026
Riga MarinersSkanste
43
W
10/10/2026
Metta / LURiga Mariners
40
L
19/09/2026
Valmiera / BSSRiga Mariners
24
W
12/09/2026
SmilteneRiga Mariners
41
L
05/09/2026
Riga MarinersRēzekne FA
50
W
29/08/2026
Riga MarinersRīgas FS II
31
W
24/08/2026
Riga FC IIRiga Mariners
13
W
09/08/2026
Riga MarinersTukums II
42
W
31/07/2026
Super Nova 2Riga Mariners
03
W
25/07/2026
Riga MarinersJFK Ventspils
11
D

League Table

1. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metta / LUMetta / LU24203198:18+8063WWWWW
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS24175266:26+4056WDDLW
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners24165360:31+2953WWLWL
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK24165349:29+2053LDWWD
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts24135651:33+1844WDWLL
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2496939:39033WDWDD
7MārupeMārupe241031138:40-233LDWDW
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22478933:36-329WLDLD
9SkansteSkanste24821447:51-426LLLLW
10SmilteneSmiltene24651337:62-2523WDWWW
11Tukums IITukums II24541531:68-3719LDLWW
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II24531637:68-3118LWLLL
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils24371421:48-2716LDLLW
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA24132017:75-586LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Metta / LUMetta / LU2498:1863
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS2466:2656
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners2460:3153
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK2449:2953
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2451:3344
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2439:3933
7MārupeMārupe2438:4033
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22433:3629
9SkansteSkanste2447:5126
10SmilteneSmiltene2437:6223
11Tukums IITukums II2431:6819
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2437:6818
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2421:4816
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2417:756

About the Mārupe vs Riga Mariners forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mārupe and Riga Mariners in the 1. Liga table

In the 1. Liga table, Riga Mariners are 3rd and Mārupe 7th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Mārupe 38-40, Riga Mariners 60-31. The full standings are on the 1. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.