Mārupe vs Tukums II Prediction

Mārupe
5-0
Finished
HT 5-0
Tukums II
12/09/2026
MārupeMārupe
5-0
Finished
Tukums IITukums II

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.61
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+1.2%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.61
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+7.8%
Mārupe Rest
13 days
Tukums II Rest
6 days

Mārupe vs Tukums II: the result in context

Mārupe beat Tukums II 5-0 in the 1. Liga on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Mārupe have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.61
X
17%4.10
2
16%4.20
Double Chance
1X
84%1.16
X2
33%2.07
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

MārupeMārupe
Tukums IITukums II
1440Elo Rating 1343
1.56Attack 1.44
0.99Defense 1.01
34%Hit Rate 31%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MārupeMārupe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
Tukums IITukums II
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

MārupeMārupe5Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Tukums IITukums II0Wins · 0%
2.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

1. Liga09/05/2026
Tukums IIMārupe
12
1. Liga27/07/2025
Tukums IIMārupe
12
1. Liga29/03/2025
MārupeTukums II
10
1. Liga31/08/2024
MārupeTukums II
21
1. Liga05/05/2024
Tukums IIMārupe
01

Recent Form

MārupeMārupe
3W0D7L
29/08/2026
MārupeJDFS Alberts
02
L
22/08/2026
Valmiera / BSSMārupe
41
L
15/08/2026
MārupeSuper Nova 2
21
W
08/08/2026
MārupeLeevon / PPK
01
L
01/08/2026
SkansteMārupe
42
L
25/07/2026
Rēzekne FAMārupe
12
W
18/07/2026
MārupeMetta / LU
04
L
12/07/2026
MārupeGrobiņa
01
L
04/07/2026
MārupeSmiltene
21
W
27/06/2026
Riga MarinersMārupe
20
L
Tukums IITukums II
1W1D8L
06/09/2026
Tukums IILeevon / PPK
03
L
30/08/2026
SkansteTukums II
62
L
09/08/2026
Riga MarinersTukums II
42
L
03/08/2026
Tukums IIJDFS Alberts
11
D
27/07/2026
Metta / LUTukums II
90
L
20/07/2026
Tukums IIRīgas FS II
20
W
04/07/2026
Riga FC IITukums II
20
L
27/06/2026
Super Nova 2Tukums II
31
L
14/06/2026
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
14
L
31/05/2026
JDFS AlbertsTukums II
61
L

League Table

1. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metta / LUMetta / LU24203198:18+8063WWWWW
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS24175266:26+4056WDDLW
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners24165360:31+2953WWLWL
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK24165349:29+2053LDWWD
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts24135651:33+1844WDWLL
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2496939:39033WDWDD
7MārupeMārupe241031138:40-233LDWDW
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22478933:36-329WLDLD
9SkansteSkanste24821447:51-426LLLLW
10SmilteneSmiltene24651337:62-2523WDWWW
11Tukums IITukums II24541531:68-3719LDLWW
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II24531637:68-3118LWLLL
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils24371421:48-2716LDLLW
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA24132017:75-586LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Metta / LUMetta / LU2498:1863
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS2466:2656
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners2460:3153
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK2449:2953
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2451:3344
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2439:3933
7MārupeMārupe2438:4033
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22433:3629
9SkansteSkanste2447:5126
10SmilteneSmiltene2437:6223
11Tukums IITukums II2431:6819
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2437:6818
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2421:4816
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2417:756

About the Mārupe vs Tukums II forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mārupe and Tukums II in the 1. Liga table

In the 1. Liga table, Mārupe are 7th and Tukums II 11th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Mārupe 38-40, Tukums II 31-68. The full standings are on the 1. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Tukums II have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.