Sparta Praha vs Slovácko Prediction
Czech Republic · Regular Season - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-1.5%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.45
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+3.9%
Sparta Praha Rest
2 days
Slovácko Rest
7 days
Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: the result in context
Sparta Praha beat Slovácko 5-1 in the Czech Liga on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Sparta Praha have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
175%1.25
X17%5.60
28%9.30
Double Chance
1X92%1.05
X225%3.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.80
No47%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.31 + 0.84 = 3.15
Over 1.584%1.11
Over 2.566%1.45
Over 3.543%2.20
Under 1.516%5.45
Under 2.534%2.56
Under 3.557%1.66
Corners
Projected Corners: 7 + 3.4 = 10.4
Over 8.569%1.33
Over 9.558%1.58
Over 10.546%1.97
Under 8.531%2.92
Under 9.542%2.21
Under 10.554%1.74
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.556%1.72
Over 4.537%2.42
Under 3.544%2.05
Under 4.563%1.52
Match Events
14'Jonatan Braut BrunesAssist: Patrik Vydra
31'Jonatan Braut BrunesAssist: Ki-Jana Hoever
37'Jonatan Braut BrunesAssist: Andy Irving
45'Marek Havlík INPavel Juroska out
47'Andy IrvingAssist: Ki-Jana Hoever
58'Lukas Vorlicky INJan Fiala out
58'Milan Rundić INTihomir Kostadinov out
59'Tihomir KostadinovAssist: Pavel Juroska
63'Ki-Jana Hoever INPavel Kadeřábek out
63'Josimar Alcocer INMatej Jurasek out
63'Sivert Heggheim Mannsverk INHugo Sochurek out
71'Jonatan Braut Brunes
73'Gibril Sosseh INAlan Marinelli out
75'Loïc Mbe Soh INJakub Martinec out
77'Michal Trávník INFilip Hruška out
80'Jonatan Braut Brunes INMatyáš Vojta out
80'Filip HruškaFoul
82'Andrej StojchevskiDissent
83'Simon SloncikFoul
87'Hugo SochurekFoul
Lineups
Sparta PrahaSlovácko
3-4-2-1Coach: J. JelinekAvg ratingAvg rating
44J. Surovčík
25K. Hoever
22L. Mbe Soh
6T. Guddal
15V. Vitályos
18A. Irving
20S. Mannsverk
27E. Singhateh
26P. Vydra
7J. Alcócer
414J. Braut Brunes
29M. Heča
21Š. Slončík
3M. Rundić
19T. Král
15P. Blahút
16G. Sosseh
10M. Trávník
6M. Šviderský
27A. Dolžnikov
72L. Vorlický
20M. HavlíkSparta Praha Substitutes
5Santiago Eneme
30J. Zelený
21J. Grimaldo
47K. Hegyi
31M. Jurásek63'for Josimar Alcocer
3P. Kadeřábek63'for Ki-Jana Hoever
4J. Martinec75'for Loïc Mbe Soh
38H. Sochurek63'for Sivert Heggheim Mannsverk87'
2M. Suchomel
29M. Vojta80'for Jonatan Braut Brunes
54L. Franc
Slovácko Substitutes
33A. Urban
4A. Stojchevski82'
28L. Prior
9A. Marinelli73'for Gibril Sosseh
26T. Kostadinov58'for Milan Rundić59'
77P. Juroška45'for Marek Havlík
17F. Hruska77'for Michal Trávník80'
34P. Halouska
18J. Fiala58'for Lukas Vorlicky
14A. Alabi
Match Stats
Sparta PrahaSlovácko 63%Ball Possession37%
4Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards3
24Total Shots11
11Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal3
16Shots Inside Box8
8Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots3
17Fouls4
5Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves6
512Total Passes383
469Passes Accurate329
4Free Kicks17
Team Comparison
Sparta PrahaSlovácko1728Elo Rating 1523
0.95Attack 1.78
2.54Defense 1.79
31%Hit Rate 39%
17.3Shots per Game 10.4
4.8Shots on Target 2.5
4.5Corners per Game 3.6
2.9Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+205 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.15 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Sparta Praha- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Slovácko- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sparta Praha6Wins · 60%Draws440%
Slovácko0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%3.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
15/03/2026Sparta PrahaSlovácko52
19/10/2025SlováckoSparta Praha00
02/02/2025SlováckoSparta Praha02
24/08/2024Sparta PrahaSlovácko22
05/05/2024SlováckoSparta Praha24
25/02/2024SlováckoSparta Praha13
17/09/2023Sparta PrahaSlovácko50
23/05/2023SlováckoSparta Praha00
22/04/2023SlováckoSparta Praha11
09/11/2022Sparta PrahaSlovácko40
Recent Form
Sparta Praha6W2D2L
22/10/2026
Olympiakos PiraeusSparta Praha
Baník OstravaSparta PrahaSparta Praha
LillestromSparta Praha
Pardubice
Sigma OlomoucSparta PrahaSparta Praha
FK Jablonec
Hradec KrálovéSparta Praha
Olympiakos PiraeusSparta Praha10
L18/10/2026Baník OstravaSparta Praha00
D15/10/2026Sparta PrahaLillestrom11
D11/10/2026Sparta PrahaPardubice20
W02/10/2026Sparta Praha
Vysočina Jihlava
20/09/2026Sparta PrahaVysočina Jihlava53
WSigma OlomoucSparta Praha03
W16/09/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaSparta Praha
12/09/2026Ararat-ArmeniaSparta Praha14
WSparta PrahaFK Jablonec20
W09/09/2026
Viktoria ŽižkovSparta Praha
06/09/2026Viktoria ŽižkovSparta Praha05
WHradec KrálovéSparta Praha21
LSlovácko3W3D4L
18/10/2026Slovácko
Zbrojovka Brno
Slovan LiberecSlováckoSlováckoBaník OstravaSlováckoPardubice
Mlada BoleslavSlováckoSlováckoSigma Olomouc
SlováckoZbrojovka Brno12
L11/10/2026Slovan LiberecSlovácko02
W19/09/2026SlováckoBaník Ostrava22
D16/09/2026
Neratovice-ByškoviceSlovácko
Neratovice-ByškoviceSlovácko04
W12/09/2026
Bohemians 1905Slovácko
05/09/2026Bohemians 1905Slovácko20
LSlováckoPardubice00
D30/08/2026
PlzenSlovácko
PlzenSlovácko11
D26/08/2026
Velká BítešSlovácko
22/08/2026Velká BítešSlovácko12
WMlada BoleslavSlovácko21
L15/08/2026SlováckoSigma Olomouc12
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 27:7 | +20 | 28 | DDWWW |
| 2 | Sparta Praha | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25:13 | +12 | 22 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | +5 | 21 | DWLLW |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:15 | +4 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 5 | Slovan Liberec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:7 | +6 | 20 | LLDWW |
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | +3 | 20 | WLWDL |
| 7 | Zbrojovka Brno | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 | DWLLW |
| 8 |  Teplice | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | +1 | 18 | DLDWL |
| 9 | Plzen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 24:21 | +3 | 16 | LWWLL |
| 10 | Bohemians 1905 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 16 | DWWLW |
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Pardubice | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 11 | DLDLL |
| 14 |  Artis | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 9 | DWDLL |
| 15 | Slovácko | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 16 |  Zlin | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9:24 | -15 | 2 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 12 | 27:7 | 28 |
| 2 | Sparta Praha | 12 | 25:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 12 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 12 | 19:15 | 21 |
| 5 | Slovan Liberec | 11 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 12 | 16:13 | 20 |
| 7 | Zbrojovka Brno | 12 | 16:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Teplice | 12 | 18:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Plzen | 12 | 24:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Bohemians 1905 | 11 | 13:13 | 16 |
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 12 | 11:15 | 15 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 12 | 14:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 11 | 7:18 | 11 |
| 14 | Artis | 11 | 11:20 | 9 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 12 | 11:23 | 7 |
| 16 | Zlin | 12 | 9:24 | 2 |
Relegation
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This match
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About the Sparta Praha vs Slovácko forecast
The forecasts for this Czech Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sparta Praha and Slovácko in the Czech Liga table
The table shows a wide gap: Sparta Praha are 2nd in the Czech Liga, while Slovácko sit 15th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: Sparta Praha 25-13, Slovácko 11-23. The full standings are on the Czech Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.