Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom Prediction
World · League Stage - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.33
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseHighGap-2.5%
Sparta Praha Rest
4 days
Lillestrom Rest
3 days
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom: the result in context
Sparta Praha and Lillestrom drew 1-1 in the UEFA Europa League on 15 Oct 2026. Sparta Praha had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 2 for Lillestrom.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
171%1.33
X18%5.50
211%8.50
Double Chance
1X89%1.07
X229%3.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%1.73
No49%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.62 + 0.7 = 3.32
Over 1.582%1.13
Over 2.565%1.44
Over 3.544%2.20
Under 1.518%5.50
Under 2.535%2.67
Under 3.556%1.70
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.2 = 9.1
Over 8.560%1.42
Over 9.543%1.67
Over 10.533%2.08
Under 8.540%2.73
Under 9.557%2.12
Under 10.567%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.559%1.56
Over 4.540%2.11
Under 3.541%2.35
Under 4.560%1.67
Match Events
18'Martin SuchomelFoul
28'Gustav Kjolstad NyheimFoul
30'Ebrima SinghatehDissent
45'Ebrima Singhateh INJosimar Alcocer out
56'Josimar AlcocerAssist: Jonatan Braut Brunes
61'Sivert Heggheim Mannsverk INRoman Macek out
61'Matej Jurasek INJohn Mercado out
61'Martin Suchomel INKi-Jana Hoever out
65'Daniel Bassi INEric Kitolano out
65'Fredrik Gulbrandsen INThomas Lehne Olsen out
70'Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim INHenrik Molvaer Melland out
73'Winston Robin Yaw Paintsil INFrederik Elkaer out
73'Felix Vá INGustav Nordh out
77'Roman MacekFoul
85'Andy Irving INSantiago Eneme out
90+1'Thomas Lehne OlsenAssist: Gustav Nordh
90+3'Henrik Molvaer MellandDissent
Lineups
Sparta PrahaLillestrom
4-3-3Coach: H. ØdegaardAvg ratingAvg rating
44J. Surovčík
2M. Suchomel
19A. Ševínský
6T. Guddal
15V. Vitályos
18A. Irving
20S. Mannsverk
31M. Jurásek
38H. Sochurek
27E. Singhateh
14J. Braut Brunes
12P. Dahlberg
2L. Ranger
28R. Gabrielsen
47S. Kristiansen
26Y. Paintsil
29Y. Ibrahimaj
21F. Ottosson
14G. Nyheim
22D. Bassi
8F. Gulbrandsen
20VáSparta Praha Substitutes
30J. Zelený
26P. Vydra
47K. Hegyi
21J. Grimaldo
5Santiago Eneme85'for Andy Irving
7J. Alcócer45'for Ebrima Singhateh56'
25K. Hoever61'for Martin Suchomel
3P. Kadeřábek
28R. Macek61'for Sivert Heggheim Mannsverk77'
4J. Martinec
17J. Mercado61'for Matej Jurasek
29M. Vojta
Lillestrom Substitutes
7L. Alperud
17E. Kitolano65'for Daniel Bassi
3S. Ottesen
15G. Nordh73'for Felix Vá
16H. Melland70'for Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim90+3'
5S. Foss
10T. Lehne Olsen65'for Fredrik Gulbrandsen90+1'
18K. Krygård
1S. Hagerup
11F. Elkær73'for Winston Robin Yaw Paintsil
Match Stats
Sparta PrahaLillestrom 53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots6
8Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box4
8Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots1
12Fouls9
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves6
409Total Passes391
343Passes Accurate303
9Free Kicks12
Team Comparison
Sparta PrahaLillestrom1728Elo Rating 1665
0.95Attack 1.69
2.54Defense 0.72
31%Hit Rate 37%
17.3Shots per Game 10.9
4.8Shots on Target 3.6
4.5Corners per Game 3.3
2.9Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.32 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk90%
Game State Tendencies
Sparta Praha- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Lillestrom- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Recent Form
Sparta Praha8W0D2L
11/10/2026Sparta Praha
Pardubice
Sigma OlomoucSparta PrahaSparta Praha
FK Jablonec
Hradec KrálovéSparta PrahaSparta Praha
Slavia Praha
ArtisSparta PrahaSparta Praha
Teplice
Sparta PrahaPardubice20
W02/10/2026Sparta Praha
Vysočina Jihlava
20/09/2026Sparta PrahaVysočina Jihlava53
WSigma OlomoucSparta Praha03
W16/09/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaSparta Praha
12/09/2026Ararat-ArmeniaSparta Praha14
WSparta PrahaFK Jablonec20
W09/09/2026
Viktoria ŽižkovSparta Praha
06/09/2026Viktoria ŽižkovSparta Praha05
WHradec KrálovéSparta Praha21
L30/08/2026Sparta PrahaSlavia Praha03
L22/08/2026ArtisSparta Praha04
W15/08/2026Sparta PrahaTeplice41
WLillestrom5W2D3L
11/10/2026Lillestrom
Molde
VikingLillestromLillestrom
TorreenseLillestrom
Valerenga
BrannLillestromLillestrom
Fredrikstad
LillestromMolde22
D01/10/2026
BærumLillestrom
20/09/2026BærumLillestrom15
WVikingLillestrom30
L17/09/2026LillestromTorreense12
L12/09/2026LillestromValerenga20
W05/09/2026BrannLillestrom12
W02/09/2026
Aurskog FinstadbruLillestrom
30/08/2026Aurskog FinstadbruLillestrom03
WLillestromFredrikstad14
L27/08/2026Lillestrom
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
LillestromEgnatia Rrogozhinë2111
W20/08/2026Egnatia RrogozhinëLillestrom
Egnatia RrogozhinëLillestrom00
DLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 |  Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 |  Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Europa League
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This match
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About the Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom forecast
This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sparta Praha and Lillestrom in the UEFA Europa League table
In the UEFA Europa League table, Sparta Praha are 16th and Lillestrom 31st, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Sparta Praha 5-3, Lillestrom 2-9. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Sparta Praha and Lillestrom have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.