Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha Prediction

Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus·Espen Eskas 22/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.50
SignalNEUTRALModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.48
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
Olympiakos Piraeus Rest
4 days
Sparta Praha Rest
4 days

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: the result in context

Olympiakos Piraeus beat Sparta Praha 1-0 in the UEFA Europa League on 22 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Olympiakos Piraeus had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Sparta Praha.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.50
X
23%4.47
2
15%6.20
Double Chance
1X
85%1.13
X2
38%2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.85
No
50%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.1 = 2.69
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
54%1.75
Over 3.5
33%2.82
Under 1.5
23%4.00
Under 2.5
46%2.10
Under 3.5
67%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
54%1.51
Over 9.5
43%1.90
Over 10.5
33%2.45
Under 8.5
46%2.32
Under 9.5
57%1.86
Under 10.5
67%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.9 = 4.6
Over 3.5
68%1.57
Over 4.5
50%2.10
Under 3.5
32%2.34
Under 4.5
50%1.68

Match Events

29'Jaroslav ZelenýFoul
38'Roman MacekFoul
45'Hugo Sochurek INSivert Heggheim Mannsverk out
60'Matyáš Vojta INJonatan Braut Brunes out
62'Roman Yaremchuk INArmando González out
63'Santiago Hezze INGustavo Puerta out
67'Roman Macek INPatrik Vydra out
67'Matej Jurasek INEbrima Singhateh out
74'Manolis Saliakas INMarcus Pedersen out
74'Bruno Onyemaechi INNayair Tiknizyan out
77'Ebrima SinghatehFoul
78'Armando GonzálezAssist: Marcus Pedersen
79'Ki-Jana Hoever INPavel Kadeřábek out
80'Martin SuchomelFoul
83'Chiquinho INGustavo Sá out
83'Jota SilvaFoul
90+2'Gelson MartinsFoul

Lineups

Olympiakos Piraeus
4-2-3-1Coach: Imanol Alguacil
Sparta Praha
4-3-3Coach: Brian Priske
Avg rating7.15
Avg rating6.46
S. Ortega6.81S. Ortega
M. Saliakas7.82M. Saliakas
P. Retsos7.745P. Retsos
L. Pirola7.95L. Pirola
S. Onyemaechi7.470S. Onyemaechi
R. Freuler6.619R. Freuler
S. Hezze6.932S. Hezze
Jota Silva6.720J. Silva
Chiquinho7.222Chiquinho
Gelson Martins7.210G. Martins
R. Yaremchuk6.511R. Yaremchuk
J. Surovčík6.644J. Surovčík
K. Hoever6.225K. Hoever
T. Guddal7.06T. Guddal
J. Zelený6.930J. Zelený
M. Suchomel6.12M. Suchomel
H. Sochurek6.438H. Sochurek
R. Macek5.928R. Macek
Santiago Eneme6.85S. Eneme
M. Jurásek6.231M. Jurásek
M. Vojta6.429M. Vojta
J. Alcócer6.47J. Alcócer

Olympiakos Piraeus Substitutes

6David Carmo
92I. Georgakopoulos
34A. González62'for Roman Yaremchuk78'7.4
27M. Pedersen74'for Manolis Saliakas7.3
15G. Puerta63'for Santiago Hezze7.0
8Gustavo Sá83'for Chiquinho6.8
4Z. Smajlović
71N. Tiknizyan74'for Bruno Onyemaechi7.1
89P. Toufakis
91D. Stournaras
77C. Filis

Sparta Praha Substitutes

18A. Irving
3P. Kadeřábek79'for Ki-Jana Hoever6.7
20S. Mannsverk45'for Hugo Sochurek6.7
4J. Martinec
22L. Mbe Soh
27E. Singhateh67'for Matej Jurasek77'6.3
15V. Vitályos
26P. Vydra67'for Roman Macek6.6
47K. Hegyi
14J. Braut Brunes60'for Matyáš Vojta6.5
54L. Franc

Match Stats

Olympiakos PiraeusSparta Praha
60%Ball Possession40%
14Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards4
23Total Shots14
2Shots on Goal1
12Shots off Goal6
20Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box5
9Blocked Shots7
7Fouls13
3Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
472Total Passes326
400Passes Accurate263
13Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
1834Elo Rating 1728
1.23Attack 0.95
3.00Defense 2.54
100%Hit Rate 31%
17.3Shots per Game 17.3
3.7Shots on Target 4.8
6.3Corners per Game 4.5
2.3Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+106 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Referee Profile

Espen Eskas166 matches

3.56Cards per match
3.48Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
21.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Espen Eskas3.56
Other referees3.67

3.56 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.67).

Cards come from 150 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica330010:2+89WWW
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen33008:0+89WWW
3BournemouthBournemouth33008:1+79WWW
4Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC33009:3+69WWW
5Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus33004:1+39WWW
6Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise32108:1+77WDW
7JuventusJuventus32109:3+67DWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş32109:5+47DWW
9SunderlandSunderland32104:2+27DWW
10AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar32016:2+46WWL
11Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia32015:4+16LWW
12LyonLyon32015:6-16LWW
13RennesRennes31204:3+15DWD
14Real SociedadReal Sociedad31118:3+54WDL
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace31118:5+34DLW
16Sparta PrahaSparta Praha31115:3+24LDW
17Levski SofiaLevski Sofia31113:304WDL
18Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb31113:4-14LWD
19Sturm GrazSturm Graz31111:3-24WLD
20NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen31115:8-34WDL
21Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg31113:6-34DLW
22AnderlechtAnderlecht31024:3+13WLL
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim31025:503WLL
24AC MilanAC Milan31024:5-13LWL
25Celta VigoCelta Vigo31023:4-13WLL
26OFIOFI31023:4-13LLW
27JagielloniaJagiellonia31024:6-23LWL
28TorreenseTorreense31024:7-33LLW
29CeljeCelje30122:7-51DLL
30Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva30121:6-51LLD
31LillestromLillestrom30122:9-71LDL
32Lech PoznanLech Poznan30121:9-81DLL
33PlzenPlzen30032:7-50LLL
34MarseilleMarseille30031:6-50LLL
35CelticCeltic30033:9-60LLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia30032:11-90LLL
Europa League

About the Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha in the UEFA Europa League table

In the UEFA Europa League table, Olympiakos Piraeus are 5th and Sparta Praha 16th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Olympiakos Piraeus 4-1, Sparta Praha 5-3. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Olympiakos Piraeus have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.