Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

Spartak Varna
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
CSKA Sofia
Stadion Spartak, Varna 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
53%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.93
SignalGOODModel46%RiskMediumGap+4.8%
Spartak Varna Rest
6 days
CSKA Sofia Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
15%5.50
X
27%3.94
2
58%1.55
Double Chance
1X
42%2.31
X2
85%1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.85
No
48%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.02 + 1.6 = 2.62
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
47%1.83
Over 3.5
28%3.00
Under 1.5
25%3.55
Under 2.5
53%1.93
Under 3.5
72%1.34
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'Ioannis Pittas
32'Boubacar Hanne
36'Ángelo Martino
46'Facundo Rodriguez INJean-Philippe Gbamin out
51'anton ivanov
57'Max Ebong INCătălin Itu out
58'Joao Lopes INangel gomes out
58'ricardo sousa INmikhailov tsvetoslav marinov out
65'Plamen Iliev
70'David Valverde INDeyan Lozev out
71'James Eto'o INIsaac Solet Bomawoko out
77'David Samuel Custódio Lima
77'anton ivanov INBua out
78'Ahmed Ahmedov INTsvetelin Chunchukov out
81'Bruno Jordão INLeonardo Augusto dos Santos Pereira out
90+2'

Lineups

Spartak Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: V. Petrov
CSKA Sofia
4-1-3-2Coach: Hristo Yanev
P. Iliev23P. IlievP. Iliev
B. Ivanov4B. IvanovB. Ivanov
A. Granchov44A. GranchovA. Granchov
J. Tshitoku45J. TshitokuJ. Tshitoku
David Valverde76D. ValverdeDavid Valverde
S. Major19S. MajorS. Major
José Ricardo Gomes Sousa6J. Ricardo Gomes SousaJosé Ricardo Gomes Sousa
A. Ivanov77A. IvanovA. Ivanov
J. Lopes10J. LopesJ. Lopes
Boubacar Hanne11B. HanneBoubacar Hanne
A. Ahmedov70A. AhmedovA. Ahmedov
F. Lapoukhov21F. LapoukhovF. Lapoukhov
Pastor2PastorPastor
T. Ivanov14T. IvanovT. Ivanov
Facundo Santiago Rodríguez32F. Santiago RodríguezFacundo Santiago Rodríguez
Á. Martino17Á. MartinoÁ. Martino
Bruno Jordão6B. JordãoBruno Jordão
J. Eto'o99J. Eto'oJ. Eto'o
S. Sensi8S. SensiS. Sensi
M. Ebong7M. EbongM. Ebong
S. Godoy9S. GodoyS. Godoy
I. Pittas28I. PittasI. Pittas

Spartak Varna Substitutes

7BuaM
9T. ChunchukovF
80A. GomesF
3Mateo Jurić-PetrašiloD
20D. LozevD
17T. MarinovM
82Tomás SilvaM
99G. TrifonovF
1Pedro VictorG
14Daniel PavlovM
72Vasco OliveiraD

CSKA Sofia Substitutes

19A. YordanovM
30P. PanayotovM
94I. Solet BomawokoM
80G. ChorbadzhiyskiM
5J. GbaminM
25D. EvtimovG
38Léo PereiraF
3Tamimou OuorouM
4Dinis AlmeidaD
67C. ItuM
34V. KaymakanovM

Match Stats

Spartak VarnaCSKA Sofia
31%Ball Possession69%
2Corner Kicks10
2Yellow Cards3
4Total Shots27
2Shots on Goal8
2Shots off Goal19
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
1481Elo Rating 1679
0.42Attack 2.69
1.44Defense 1.63
0%Hit Rate 66%
8.9Shots per Game 21.2
4.2Shots on Target 8.6
2.5Corners per Game 6.5
2.0Cards per Game 1.8

Game State Tendencies

Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Spartak Varna 0%Draw 23%77% CSKA Sofia
3.38Avg Goals
37%BTTS Rate
61%Over 2.5

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia981021:4+1725DWWWW
2LudogoretsLudogorets972016:7+923WWDDW
3CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia862021:6+1520WDWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948961217:9+819WLWLW
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali951314:11+316LLWWW
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv941413:14-113WWLLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia92528:6+211DWLDD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna924310:14-410DDDLL
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa92257:17-108DWLWL
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia92258:15-78LLDWW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv92074:12-86LWLLL
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna912610:19-95DLLWL
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia804410:16-64DLDLL
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse91178:17-94LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia921:425
2LudogoretsLudogorets916:723
3CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia821:620
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948917:919
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali914:1116
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv913:1413
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia98:611
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna910:1410
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa97:178
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia98:158
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv94:126
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna910:195
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia810:164
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse98:174
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this First League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About First League

ScorePredicts covers Bulgaria football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Spartak Varna and CSKA Sofia have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.38 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.