Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna Prediction

Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv·Mihael Pavlov, Bulgaria 10/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.36
SignalHIGHModel36%SurpriseHighGap+9.1%
Botev Plovdiv Rest
9 days
Spartak Varna Rest
7 days

Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna: the result in context

Botev Plovdiv beat Spartak Varna 3-2 in the First League on 10 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.53
X
25%3.85
2
30%6.00
Double Chance
1X
69%1.11
X2
55%2.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%1.85
No
58%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.12 = 2.39
Over 1.5
68%1.24
Over 2.5
44%1.78
Over 3.5
23%2.95
Under 1.5
32%3.75
Under 2.5
56%1.96
Under 3.5
77%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'MascoteAssist: V. Mendes
28'A. ChandarovAssist: C. Meotti
39'S. KaluAssist: C. Meotti
46'S. Major INR. Sousa out
46'B. Hein INB. Kostov out
46'N. Iliev INM. Rodrigues out
58'S. PetrovOG
62'Mascote INO. M. Chidera out
62'C. Meotti INV. Vidolov out
67'T. Chunchukov INA. Ahmedov out
67'T. Silva INBua out
67'B. Hanne INA. Ivanov out
68'Jota Lopes
84'Jota Lopes INA. Gomes out
86'S. Kalu
90+2'S. Kalu INW. Chimezie out
90+3'A. AhmedovAssist: A. Ivanov

Lineups

Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-1Coach: Stanislav Genchev
Spartak Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: Yasen Petrov
Daniel Naumov29D. Naumov
Vladimir Mendes82V. Mendes
Simeon Petrov87S. Petrov
Timothy Awany20T. Awany
Bryan-Anthony Chibuike Hein27B. Chibuike Hein
Lucas Araujo77L. Araujo
Asen Chandarov10A. Chandarov
Carlos Meotti66C. Meotti
Nikola Iliev7N. Iliev
Samuel Kalu90S. Kalu
Franklin Mascote30F. Mascote
Plamen Iliev23P. Iliev
David Valverde Juan76D. Valverde Juan
Vasco Oliveira72V. Oliveira
Joey Tshitoku45J. Tshitoku
Boris Ivanov4B. Ivanov
Tsvetoslav Marinov17T. Marinov
Sámuel Major19S. Major
Jota Lopes10J. Lopes
Tomás Silva82T. Silva
Boubacar Hanne11B. Hanne
Tsvetelin Chunchukov9T. Chunchukov

Botev Plovdiv Substitutes

15Bogdan Kostov46'for B. Hein
19Mauro Rodrigues46'for N. Iliev
9Chidera Micheal Okoh62'for Mascote
88Williams Chimezie Oluebube90+2'for S. Kalu
21Nikolay Prandzhev
4Nikola Soldo
22Marvin Senger
16Veliyan Vidolov62'for C. Meotti
17Georgi Milanov
23Dimitar Tonev
45Edson Silva

Spartak Varna Substitutes

6Ricardo Sousa46'for S. Major
7Buá
70Ahmed Ahmedov67'for T. Chunchukov90+3'
77Anton Ivanov67'for B. Hanne
80Ángel Gomes Arevalo84'for Jota Lopes
1Pedro Victor
44Angel Granchov
5Dimo Krastev
14Daniel Pavlov

Team Comparison

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
1587Elo Rating 1451
2.36Attack 1.21
1.49Defense 0.39
54%Hit Rate 36%
16.9Shots per Game 10.9
6.8Shots on Target 3.4
4.3Corners per Game 4.6
2.7Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+135 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna4Wins · 40%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
10
First League04/04/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
50
Cup13/12/2025
Spartak VarnaBotev Plovdiv
02
First League24/10/2025
Spartak VarnaBotev Plovdiv
32
First League18/05/2025
Spartak VarnaBotev Plovdiv
21
First League04/05/2025
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
32
First League15/02/2025
Spartak VarnaBotev Plovdiv
10
First League24/08/2024
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
01
Cup27/02/2024
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
21
First League17/04/2023
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
11

Recent Form

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
6W1D3L
01/08/2026
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
10
W
27/07/2026
CSKA SofiaBotev Plovdiv
32
L
21/07/2026
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
12/07/2026
Botev PlovdivBeroe
40
W
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
10
W
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivEtar Veliko Tarnovo
12
L
01/07/2026
Botev PlovdivChernomorets 1919 Burgas
40
W
26/06/2026
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
21
W
23/06/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Pleven
40
W
25/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
21
L
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
5W3D2L
03/08/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
W
26/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaSpartak Varna
03
W
17/07/2026
Spartak VarnaCSKA 1948
22
D
11/07/2026
Spartak VarnaDobrudzha
73
W
08/07/2026
Spartak VarnaNesebar
11
D
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
10
L
27/06/2026
Spartak VarnaDunav Ruse
00
D
22/05/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
30
W
18/05/2026
MontanaSpartak Varna
02
W
14/05/2026
Septemvri SofiaSpartak Varna
10
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia14104032:9+2334WDWWD
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia13102125:8+1732LWDWD
3LudogoretsLudogorets1393126:11+1530DWLWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481492333:16+1729DWWLW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1472523:21+223DWLWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1463520:22-221LWDLD
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1444615:25-1016WLLWL
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia142849:9014DDDLL
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1434714:22-813DWWLD
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1433816:23-712DLWWD
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv143388:18-1012WLDDD
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1432912:25-1311WLLLL
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1424811:24-1310LLDLD
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1416715:26-119LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1432:934
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1325:832
3LudogoretsLudogorets1326:1130
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481433:1629
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1423:2123
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1420:2221
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1415:2516
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia149:914
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1414:2213
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1416:2312
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv148:1812
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1412:2511
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1411:2410
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1415:269
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Botev Plovdiv and Spartak Varna in the First League table

Botev Plovdiv and Spartak Varna are close in the First League table, 5th and 7th, with 7 points between them. League goal record so far: Botev Plovdiv 23-21, Spartak Varna 15-25. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Botev Plovdiv have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.