Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC Prediction

Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.51
SignalHIGHModel59%RiskMediumGap+4.2%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.68
SignalSTRONGModel68%RiskMediumGap+9.9%
Sporting Kansas City Rest
7 days
Los Angeles FC Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%4.53
X
23%4.13
2
58%1.66
Double Chance
1X
42%2.17
X2
81%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
88%1.53
No
12%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.68 = 3.19
Over 1.5
92%1.14
Over 2.5
70%1.51
Over 3.5
54%2.25
Under 1.5
8%5.25
Under 2.5
30%2.47
Under 3.5
46%1.61
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.8 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.42
Over 9.5
45%1.77
Over 10.5
35%2.15
Under 8.5
42%2.60
Under 9.5
55%1.96
Under 10.5
65%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.8 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%1.68
Over 4.5
32%2.11
Under 3.5
48%2.14
Under 4.5
68%1.68

Match Events

18'André LuizAssist: Justin Reynolds
19'Sergi PalenciaFoul
31'Taylor Calheira
44'Kwaku AgyabengFoul
45'Igor Jesus INMarky Delgado out
45'Jude Terry INJacob Shaffelburg out
47'Denis BouangaAssist: Jacob Shaffelburg
61'Kwaku Agyabeng INJacob Bartlett out
67'Sergi Palencia INRyan Hollingshead out
67'Armindo Sieb INTyler Boyd out
71'Jacob Bartlett
80'Evgen CheberkoFoul
81'Evgen Cheberko INJeremy Ebobisse out
82'Calvin HarrisFoul
85'Stephen Afrifa INSeymour Garfield-Reid out
85'André Luiz INShapi Suleymanov out
87'Calvin Harris INJayden Reid out

Lineups

Sporting Kansas City
4-4-2Coach: R. Wicky
Los Angeles FC
4-3-3Coach: M. Dos Santos
S. Cleveland30S. ClevelandS. Cleveland
J. Reynolds13J. ReynoldsJ. Reynolds
M. Mosquera3M. MosqueraM. Mosquera
Wyatt Meyer28W. MeyerWyatt Meyer
E. Karić18E. KarićE. Karić
André Luiz11A. LuizAndré Luiz
L. Johnsen4L. JohnsenL. Johnsen
K. Agyabeng20K. AgyabengK. Agyabeng
C. Harris14C. HarrisC. Harris
T. Calheira19T. CalheiraT. Calheira
S. Afrifa17S. AfrifaS. Afrifa
H. Lloris1H. LlorisH. Lloris
Sergi Palencia14S. PalenciaSergi Palencia
E. Segura4E. SeguraE. Segura
N. Tafari91N. TafariN. Tafari
Y. Cheberko23Y. CheberkoY. Cheberko
M. Choinière66M. ChoinièreM. Choinière
Igor Jesus6I. JesusIgor Jesus
Jude Terry22J. TerryJude Terry
A. Sieb9A. SiebA. Sieb
Son Heung-Min7S. Heung-MinSon Heung-Min
D. Bouanga99D. BouangaD. Bouanga

Sporting Kansas City Substitutes

16J. BartlettD
57Diego BorgesD
15Jansen MillerD
1J. PulskampG
24R. RamosF
99J. ReidD
29S. ReidF
93M. SuleymanovF
42Alexander CunninghamD

Los Angeles FC Substitutes

24R. HollingsheadD
33A. LongD
45Kenny NielsenD
21R. RaposoM
18J. ShaffelburgF
17J. EbobisseF
8M. DelgadoM
31Cabral CarterG
19T. BoydF

Match Stats

Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles FC
43%Ball Possession57%
6Corner Kicks12
2Yellow Cards2
20Total Shots21
8Shots on Goal9
6Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box14
8Shots Outside Box7
6Blocked Shots6
6Fouls9
1Offsides3
7Goalkeeper Saves6
386Total Passes507
331Passes Accurate455
9Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
1439Elo Rating 1656
1.80Attack 1.26
0.76Defense 1.66
27%Hit Rate 23%
16.8Shots per Game 20.2
5.0Shots on Target 7.1
5.7Corners per Game 9.9
1.6Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.19 goals
📈BTTS Trend37% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego25861142:42030LLLWW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2542:4230
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Major League Soccer

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Key Factors for This Match

Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles FC have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.16 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.