FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 23
Toyota Stadium, Frisco 06/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
53%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.90
SignalNEUTRALModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+4.4%
FC Dallas Rest
6 days
Sporting Kansas City Rest
7 days
FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City: result, form and history
FC Dallas beat Sporting Kansas City 4-3 in the Major League Soccer on 6 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: FC Dallas had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Sporting Kansas City.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.6 goals, and both sides scored in 10 of them. FC Dallas tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 3.8 for Sporting Kansas City.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
164%1.40
X20%5.00
216%6.50
Double Chance
1X84%1.11
X236%2.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.58
No44%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 0.96 = 2.66
Over 1.578%1.11
Over 2.557%1.42
Over 3.535%2.10
Under 1.522%6.00
Under 2.543%2.77
Under 3.565%1.72
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.4 = 8.8
Over 8.544%1.50
Over 9.533%1.81
Over 10.523%2.21
Under 8.556%2.45
Under 9.567%1.92
Under 10.577%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.560%1.68
Over 4.540%2.26
Under 3.540%2.12
Under 4.560%1.60
Match Events
4'Taylor Calheira
19'Stephen Afrifa
27'Logan FarringtonAssist: Petar Musa
30'Petar MusaAssist: Bernard Kamungo
45'Kaick da Silva FerreiraAssist: Logan Farrington
58'André Luiz INShapi Suleymanov out
62'Herman Johansson INSebastien Ibeagha out
62'Ramiro INChristian Cappis out
67'Stephen Afrifa INSeymour Garfield-Reid out
75'Logan Farrington INSantiago Moreno out
75'Joaquín Valiente Cioli INRan Binyamin out
78'Taylor CalheiraAssist: Emir Karic
81'nolan norris INSamuel Sarver out
85'Emir Karic INJayden Reid out
85'Justin Reynolds INJansen Miller out
88'Moises CastilloFoul
90+3'Penalty confirmedPetar Musa
90+7'Petar Musa(Penalty)
90+10'Raphael WickyDissent
90+11'Santiago MorenoAssist: Samuel Sarver
Lineups
FC DallasSporting Kansas City
4-4-2Coach: R. WickyAvg ratingAvg rating
40J. Sirois
18S. Moore
32N. Norris
3O. Urhoghide
14H. Johansson
21J. Valiente
17Ramiro
77B. Kamungo
55Kaick
23L. Farrington
9P. Musa
30S. Cleveland
13J. Reynolds
3M. Mosquera
5O. Blorian
18E. Karić
11A. Luiz
4L. Johnsen
20K. Agyabeng
7Capita
17S. Afrifa
19T. CalheiraFC Dallas Substitutes
28Samuel Sarver81'for nolan norris
24Joshua Torquato
6R. Binyamin75'for Joaquín Valiente Cioli
5L. Abubakar
30Michael Collodi
33C. Holstad
25S. Ibeagha62'for Herman Johansson
12C. Cappis62'for Ramiro
10S. Moreno75'for Logan Farrington90+11'
Sporting Kansas City Substitutes
57Diego Borges
29S. Reid67'for Stephen Afrifa
28Wyatt Meyer
15Jansen Miller85'for Justin Reynolds
1J. Pulskamp
24R. Ramos
99J. Reid85'for Emir Karic
16J. Bartlett
93M. Suleymanov58'for André Luiz
Match Stats
FC DallasSporting Kansas City 44%Ball Possession56%
3Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots26
9Shots on Goal10
5Shots off Goal7
11Shots Inside Box16
4Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots9
9Fouls10
2Offsides0
7Goalkeeper Saves5
376Total Passes482
300Passes Accurate413
80%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
FC DallasSporting Kansas City1671Elo Rating 1421
1.33Attack 0.86
1.94Defense 0.59
34%Hit Rate 0%
13.9Shots per Game 10.7
4.3Shots on Target 3.1
6.9Corners per Game 3.8
2.6Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+250 Elo
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
FC Dallas- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
Sporting Kansas City- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
FC Dallas5Wins · 50%Draws330%
Sporting Kansas City2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%3.6Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored10 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10
Previous meetings
15/06/2025Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas24
30/03/2025FC DallasSporting Kansas City21
20/10/2024FC DallasSporting Kansas City21
11/07/2024Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas2111
08/07/2024Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas32
01/06/2023Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas21
19/03/2023FC DallasSporting Kansas City21
09/10/2022FC DallasSporting Kansas City21
11/05/2022Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas4222
01/05/2022Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas22
Recent Form
FC Dallas4W3D3L
31/08/2026
St. Louis CityFC Dallas
Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas
Real Salt LakeFC Dallas
AustinFC Dallas
Los Angeles GalaxyFC Dallas
San DiegoFC Dallas
Portland TimbersFC Dallas
St. Louis CityFC Dallas33
D23/08/2026Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas50
L20/08/2026Real Salt LakeFC Dallas34
W17/08/2026AustinFC Dallas12
W13/08/2026
TolucaFC Dallas
TolucaFC Dallas31
L09/08/2026
Guadalajara ChivasFC Dallas
Guadalajara ChivasFC Dallas01
W06/08/2026FC Dallas
Club Queretaro
02/08/2026FC DallasClub Queretaro20
WLos Angeles GalaxyFC Dallas00
D26/07/2026San DiegoFC Dallas10
L23/07/2026Portland TimbersFC Dallas22
DSporting Kansas City2W1D7L
30/08/2026Sporting Kansas CityVancouver Whitecaps
Atlanta United FCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas CitySt. Louis City
Colorado RapidsSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FCSt. Louis CitySporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas CityVancouver Whitecaps03
L24/08/2026Atlanta United FCSporting Kansas City21
L20/08/2026Sporting Kansas CitySt. Louis City11
D16/08/2026Colorado RapidsSporting Kansas City20
L02/08/2026Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo02
L26/07/2026Los Angeles FCSporting Kansas City40
L23/07/2026Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC21
W17/07/2026St. Louis CitySporting Kansas City32
L24/05/2026Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas CityNew York Red Bulls12
L17/05/2026AustinSporting Kansas City
AustinSporting Kansas City12
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74:34 | +40 | 64 | WWWLW |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62:51 | +11 | 58 | WDLWD |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 54 | WLLLL |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57:51 | +6 | 52 | LWDLD |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43:43 | 0 | 51 | LLWDD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52:40 | +12 | 47 | LLDDW |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62:61 | +1 | 46 | WWWWD |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 46 | WLLDD |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53:52 | +1 | 45 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56:58 | -2 | 44 | WWWDW |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50:57 | -7 | 44 | LWDDW |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 43 | LLDWD |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57:63 | -6 | 38 | LWLDD |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42:65 | -23 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40:81 | -41 | 26 | WDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 74:34 | 64 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | 62:51 | 58 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | 59:48 | 54 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 57:51 | 52 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 43:43 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 52:40 | 47 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 62:61 | 46 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 44:46 | 46 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 53:52 | 45 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 56:58 | 44 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 50:57 | 44 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 47:50 | 43 |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | 57:63 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | 42:65 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 40:81 | 26 |
Promotion
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This match
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About the FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
FC Dallas and Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer table
The table shows a wide gap: FC Dallas are 2nd in the Major League Soccer, while Sporting Kansas City sit 15th, 32 points behind. League goal record so far: FC Dallas 62-51, Sporting Kansas City 40-81. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.