Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City Prediction

Major League SoccerUSA USA · Regular Season - 20
Sporting Kansas City
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
St. Louis City
Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City· V. Rivas 20/08/2026
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
1-1
Finished
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.64
SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+9.6%
Sporting Kansas City Rest
3 days
St. Louis City Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.40
X
26%3.85
2
49%1.96
Double Chance
1X
51%1.80
X2
75%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.44
No
40%2.59
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.48 = 2.62
Over 1.5
77%1.15
Over 2.5
55%1.50
Over 3.5
34%2.21
Under 1.5
23%5.39
Under 2.5
45%2.56
Under 3.5
66%1.64
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 5 = 8.9
Over 8.5
51%1.42
Over 9.5
44%1.73
Over 10.5
32%2.13
Under 8.5
49%2.63
Under 9.5
56%2.00
Under 10.5
68%1.63
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.5 = 5
Over 3.5
70%1.72
Over 4.5
53%-
Under 3.5
30%2.05
Under 4.5
47%-

Match Events

15'Z. Bassong
21'C. Durkin
45'J. Miller
45+2'E. Lowen
55'C. HarrisAssist: T. Calheira
61'C. Wallem
62'E. Lowen INC. Holse out
62'S. Becher INA. Matan out
64'T. Calheira INS. Suleymanov out
75'C. Harris INS. Afrifa out
75'Z. Bassong INJ. Bartlett out
84'C. Wallem INJ. Orozco out
84'S. Jeong INP. Ault out
89'E. Karic INJ. Reid out

Lineups

Sporting Kansas City
4-4-2Coach: Raphael Wicky
St. Louis City
3-4-2-1Coach: Yoann Damet
Stefan Cleveland30S. ClevelandStefan Cleveland
Jacob Davis8J. DavisJacob Davis
Jansen Miller15J. MillerJansen Miller
Wyatt Meyer28W. MeyerWyatt Meyer
Emir Karić18E. KarićEmir Karić
Capita7CapitaCapita
Lasse Berg Johnsen4L. Berg JohnsenLasse Berg Johnsen
Zorhan Bassong22Z. BassongZorhan Bassong
Calvin Harris11C. HarrisCalvin Harris
Taylor Calheira19T. CalheiraTaylor Calheira
Dejan Joveljić9D. JoveljićDejan Joveljić
Roman Bürki1R. BürkiRoman Bürki
Lukas MacNaughton5L. MacNaughtonLukas MacNaughton
Timo Baumgartl32T. BaumgartlTimo Baumgartl
Dante Polvara21D. PolvaraDante Polvara
Conrad Wallem6C. WallemConrad Wallem
Christopher Durkin8C. DurkinChristopher Durkin
Daniel Edelman24D. EdelmanDaniel Edelman
Tomas Totland14T. TotlandTomas Totland
Jeong Sang-bin77J. Sang-binJeong Sang-bin
Eduard Löwen10E. LöwenEduard Löwen
Simon Becher11S. BecherSimon Becher

Sporting Kansas City Substitutes

93Shapi SuleymanovF
16Jacob BartlettD
17Stephen AfrifaF
99Jayden ReidD
1John PulskampG
13Justin ReynoldsD
2Ian JamesD
57Diego BorgesD

St. Louis City Substitutes

19Carlo HolseF
23Alexandru MățanM
99Jaziel OrozcoD
29Palmer AultM
39Benjamin LundtG
4Mamadou MbackeD
28Miguel PerezM
7Tomáš OstrákM
20Rafael SantosD

Match Stats

Sporting Kansas CitySt. Louis City
49%Ball Possession51%
9Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box2
7Shots Outside Box5
10Blocked Shots2
12Fouls11
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
458Total Passes510
396Passes Accurate453
86%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
1439Elo Rating 1723
1.80Attack 3.03
0.76Defense 1.56
27%Hit Rate 66%
16.8Shots per Game 10.1
5.0Shots on Target 5.1
5.7Corners per Game 3.3
1.6Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend81% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 1.1 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Sporting Kansas City 19%Draw 37%44% St. Louis City
3.6Avg Goals
81%BTTS Rate
66%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
1W0D4L
16/08/2026
Colorado RapidsSporting Kansas City
20
L02/08/2026
Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
02
L26/07/2026
Los Angeles FCSporting Kansas City
40
L23/07/2026
Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC
21
W17/07/2026
St. Louis CitySporting Kansas City
32
L
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
4W1D0L
16/08/2026
San Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City
13
W02/08/2026
St. Louis CityReal Salt Lake
11
D26/07/2026
St. Louis CityColorado Rapids
10
W23/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City
13
W17/07/2026
St. Louis CitySporting Kansas City
32
W

Referee Profile

V. Rivas · 104 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.7Avg Cards
24.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 65% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
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Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

St. Louis City have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Sporting Kansas City and St. Louis City have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.6 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.