St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

CITYPARK, St. Louis· C. Penso 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel52%RiskMediumGap-0.5%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.78
SignalGOODModel50%RiskMediumGap+10.9%
St. Louis City Rest
7 days
Real Salt Lake Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.00
X
26%3.80
2
24%3.38
Double Chance
1X
76%1.30
X2
50%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.44
No
30%2.54
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.25 = 2.85
Over 1.5
81%1.14
Over 2.5
63%1.50
Over 3.5
37%2.25
Under 1.5
19%5.25
Under 2.5
37%2.50
Under 3.5
63%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.3 = 10
Over 8.5
60%1.34
Over 9.5
49%1.57
Over 10.5
37%1.91
Under 8.5
40%2.95
Under 9.5
51%2.22
Under 10.5
63%1.78
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.3 = 5
Over 3.5
73%1.45
Over 4.5
55%2.04
Under 3.5
27%2.51
Under 4.5
45%1.70

Match Events

6'Z. Booth
28'E. Lowen
29'P. Quinton
40'D. Yedlin
43'C. Durkin
45+1'G. Dillon INS. Spierings out
46'Lineker Rodrigues INS. Lobjanidze out
60'S. SolansAssist: S. Lobjanidze
65'E. Lowen INM. Hartel out
65'C. Durkin INA. Matan out
73'M. Hartel
78'D. Luna INV. Olatunji out
80'S. Jeong
84'S. Jeong INT. Ostrak out
90+1'S. Solans INA. Hezarkhani out
90+1'Z. Booth IND. Marczuk out
90+2'S. Becher INP. Ault out

Lineups

St. Louis City
3-4-2-1Coach: Yoann Damet
Real Salt Lake
3-4-1-2Coach: Pablo Mastroeni
Roman Bürki1R. BürkiRoman Bürki
Lukas MacNaughton5L. MacNaughtonLukas MacNaughton
Timo Baumgartl32T. BaumgartlTimo Baumgartl
Dante Polvara21D. PolvaraDante Polvara
Conrad Wallem6C. WallemConrad Wallem
Daniel Edelman24D. EdelmanDaniel Edelman
Christopher Durkin8C. DurkinChristopher Durkin
Tomas Totland14T. TotlandTomas Totland
Jeong Sang-bin77J. Sang-binJeong Sang-bin
Eduard Löwen10E. LöwenEduard Löwen
Simon Becher11S. BecherSimon Becher
Rafael Cabral1R. CabralRafael Cabral
DeAndre Yedlin2D. YedlinDeAndre Yedlin
Philip Quinton26P. QuintonPhilip Quinton
Sam Junqua29S. JunquaSam Junqua
Zach Booth23Z. BoothZach Booth
Griffin Dillon27G. DillonGriffin Dillon
Noel Caliskan92N. CaliskanNoel Caliskan
Juan Sanabria8J. SanabriaJuan Sanabria
Diego Luna10D. LunaDiego Luna
Lineker Rodrigues70L. RodriguesLineker Rodrigues
Sergi Solans22S. SolansSergi Solans

St. Louis City Substitutes

23Alexandru MățanM
17Marcel HartelM
7Tomáš OstrákM
29Palmer AultM
39Benjamin LundtG
27Fallou FallD
28Miguel PerezM
59Mykhi JoynerM
20Rafael SantosD

Real Salt Lake Substitutes

6Stijn SpieringsM
12Saba LobzhanidzeM
17Victor OlatunjiF
11Dominik MarczukF
39Aiden HezarkhaniF
31Mason StajduharG
4Lukas EngelD
98Alexandros KatranisD
21Juan Jose AriasD

Match Stats

St. Louis CityReal Salt Lake
67%Ball Possession33%
9Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards3
20Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box3
10Blocked Shots3
12Fouls10
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
651Total Passes317
576Passes Accurate250
88%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
1723Elo Rating 1545
3.03Attack 0.62
1.56Defense 1.02
66%Hit Rate 0%
10.1Shots per Game 12.5
5.1Shots on Target 5.1
3.3Corners per Game 5.2
1.7Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+178 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 1.1 in second half)
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

St. Louis City 0%Draw 44%56% Real Salt Lake
3.9Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
83%Over 2.5

Recent Form

St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
5W0D0L
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
2W1D2L
26/07/2026
Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake
21
L
23/07/2026
Los Angeles FCReal Salt Lake
31
L
16/07/2026
Real Salt LakeBurnley
41
W
23/05/2026
Minnesota United FCReal Salt Lake
11
D
17/05/2026
Real Salt LakeColorado Rapids
21
W

Referee Profile

C. Penso · 84 matches analysed

4.8Avg Yellows
5.1Avg Cards
23.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 81% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego25861142:42030LLLWW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2542:4230
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

St. Louis City have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. St. Louis City and Real Salt Lake have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.9 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.