Stjarnan vs Keflavik Prediction

Stjarnan
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Keflavik
09/08/2026
StjarnanStjarnan
1-0
Finished
KeflavikKeflavik

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.26
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-0.9%
Stjarnan Rest
5 days
Keflavik Rest
4 days

Stjarnan vs Keflavik: the result in context

Stjarnan beat Keflavik 1-0 in the Úrvalsdeild on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.6 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.82
X
24%4.17
2
22%3.35
Double Chance
1X
78%1.26
X2
45%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.28
No
56%3.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.06
Over 2.5
40%1.25
Over 3.5
20%1.67
Under 1.5
37%8.30
Under 2.5
60%3.58
Under 3.5
80%2.12
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'A. ContehUnsportsmanlike conduct
7'B. WarenUnsportsmanlike conduct
7'S. MagnussonFoul
34'A. ContehFoul
34'A. ContehFoul
50'B. Hauksson
61'B. Ingason INA. Bjarnason out
61'B. Gudlaugsson INF. Elvarsson out
62'S. Ljubicic INM. Mudrazija out
70'E. KarlssonFoul
75'S. Magnusson INV. A. Traustason out
81'E. Atlason INA. Vilhjalmsson out
81'J. Gunnarsson INI. Turay out
90'D. Valsson INA. Adalbjorssnos out
90'E. Bjarnason INR. Holmarsson out
90+3'O. Eggertsson INA. Hauksson out

Team Comparison

StjarnanStjarnan
KeflavikKeflavik
1517Elo Rating 1487
2.46Attack 2.20
0.90Defense 0.00
41%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

StjarnanStjarnan
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
KeflavikKeflavik
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

StjarnanStjarnan4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
KeflavikKeflavik3Wins · 30%
3.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Úrvalsdeild17/05/2026
KeflavikStjarnan
11
League Cup30/01/2026
StjarnanKeflavik
21
Cup18/06/2025
StjarnanKeflavik
42
League Cup25/02/2025
StjarnanKeflavik
14
Úrvalsdeild03/09/2023
StjarnanKeflavik
30
Úrvalsdeild11/06/2023
KeflavikStjarnan
11
Cup18/05/2023
StjarnanKeflavik
40
Úrvalsdeild04/09/2022
StjarnanKeflavik
02
Úrvalsdeild16/06/2022
KeflavikStjarnan
22
Úrvalsdeild03/07/2021
StjarnanKeflavik
23

Recent Form

StjarnanStjarnan
4W2D4L
03/08/2026
Valur ReykjavikStjarnan
23
W
30/07/2026
IlvesStjarnan
5140
L
26/07/2026
IA AkranesStjarnan
51
L
23/07/2026
StjarnanIlves
10
W
19/07/2026
KR ReykjavikStjarnan
50
L
16/07/2026
Vikingur GotaStjarnan
22
D
09/07/2026
StjarnanVikingur Gota
31
W
03/07/2026
FH hafnarfjordurStjarnan
22
D
28/06/2026
StjarnanKA Akureyri
31
W
21/06/2026
IBV VestmannaeyjarStjarnan
21
L
KeflavikKeflavik
4W2D4L
05/08/2026
KeflavikKA Akureyri
30
W
24/07/2026
Vikingur ReykjavikKeflavik
51
L
20/07/2026
KeflavikIA Akranes
52
W
13/07/2026
BreidablikKeflavik
21
L
06/07/2026
KeflavikFram Reykjavik
11
D
28/06/2026
KeflavikKR Reykjavik
32
W
21/06/2026
Valur ReykjavikKeflavik
11
D
14/06/2026
KeflavikFH hafnarfjordur
12
L
31/05/2026
IBV VestmannaeyjarKeflavik
61
L
22/05/2026
KeflavikThor Akureyri
10
W

League Table

Úrvalsdeild 2026

Urvalsdeild: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik22165167:21+4653DWDWW
2Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik22136356:42+1445DLLDL
3KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik22135474:49+2544WWWLW
4BreidablikBreidablik2286843:41+230LLWLW
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2286839:41-230DWDWL
6KeflavikKeflavik22841033:38-528DLLDL
7StjarnanStjarnan22841042:50-828WLLLW
8Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik22831139:45-627LWLDW
9FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2249927:39-1221LLWWW
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri22631322:50-2821WWWLL
11KA AkureyriKA Akureyri22551235:48-1320WLWWL
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar22461232:45-1318LWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2267:2153
2Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2256:4245
3KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2274:4944
4BreidablikBreidablik2243:4130
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2239:4130
6KeflavikKeflavik2233:3828
7StjarnanStjarnan2242:5028
8Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2239:4527
9FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2227:3921
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2222:5021
11KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2235:4820
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2232:4518

Urvalsdeild: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik27197179:28+5164DWDWW
2KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik27175593:58+3556WWWLW
3Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik27138664:55+947DLLDL
4IA AkranesIA Akranes27108954:55-138DWDWL
5BreidablikBreidablik271061154:57-336LLWLW
6KeflavikKeflavik27861343:54-1130DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2779:2864
2KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2793:5856
3Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2764:5547
4IA AkranesIA Akranes2754:5538
5BreidablikBreidablik2754:5736
6KeflavikKeflavik2743:5430

Urvalsdeild: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1StjarnanStjarnan271041353:61-834WLLLW
2Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik271041351:59-834LWLDW
3FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur27791142:49-730LLWWW
4Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri27931529:59-3030WWWLL
5KA AkureyriKA Akureyri27851447:56-929WLWWL
6IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar27571537:55-1822LWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1StjarnanStjarnan2753:6134
2Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2751:5934
3FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2742:4930
4Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2729:5930
5KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2747:5629
6IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2737:5522
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Stjarnan vs Keflavik forecast

The forecasts for this Úrvalsdeild match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stjarnan and Keflavik in the Úrvalsdeild table

In the Úrvalsdeild table, Stjarnan (7th) and Keflavik (6th) are level on 28 points. League goal record so far: Stjarnan 42-50, Keflavik 33-38. The full standings are on the Úrvalsdeild Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.