Ilves vs Stjarnan Prediction
World · Qualifying Round 2
Tammela Stadium, Tampere·Mervan Bejtullahu, Kosovo 30/07/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.67
SignalGOODModel51%SurpriseHighGap+10.5%
Ilves Rest
4 days
Stjarnan Rest
3 days
Ilves vs Stjarnan: the result in context
Ilves beat Stjarnan on penalties (5-4) after a 2-1 draw in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
164%1.67
X18%3.88
218%4.50
Double Chance
1X82%1.17
X236%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.57
No52%2.22
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 0.9 = 2.74
Over 1.577%1.17
Over 2.555%1.58
Over 3.531%2.47
Under 1.523%4.40
Under 2.545%2.26
Under 3.569%1.51
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
24'O. Multala
39'J. Gunnarsson
46'K. Wallius ING. Bamba out
46'O. Multala INS. Baranov out
52'J. KiloAssist: J. Kanga
73'B. Waren IND. Matthiasson out
75'J. Kilo INR. Riski out
85'O. Pettersson INL. Ala-Myllymaki out
85'G. Nokkvason
90+1'T. Thorisson
Extra Time1 - 1
91'T. Thorisson INB. Hauksson out
91'B. Ingason INA. Hauksson out
98'T. Hytonen INE. Tamminen out
106'A. Popovitch
107'F. KrkalicOG
111'O. Eggertsson INA. Bjarnason out
111'E. Atlason INA. Vilhjalmsson out
113'T. MiettunenAssist: M. Rale
117'A. Hauksson
120+2'S. Suvanne
120+2'Goal Disallowed - offsideG. Bamba
Penalty Shootout5 - 4
1A. Bjarnason(Penalty missed)
1R. Riski(Penalty)
2G. Nokkvason(Penalty)
2A. Popovitch(Penalty)
3J. Gunnarsson(Penalty)
3L. Ala-Myllymaki(Penalty)
4A. Vilhjalmsson(Penalty)
4E. Tamminen(Penalty)
5D. Matthiasson(Penalty)
5J. Kanga(Penalty)
Lineups
IlvesStjarnan
4-3-3Coach: Jokull Elisabetarson
12F. Krkalić
16T. Miettunen
5S. Väisänen
3M. Rale
4O. Pettersson
22O. Multala
14A. Popovitch
13K. Wallius
30J. Kanga
28J. Kilo
9T. Hytönen
12Á. Snær Ólafsson
4Þ. Mar Þórisson
5G. Kristjánsson
3G. Kjeldsen
32Ö. Logi Örvarsson
18G. Baldvin Nokkvason
8J. Árni Gunnarsson
23B. Warén
7Ö. Eggertsson
22E. Atlason
11B. Snaer IngasonIlves Substitutes
19Bamba Abdoul Goudouss46'for K. Wallius
17Stanislav Baranov46'for O. Multala
1Otso Virtanen
31Rasmus Leislahti
25Sebastian Suvanne120+2'
24Ville Kumpu
27Franck Kouakou
20Otto Tiitinen
15Lauri Ala-Myllymäki85'replaced by O. Pettersson
45Elias Tamminen98'for T. Hytonen
10Roope Riski75'for J. Kilo
11Hamidou Coulibaly
Stjarnan Substitutes
83Duro Stefan Beic
1Darri Bergmann Gylfason
19Ari Leifsson
14Bjarki Hauksson91'for T. Thorisson
6Sindri Þór Ingimarsson
24Sigurdur Gunnar Jónsson
29Alex Þór Hauksson91'for B. Ingason117'
25Christian Alexandersson
35Bjarki Sæmundsson
10Daníel Finns Matthíasson
94Árni Vilhjálmsson111'for E. Atlason
99Andri Rúnar Bjarnason
Team Comparison
IlvesStjarnan1657Elo Rating 1517
2.13Attack 2.46
2.61Defense 0.90
77%Hit Rate 41%
12.1Shots per Game -
4.6Shots on Target -
2.0Corners per Game -
1.6Cards per Game -
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+141 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Ilves- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Stjarnan- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Ilves0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Stjarnan1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Ilves4W2D4L
Stjarnan3W3D4L
26/07/2026
IA AkranesStjarnan
23/07/2026IA AkranesStjarnan51
LStjarnanIlves10
W19/07/2026
KR ReykjavikStjarnan
16/07/2026KR ReykjavikStjarnan50
L
Vikingur GotaStjarnan22
D09/07/2026StjarnanVikingur Gota
03/07/2026StjarnanVikingur Gota31
W
FH hafnarfjordurStjarnan22
D28/06/2026Stjarnan
KA Akureyri31
W21/06/2026
IBV VestmannaeyjarStjarnan
16/06/2026IBV VestmannaeyjarStjarnan21
LStjarnan
Breidablik44
D10/06/2026
AftureldingStjarnan
AftureldingStjarnan31
LBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
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ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriExplore more predictions
This match
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
About the Ilves vs Stjarnan forecast
This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Ilves have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Ilves and Stjarnan have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.