HFX Wanderers FC vs York United Prediction

Canadian Premier LeagueCanada Canada · Group Stage
HFX Wanderers FC
4-1
Finished
HT 3-1
York United
Wanderers Grounds, Halifax 20/09/2026
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
4-1
Finished
York UnitedYork United

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-9.8%
HFX Wanderers FC Rest
7 days
York United Rest
7 days

HFX Wanderers FC vs York United: result, form and history

HFX Wanderers FC beat York United 4-1 in the Canadian Premier League on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.81
X
25%3.66
2
27%3.60
Double Chance
1X
73%1.25
X2
52%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.46
No
39%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.33 = 2.87
Over 1.5
80%1.12
Over 2.5
59%1.51
Over 3.5
39%2.24
Under 1.5
20%4.95
Under 2.5
41%2.38
Under 3.5
61%1.57
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'Raúl LópezAssist: Luca accettola
9'I. JohnstonAssist: Lorenzo Callegari
21'Raúl LópezFoul
24'Lorenzo CallegariAssist: Ryan Telfer
30'Penalty confirmedI. Johnston
34'I. Johnston(Penalty)
45'Raúl López INBeni Badibanga out
49'Kembo·KibatoFoul
53'Penalty cancelledJason Bahamboula
64'Card upgrade confirmedKareem Sow
65'Kareem SowFoul
71'Luca accettola INSebastian Gonzales out
71'Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán INMax Ferrari out
71'Miguel Arilla Guinot INNelson Pierre out
72'Luke SinghFoul
73'Jason BahamboulaAssist: Nelson Pierre
76'Jefferson AlphonseFoul
79'Lorenzo CallegariFoul
80'Jason Bahamboula INS. Zitman out
80'Kareem Sow INLiam MacKenzie out
81'Luke Singh INJuan Córdova out
84'Oswaldo LeonDissent
88'Lucas Olguin INFrancesco Troisi out
88'I. Johnston INAndre Rampersad out

Lineups

HFX Wanderers FC
4-2-3-1Coach: V. Sartini
York United
3-4-3Coach: M. Eustáquio
Avg rating6.95
Avg rating6.45
M. Carducci7.91M. Carducci
Jefferson Alphonse6.121J. Alphonse
T. Meilleur-Giguère6.926T. Meilleur-Giguère
F. Linder6.42F. Linder
Kareem Sow6.516K. Sow
L. Callegari8.96L. Callegari
L. Olguin6.65L. Olguin
Miguel Arilla6.223M. Arilla
I. Johnston8.28I. Johnston
R. Telfer7.67R. Telfer
J. Bahamboula7.814J. Bahamboula
Campos Ralston Kai Antonio6.517C. Ralston Kai Antonio
L. Singh5.53L. Singh
C. Guzmán6.08C. Guzmán
O. León6.04O. León
R. López6.86R. López
S. Yeates7.27S. Yeates
O. Bassett6.910O. Bassett
K. Kibato6.321K. Kibato
L. Accettola7.013L. Accettola
T. Skublak6.777T. Skublak
J. Almagro6.511J. Almagro

HFX Wanderers FC Substitutes

27N. Pierre71'for Miguel Arilla Guinot7.2
25Liam Mackenzie80'for Kareem Sow6.4
20Tavio Ciccarelli
18A. Rampersad88'for I. Johnston6.0
12S. Astridge
17F. Troisi88'for Lucas Olguin6.3
22S. Zitman80'for Jason Bahamboula6.4

York United Substitutes

39B. Badibanga45'for Raúl López7.1
23J. Córdova81'for Luke Singh5.6
16M. Ferrari71'for Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán6.1
9S. Gonzales71'for Luca accettola6.6
35C. Onyeocha
12I. Pavela
5F. Sturing

Match Stats

HFX Wanderers FCYork United
40%Ball Possession60%
0Corner Kicks9
3Yellow Cards4
13Total Shots24
8Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal11
9Shots Inside Box14
4Shots Outside Box10
2Blocked Shots7
11Fouls12
3Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves4
368Total Passes530
312Passes Accurate468
12Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
York UnitedYork United
1439Elo Rating 1399
1.88Attack 1.11
1.11Defense 0.00
14%Hit Rate 17%
11.2Shots per Game 11.5
3.7Shots on Target 3.2
4.6Corners per Game 4.5
1.3Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
York UnitedYork United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
York UnitedYork United2Wins · 20%
3.2Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League16/08/2026
York UnitedHFX Wanderers FC
43
Canadian Premier League23/05/2026
HFX Wanderers FCYork United
11
Canadian Premier League11/04/2026
York UnitedHFX Wanderers FC
22
Canadian Premier League23/10/2025
HFX Wanderers FCYork United
4151
Canadian Premier League04/10/2025
HFX Wanderers FCYork United
11
Canadian Premier League01/09/2025
HFX Wanderers FCYork United
40
Canadian Premier League01/06/2025
York UnitedHFX Wanderers FC
20
Canadian Premier League13/04/2025
York UnitedHFX Wanderers FC
12
Canadian Premier League19/10/2024
HFX Wanderers FCYork United
21
Canadian Premier League02/09/2024
HFX Wanderers FCYork United
21

Recent Form

HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
3W2D5L
12/09/2026
Supra du QuebecHFX Wanderers FC
02
W
07/09/2026
HFX Wanderers FCCavalry FC
13
L
31/08/2026
Pacific FCHFX Wanderers FC
43
L
22/08/2026
HFX Wanderers FCVancouver FC
10
W
16/08/2026
York UnitedHFX Wanderers FC
43
L08/08/2026
Atlético OttawaHFX Wanderers FC
21
L
03/08/2026
HFX Wanderers FCForge
00
D
25/07/2026
HFX Wanderers FCSupra du Quebec
23
L18/07/2026
Cavalry FCHFX Wanderers FC
11
D06/07/2026
Pacific FCHFX Wanderers FC
12
W
York UnitedYork United
2W5D3L
13/09/2026
York UnitedVancouver FC
31
W10/09/2026
York UnitedPacific FC
33
D
06/09/2026
ForgeYork United
11
D
29/08/2026
Atlético OttawaYork United
21
L
23/08/2026
York UnitedSupra du Quebec
11
D
16/08/2026
York UnitedHFX Wanderers FC
43
W
08/08/2026
Pacific FCYork United
11
D
02/08/2026
Cavalry FCYork United
50
L26/07/2026
York UnitedForge
13
L18/07/2026
Atlético OttawaYork United
11
D

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

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About the HFX Wanderers FC vs York United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

HFX Wanderers FC and York United in the Canadian Premier League table

York United and HFX Wanderers FC are close in the Canadian Premier League table, 6th and 7th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: HFX Wanderers FC 44-50, York United 42-65. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.