Tacuarembo vs La Luz Prediction

Tacuarembo
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
La Luz
17/10/2026
TacuaremboTacuarembo
0-1
Finished
La LuzLa Luz

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseHighGap-8.8%
Tacuarembo Rest
7 days
La Luz Rest
6 days

Tacuarembo vs La Luz: result, form and history

La Luz beat Tacuarembo 1-0 in the Segunda División on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: La Luz had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Tacuarembo.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 8 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%3.11
X
30%3.00
2
39%2.25
Double Chance
1X
61%1.55
X2
69%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.99
No
51%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 1.23 = 2.44
Over 1.5
66%1.42
Over 2.5
42%2.36
Over 3.5
22%4.55
Under 1.5
34%2.55
Under 2.5
58%1.53
Under 3.5
78%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

79'

Team Comparison

TacuaremboTacuarembo
La LuzLa Luz
1374Elo Rating 1458
0.70Attack 1.41
1.61Defense 2.07
0%Hit Rate 63%

Game State Tendencies

TacuaremboTacuarembo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
La LuzLa Luz
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

TacuaremboTacuarembo2Wins · 25%
Draws338%
La LuzLa Luz3Wins · 37%
1.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
13%3+ goals1 of 8

Previous meetings

Segunda División13/07/2026
La LuzTacuarembo
20
Segunda División17/03/2026
TacuaremboLa Luz
11
Segunda División31/08/2025
TacuaremboLa Luz
11
Segunda División07/06/2025
La LuzTacuarembo
12
Segunda División30/03/2025
TacuaremboLa Luz
11
Segunda División29/09/2024
La LuzTacuarembo
20
Segunda División16/06/2024
TacuaremboLa Luz
01
Segunda División23/03/2024
TacuaremboLa Luz
10

Recent Form

TacuaremboTacuarembo
1W4D5L
La LuzLa Luz
3W3D4L
11/10/2026
La LuzPlaza Colonia
11
D
05/10/2026
La LuzCA River Plate
32
W
27/09/2026
CerritoLa Luz
12
W
20/09/2026
La LuzAtenas
01
L
12/09/2026
PaysanduLa Luz
01
W
04/09/2026
La LuzSportivo Huracan
13
L
29/08/2026
Uruguay MontevideoLa Luz
00
D
23/08/2026
La LuzOriental
02
L
17/08/2026
ColónLa Luz
21
L
08/08/2026
FenixLa Luz
00
D

League Table

Segunda División 2026

1st Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrientalOriental64118:5+313LWWWD
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia63309:2+712WWLDW
3FenixFenix632113:7+611WLDWL
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan62409:6+310LWWDW
5ColónColón62318:5+39LWWDW
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo62317:5+29DLDLL
7RentistasRentistas62316:5+19WWDDL
8CerritoCerrito62318:809DLLWD
9La LuzLa Luz61415:6-17WLDLL
10MiramarMiramar61233:7-45WLDDL
11PaysanduPaysandu61144:7-34LWWDL
12AtenasAtenas61145:11-64DWLDW
13CA River PlateCA River Plate61146:13-74LLDDW
14TacuaremboTacuarembo60335:9-43DLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1OrientalOriental68:513
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia69:212
3FenixFenix613:711
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan69:610
5ColónColón68:59
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo67:59
7RentistasRentistas66:59
8CerritoCerrito68:89
9La LuzLa Luz65:67
10MiramarMiramar63:75
11PaysanduPaysandu64:74
12AtenasAtenas65:114
13CA River PlateCA River Plate66:134
14TacuaremboTacuarembo65:93

2nd Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AtenasAtenas24135635:22+1344DWLDW
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia24107730:24+637WWLDW
3RentistasRentistas24107732:27+537WWDDL
4ColónColón24106828:27+136LWWDW
5PaysanduPaysandu241041032:31+134LWWDL
6La LuzLa Luz2497824:25-134WLDLL
7CA River PlateCA River Plate2496936:31+533LLDDW
8OrientalOriental2489733:29+433LWWWD
9CerritoCerrito2489731:28+333DLLWD
10FenixFenix2479827:29-230WLDWL
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan24861025:33-830LWWDW
12MiramarMiramar2478925:30-529WLDDL
13TacuaremboTacuarembo24671118:27-925DLLLW
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo24561323:36-1321DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AtenasAtenas2435:2244
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia2430:2437
3RentistasRentistas2432:2737
4ColónColón2428:2736
5PaysanduPaysandu2432:3134
6La LuzLa Luz2424:2534
7CA River PlateCA River Plate2436:3133
8OrientalOriental2433:2933
9CerritoCerrito2431:2833
10FenixFenix2427:2930
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan2425:3330
12MiramarMiramar2425:3029
13TacuaremboTacuarembo2418:2725
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo2423:3621

About the Tacuarembo vs La Luz forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tacuarembo and La Luz in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, La Luz are 9th and Tacuarembo 14th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Tacuarembo 5-9, La Luz 5-6. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.