Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction

Estadio Guillermo Laza, Flores· Nazareno Arasa, Argentina 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.37
SignalNEUTRALModel42%RiskHighGap-2.8%
Deportivo Riestra Rest
6 days
Velez Sarsfield Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.82
X
27%2.70
2
30%3.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.37
X2
57%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.53
No
50%1.48
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.07 + 0.98 = 2.05
Over 1.5
58%1.80
Over 2.5
30%3.45
Over 3.5
10%7.10
Under 1.5
42%2.02
Under 2.5
70%1.29
Under 3.5
90%1.08
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

31'Facundo MiñoFoul
37'Lucas RobertoneFoul
45'Antony Alonso INTomás González out
54'Tomás GonzálezAssist: Mariano Bracamonte
56'Guillermo Barros SchelottoAbusive Language
60'Braian Sánchez INNicolas Watson out
67'Nicolas BenegasFoul
69'Lucas Robertone INLuca Feler out
69'Álex Zahir Verón INThiago Aguirre out
72'Nicolas Benegas INPablo Daniel Monje out
76'Facundo MiñoOG
81'Jonathan Goitia INAlexander Díaz out
88'Goal cancelledDilan Godoy
90+6'Thiago Aguirre INLautaro Piola out

Lineups

Deportivo Riestra
5-3-2Coach: Guillermo Duró
Velez Sarsfield
4-2-3-1Coach: Guillermo Barros Schelotto
I. Arce1I. ArceI. Arce
M. Bracamonte36M. BracamonteM. Bracamonte
F. Miño24F. MiñoF. Miño
C. Paz22C. PazC. Paz
I. Gariglio6I. GariglioI. Gariglio
N. Sansotre15N. SansotreN. Sansotre
B. Sánchez10B. SánchezB. Sánchez
M. Céliz8M. CélizM. Céliz
J. Goitía27J. GoitíaJ. Goitía
N. Benegas9N. BenegasN. Benegas
Antony Daniel Alonso Espinoza7A. Daniel Alonso EspinozaAntony Daniel Alonso Espinoza
T. Marchiori1T. MarchioriT. Marchiori
J. García4J. GarcíaJ. García
E. Mammana2E. MammanaE. Mammana
Elías Gómez3E. GómezElías Gómez
R. Aliendro29R. AliendroR. Aliendro
L. Robertone8L. RobertoneL. Robertone
M. Pellegrini11M. PellegriniM. Pellegrini
M. Lanzini22M. LanziniM. Lanzini
A. Verón17A. VerónA. Verón
D. Godoy15D. GodoyD. Godoy

Deportivo Riestra Substitutes

11A. DíazF
23M. ArzamendiaG
13R. GalloD
21T. GonzálezF
29M. GranerosF
4Y. MurilloD
14P. MonjeM
40G. ObredorM
5P. RamírezD
17Á. AlmadaM

Velez Sarsfield Substitutes

35M. AriasF
5C. BaezaM
19L. CristaldoD
18S. EscobarD
48Luca FelerM
16L. MagallánD
47A. PereyraD
30L. PiolaF
37J. PolicellaF
27S. PrimaF
99F. SanguinettiG
39T. AguirreF

Match Stats

Deportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield
24%Ball Possession76%
2Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal4
3Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots4
14Fouls9
6Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves2
199Total Passes635
104Passes Accurate540
8Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
1550Elo Rating 1733
0.59Attack 0.95
1.60Defense 2.28
0%Hit Rate 23%
13.5Shots per Game 10.1
4.6Shots on Target 2.9
3.2Corners per Game 4.2
2.6Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Deportivo Riestra 23%Draw 77%0% Velez Sarsfield
1.68Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
27%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Nazareno Arasa, Argentina · 35 matches analysed

5.3Avg Yellows
5.5Avg Cards
23.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 94% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231LLWWD
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330DWDDD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DWDWD
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426WDLWW
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424DWDLW
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324WWLDL
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022DDDWD
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421DWWWD
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021LLDWW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319DDDDD
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819DDDLL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516DDDWD
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016DLWDL
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215DLLLD
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711DDDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba961210:6+419LLDWW
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield945012:7+517DWDWD
3Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia952211:9+217DDDDD
4Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.951314:9+516DDDLL
5Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors935112:11+114DWDDD
6IndependienteIndependiente94238:7+114DWDLW
7LanusLanus941411:8+313WWLDL
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe941416:14+213DWWWD
9Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys934210:8+213DLLLD
10San LorenzoSan Lorenzo93244:6-211DDDWD
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.93159:9010LLWWD
12Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra92348:10-29DDDDD
13PlatensePlatense92349:14-59DDDWD
14Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba922510:14-48WDLWW
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago92165:11-67DLWDL

Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Profesional Argentina

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Key Factors for This Match

Deportivo Riestra and Velez Sarsfield have met 4 times recently, averaging 1.68 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.