Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction

Estadio Eva Perón, Junin·Nicolas Lamolina, Argentina 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.51
SignalGOODModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+10.4%
Sarmiento Junin Rest
6 days
Estudiantes L.P. Rest
4 days

Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.: result, form and history

Sarmiento Junin beat Estudiantes L.P. 2-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Estudiantes L.P. have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game. Estudiantes L.P. tend to win more corners, 5.6 a game to 3.3 for Sarmiento Junin.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%3.30
X
27%2.94
2
37%2.37
Double Chance
1X
63%1.57
X2
64%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.10
No
50%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.02 + 1.21 = 2.23
Over 1.5
72%1.51
Over 2.5
45%2.60
Over 3.5
22%5.25
Under 1.5
28%2.50
Under 2.5
55%1.47
Under 3.5
78%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.5 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.73
Over 9.5
40%2.15
Over 10.5
29%2.88
Under 8.5
45%2.01
Under 9.5
60%1.61
Under 10.5
71%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 3 + 2.6 = 5.6
Over 3.5
82%-
Over 4.5
66%1.49
Under 3.5
18%-
Under 4.5
34%2.34

Match Events

6'Lucas AlarioArgument
18'M. MartinezAssist: J. Mavilla
26'Julian ContreraFoul
40'Joaquin PereyraFoul
46'E. Meza INE. Mancuso out
46'Perez Fabricio INE. Cetre out
54'Lucas SuárezFoul
58'J. Contrera INU. Gimenez out
65'J. Pereyra INJ. Sosa out
65'B. Aguirre INJ. Burgos out
68'J. Herrera INDiego Churin out
68'J. Mavilla ING. Gonzalez out
75'A. Castro ING. Carrillo out
80'G. GonzalezAssist: J. Marabel
82'Joaquín CorreaArgument
82'J. Marabel ING. Arturia out
85'Penalty confirmedJoaquín Tobio Burgos
86'Joaquín Correa(Penalty missed)
90+3'Eros MancusoFoul

Lineups

Sarmiento Junin
4-4-2Coach: Facundo Sava
Estudiantes L.P.
4-2-3-1Coach: Alexander Medina
Avg rating7.17
Avg rating6.65
T. Ayala9.612T. Ayala
S. Salle7.08S. Salle
R. Orihuela6.544R. Orihuela
J. InsaurraldeC6.92J. Insaurralde
L. Suarez7.23L. Suarez
J. Contrera6.619J. Contrera
C. Zabala7.515C. Zabala
M. Martinez8.216M. Martinez
J. Mavilla6.921J. Mavilla
J. Marabel6.927J. Marabel
J. Herrera7.224J. Herrera
F. Muslera7.216F. Muslera
E. Meza6.320E. Meza
V. Pierani6.935V. Pierani
T. Palacios6.524T. Palacios
J. Pereyra6.536J. Pereyra
A. Castro6.522A. Castro
L. Piovi7.321L. Piovi
Perez Fabricio6.229P. Fabricio
J. CorreaC6.332J. Correa
B. Aguirre6.528B. Aguirre
L. Alario6.227L. Alario

Sarmiento Junin Substitutes

1I. Arboleda
77N. Pasquini
20U. Gimenez58'for J. Contrera6.6
6G. Arturia82'for J. Marabel6.6
33G. Diaz
29T. Santamaria
23E. Gimenez
17A. Nadruz
5M. Garcia
7P. Magnin
9Diego Churin68'for J. Herrera6.6
11G. Gonzalez68'for J. Mavilla80'7.3

Estudiantes L.P. Substitutes

1F. Iacovich
26R. Funes Mori
13G. Benedetti
40E. Mancuso46'for E. Meza90+3'6.9
4S. Nunez
7J. Sosa65'for J. Pereyra6.7
8Gabriel Neves
11F. Farias
31B. Rodriguez
18E. Cetre46'for Perez Fabricio7.2
9G. Carrillo75'for A. Castro6.9
17J. Burgos65'for B. Aguirre6.3

Match Stats

Sarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.
24%Ball Possession76%
3Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards4
11Total Shots19
6Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal9
8Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box8
0Blocked Shots4
17Fouls9
2Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves3
179Total Passes578
106Passes Accurate509
59%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
1613Elo Rating 1665
1.05Attack 1.20
1.50Defense 1.17
14%Hit Rate 0%
10.0Shots per Game 13.6
2.7Shots on Target 4.8
3.3Corners per Game 5.6
3.8Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1Wins · 20%
Draws120%
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.3Wins · 60%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina20/02/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Sarmiento Junin
10
Liga Profesional Argentina14/06/2024
Sarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.
20
Liga Profesional Argentina25/02/2023
Estudiantes L.P.Sarmiento Junin
11
Liga Profesional Argentina15/06/2022
Estudiantes L.P.Sarmiento Junin
21
Liga Profesional Argentina17/07/2021
Sarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.
03

Recent Form

Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
4W0D6L
16/08/2026
Sarmiento JuninHuracan
20
W
08/08/2026
Atletico TucumanSarmiento Junin
12
W
03/08/2026
Sarmiento JuninIndepend. Rivadavia
21
W
29/07/2026
BanfieldSarmiento Junin
32
L
24/07/2026
Sarmiento JuninArgentinos JRS
23
L
17/07/2026
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors
02
L
03/05/2026
Belgrano CordobaSarmiento Junin
40
L
26/04/2026
Sarmiento JuninTigre
10
W
20/04/2026
Rosario CentralSarmiento Junin
21
L
13/04/2026
Sarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
12
L

Referee Profile

Nicolas Lamolina122 matches

5.48Cards per match
5.16Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nicolas Lamolina5.48
Other referees5.27

5.48 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231DDLLD
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WWWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628LDWWL
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLLD
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WDLDD
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324DDDWW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022LDDWW
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421WDWDL
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021DDWWD
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LDWLW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819DDLLW
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516WWWLD
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016DLLLD
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215DDDWL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434DWLDL
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029WLWWD
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429LWWWD
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WWWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426LDLLW
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWWWD
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422WLLLL
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221LWLDL
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021WDWDW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320WWLDL
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLLDD
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLDLW
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514DLWLD
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138LLWLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba16104226:15+1134DDWWD
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1696124:14+1033WWWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677225:17+828LDWWL
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1684421:15+628LDWLW
5LanusLanus1675419:12+726DDDWW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1658316:13+323DDDWL
7IndependienteIndependiente1665515:16-123WDLDD
8Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1664618:17+122DDLLW
9Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1663724:24021WDWDL
10PlatensePlatense1655618:20-220WWWLD
11San LorenzoSan Lorenzo165479:16-719LDDWW
12Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1644821:22-116DDLLD
13Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1634917:23-613DWLLD
14Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1626811:19-812LLLDL
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1625912:26-1411DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1626:1534
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1624:1433
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1625:1728
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1621:1528
5LanusLanus1619:1226
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1616:1323
7IndependienteIndependiente1615:1623
8Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1618:1722
9Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2421
10PlatensePlatense1618:2020
11San LorenzoSan Lorenzo169:1619
12Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1621:2216
13Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:2313
14Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1611:1912
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1612:2611

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central16104226:12+1434WWWWW
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1694320:14+631LWWWD
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1694325:20+531WWWWD
4River PlateRiver Plate1682621:14+726WLWWD
5Barracas CentralBarracas Central1675417:13+426WDWDW
6Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1665517:15+223LDLLW
7Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1665521:24-323DWLDL
8HuracanHuracan1664614:16-222WLLLL
9Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1663723:24-121LLLDD
10TigreTigre1654716:16019WWLDL
11Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1646616:17-118DLWLD
12BanfieldBanfield1636718:25-715DLDLW
13Racing ClubRacing Club1643916:24-815LWLDL
14AldosiviAldosivi16321116:26-1011LLWLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto16231110:23-139LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1626:1234
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1620:1431
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1625:2031
4River PlateRiver Plate1621:1426
5Barracas CentralBarracas Central1617:1326
6Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1523
7Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1621:2423
8HuracanHuracan1614:1622
9Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1623:2421
10TigreTigre1616:1619
11Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1616:1718
12BanfieldBanfield1618:2515
13Racing ClubRacing Club1616:2415
14AldosiviAldosivi1616:2611
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1610:239

Liga Profesional Argentina

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors321712346:23+2363WWWWD
2Rosario CentralRosario Central32188646:28+1862WWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS32179637:27+1060LWWWD
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia32169750:39+1157DWLDL
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.32176944:39+557WWWWD
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield321414443:29+1456LDWWL
7River PlateRiver Plate321741143:26+1755WLWWD
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba32167943:32+1155DDWWD
9LanusLanus321311837:27+1050DDDWW
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba321310934:28+649LDLLW
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.321381140:29+1147DDLLD
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central321211932:28+447WDWDW
13IndependienteIndependiente321211939:36+347WDLDD
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia321211939:36+347LDWLW
15HuracanHuracan3211111031:29+244WLLLL
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe321191248:44+442WDWDL
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.321181332:39-741DDLLW
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3210111123:30-741LDDWW
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin321241636:44-840LLLDD
20TigreTigre329121134:31+339WWLDL
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba321091334:36-239DWLLD
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys328141031:40-938DDDWL
23Racing ClubRacing Club32991433:39-636LWLDL
24PlatensePlatense328121228:35-736WWWLD
25BanfieldBanfield32891535:44-933DLDLW
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman327111431:37-632DLWLD
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago32691723:47-2427DLLLD
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra323141516:31-1523LLLDL
29AldosiviAldosivi323101922:45-2319LLWLL
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto32352415:47-3214LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors3246:2363
2Rosario CentralRosario Central3246:2862
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS3237:2760
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia3250:3957
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.3244:3957
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield3243:2956
7River PlateRiver Plate3243:2655
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba3243:3255
9LanusLanus3237:2750
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba3234:2849
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.3240:2947
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central3232:2847
13IndependienteIndependiente3239:3647
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia3239:3647
15HuracanHuracan3231:2944
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe3248:4442
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.3232:3941
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3223:3041
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin3236:4440
20TigreTigre3234:3139
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba3234:3639
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys3231:4038
23Racing ClubRacing Club3233:3936
24PlatensePlatense3228:3536
25BanfieldBanfield3235:4433
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman3231:3732
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago3223:4727
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra3216:3123
29AldosiviAldosivi3222:4519
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto3215:4714
Relegation

About the Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sarmiento Junin and Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Estudiantes L.P. are 11th and Sarmiento Junin 19th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Sarmiento Junin 36-44, Estudiantes L.P. 40-29. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.