Wales vs Portugal: what the numbers say
On recent form, Portugal look the stronger side: 4 wins from their last five, against 1 for Wales. They meet in the UEFA Nations League on 17 Nov 2026.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
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This match
More UEFA Nations League matches
About the Wales vs Portugal forecast
This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Wales and Portugal in the UEFA Nations League table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Portugal are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 9 points ahead of Wales in 3rd. League goal record so far: Wales 2-5, Portugal 9-4. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Portugal have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Wales and Portugal have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


