Wales vs Portugal Prediction

Wales
-
17/11/2026
20:45
Portugal
WalesWales
17/11/202620:45
PortugalPortugal

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
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Wales Rest
44 days
Portugal Rest
44 days

Wales vs Portugal: what the numbers say

On recent form, Portugal look the stronger side: 4 wins from their last five, against 1 for Wales. They meet in the UEFA Nations League on 17 Nov 2026.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
8.00
X
5.20
2
1.33
Double Chance
1X
3.23
X2
1.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.83
No
1.87
Goals
Over 1.5
1.16
Over 2.5
1.57
Over 3.5
2.38
Under 1.5
4.80
Under 2.5
2.40
Under 3.5
1.53
Corners
Over 8.5
-
Over 9.5
-
Over 10.5
-
Under 8.5
-
Under 9.5
-
Under 10.5
-
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
--
Over 4.5
--
Under 3.5
--
Under 4.5
--
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

WalesWales
PortugalPortugal
1606Elo Rating 1846
0.60Attack 2.01
1.81Defense 1.94
23%Hit Rate 86%
9.8Shots per Game 17.3
2.8Shots on Target 6.1
3.9Corners per Game 5.7
2.2Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

WalesWales
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
PortugalPortugal
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

WalesWales0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
PortugalPortugal2Wins · 100%
1.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League24/09/2026
PortugalWales
10
Euro Championship06/07/2016
PortugalWales
20

Recent Form

WalesWales
3W1D6L
04/10/2026
WalesDenmark
01
L
01/10/2026
WalesNorway
21
W
27/09/2026
DenmarkWales
20
L
24/09/2026
PortugalWales
10
L
06/06/2026
RomaniaWales
21
L
02/06/2026
WalesGhana
11
D
26/03/2026
WalesBosnia & Herzegovina
2141
L
18/11/2025
WalesFYR Macedonia
71
W
15/11/2025
LiechtensteinWales
01
W
13/10/2025
WalesBelgium
24
L

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PortugalPortugal44009:4+512WWWW
2DenmarkDenmark42027:706WLWL
3WalesWales41032:5-33LWLL
4NorwayNorway41036:8-23LLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PortugalPortugal49:412
2DenmarkDenmark47:76
3WalesWales42:53
4NorwayNorway46:83
Relegation

About the Wales vs Portugal forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Wales and Portugal in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Portugal are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 9 points ahead of Wales in 3rd. League goal record so far: Wales 2-5, Portugal 9-4. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Portugal have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Wales and Portugal have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.