Norway vs Portugal Prediction

UEFA Nations LeagueWorld World · League A - 2
Cup
Norway
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Portugal
Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo·Francois Letexier 27/09/2026
NorwayNorway
1-2
Finished
PortugalPortugal

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.44
SignalNEUTRALModel43%SurpriseHighGap-7.7%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.38
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+6.7%
Norway Rest
3 days
Portugal Rest
3 days

Norway vs Portugal: the result in context

Portugal beat Norway 2-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.27
X
24%3.80
2
34%2.88
Double Chance
1X
65%1.42
X2
58%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.40
No
40%2.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 1 = 2.24
Over 1.5
82%1.11
Over 2.5
61%1.44
Over 3.5
42%2.15
Under 1.5
18%5.70
Under 2.5
39%2.70
Under 3.5
58%1.70
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.6 = 8.8
Over 8.5
55%1.75
Over 9.5
44%2.13
Over 10.5
32%2.97
Under 8.5
45%2.02
Under 9.5
56%1.69
Under 10.5
68%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.6 = 3.3
Over 3.5
42%2.00
Over 4.5
24%2.94
Under 3.5
58%1.75
Under 4.5
76%1.38

Match Events

16'Julian RyersonFoul
17'Joao FelixAssist: Pedro Neto
20'Jorge Fernando Pinheiro de JesusDissent
47'Fredrik AursnesFoul
49'João PalhinhaFoul
51'Erling HaalandAssist: Patrick Berg
54'Gonçalo Ramos
55'João Neves INVitinha out
56'Francisco Conceicao INRafael Leão out
58'Goal cancelledGonçalo Ramos
65'Kristoffer AjerFoul
66'Julian Ryerson INLeo Østigård out
67'Renato VeigaFoul
72'Patrick Berg INOscar Bobb out
76'VitinhaTime wasting
76'João CanceloFoul
80'João Palhinha INRúben Neves out
81'Gonçalo Ramos INFrancisco Trincão out
81'Antonio Nusa INJörgen Strand Larsen out
87'Pedro Neto INBernardo Silva out
87'Rúben DiasFoul
90+3'Bernardo SilvaFoul

Lineups

Norway
4-3-3Coach: S. Solbakken
Portugal
4-1-3-2Coach: Jorge Jesus
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating6.64
Ø. Nyland5.91Ø. Nyland
F. Aursnes5.97F. Aursnes
K. Ajer6.43K. Ajer
T. Heggem6.617T. Heggem
J. Ryerson6.014J. Ryerson
M. Ødegaard7.210M. Ødegaard
S. Berge7.18S. Berge
P. Berg6.76P. Berg
A. Schjelderup6.121A. Schjelderup
E. Haaland7.79E. Haaland
A. Nusa7.120A. Nusa
Diogo Costa7.71D. Costa
João Cancelo6.320J. Cancelo
Rúben Dias6.73R. Dias
Renato Veiga6.213R. Veiga
Nuno Mendes5.919N. Mendes
João Palhinha6.06J. Palhinha
Francisco Conceição6.914F. Conceição
João Neves6.215J. Neves
Pedro Neto6.818P. Neto
João Félix8.111J. Félix
Gonçalo Ramos7.79G. Ramos

Norway Substitutes

2O. Bjørtuft
5F. Sjøvold
12S. Tangvik
19T. Aasgaard
15O. Didrik Blomberg
22Oscar Bobb72'for Patrick Berg6.3
23E. Botheim
11J. Strand Larsen81'for Antonio Nusa6.3
4L. Østigård66'for Julian Ryerson6.4
16M. Pedersen
13E. Selvik
18K. Thorstvedt

Portugal Substitutes

8Gonçalo Inácio
17Rafael Leão56'for Francisco Conceicao6.6
21Rúben Neves80'for João Palhinha6.3
7Cristiano Ronaldo
10Bernardo Silva87'for Pedro Neto90+3'6.1
12Rui Silva
22Samuel Soares
5Nuno Tavares
16Trincão81'for Gonçalo Ramos6.7
23Vitinha55'for João Neves76'6.1
4Tomás Araújo
2Diogo Dalot

Match Stats

NorwayPortugal
62%Ball Possession38%
7Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards6
22Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal5
16Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box5
7Blocked Shots3
8Fouls12
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
572Total Passes358
490Passes Accurate288
12Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

NorwayNorway
PortugalPortugal
1783Elo Rating 1845
1.33Attack 2.01
1.14Defense 1.94
17%Hit Rate 86%
12.9Shots per Game 17.3
4.6Shots on Target 6.1
4.5Corners per Game 5.7
1.2Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

NorwayNorway
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
PortugalPortugal
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Recent Form

NorwayNorway
7W1D2L
24/09/2026
NorwayDenmark
32
W11/07/2026
NorwayEngland
1121
L05/07/2026
BrazilNorway
12
W
30/06/2026
Ivory CoastNorway
12
W
26/06/2026
NorwayFrance
14
L
23/06/2026
NorwaySenegal
32
W17/06/2026
IraqNorway
14
W
07/06/2026
MoroccoNorway
11
D
01/06/2026
NorwaySweden
31
W
16/11/2025
ItalyNorway
14
W
PortugalPortugal
6W2D2L
24/09/2026
PortugalWales
10
W06/07/2026
PortugalSpain
01
L03/07/2026
PortugalCroatia
21
W28/06/2026
ColombiaPortugal
00
D23/06/2026
PortugalUzbekistan
50
W17/06/2026
PortugalCongo DR
11
D
10/06/2026
PortugalNigeria
21
W
06/06/2026
PortugalChile
21
W
16/11/2025
PortugalArmenia
91
W
13/11/2025
Rep. Of IrelandPortugal
20
L

Referee Profile

Francois Letexier224 matches

4.29Cards per match
4.05Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Francois Letexier4.30
Other referees4.04

4.30 cards a match, 0.26 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.04).

Cards come from 219 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PortugalPortugal44009:4+512WWWW
2DenmarkDenmark42027:706WLWL
3WalesWales41032:5-33LWLL
4NorwayNorway41036:8-23LLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PortugalPortugal49:412
2DenmarkDenmark47:76
3WalesWales42:53
4NorwayNorway46:83

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About the Norway vs Portugal forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Norway and Portugal in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Portugal are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 9 points ahead of Norway in 4th. League goal record so far: Norway 6-8, Portugal 9-4. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Portugal have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Norway and Portugal have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.