Portugal vs Spain Prediction

Portugal
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Spain
AT&T Stadium, Dallas· Anthony Taylor, England 06/07/2026
PortugalPortugal
0-1
Finished
SpainSpain

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
8.0 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.39
SignalGOODModel40%RiskMediumGap+7.9%
Portugal Rest
3 days
Spain Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
15%4.10
X
43%3.58
2
42%1.91
Double Chance
1X
58%1.89
X2
85%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.65
No
47%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.39 = 2.55
Over 1.5
74%1.22
Over 2.5
46%1.80
Over 3.5
25%2.91
Under 1.5
26%3.83
Under 2.5
54%2.04
Under 3.5
75%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 4.7 = 8.6
Over 8.5
54%1.50
Over 9.5
45%1.88
Over 10.5
33%2.40
Under 8.5
46%2.40
Under 9.5
55%1.85
Under 10.5
67%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.7 = 3.4
Over 3.5
43%2.10
Over 4.5
25%3.15
Under 3.5
57%1.67
Under 4.5
75%1.31

Match Events

56'N. Mendes INN. Semedo out
71'Joao Felix INR. Leao out
71'J. Cancelo IND. Dalot out
75'A. Baena INF. Torres out
83'P. Neto INF. Conceicao out
83'Vitinha INB. Silva out
85'Pedri INF. Ruiz out
85'D. Olmo INM. Merino out
89'B. SilvaRoughing
90+1'M. MerinoAssist: F. Torres
90+4'R. VeigaHolding
90+7'M. Oyarzabal INB. Iglesias out
90+8'F. TorresTripping

Lineups

Portugal
4-2-3-1Coach: Roberto Martinez
Spain
4-2-3-1Coach: Luis de la Fuente
Diogo Costa1D. CostaDiogo Costa
João Cancelo20J. CanceloJoão Cancelo
Rúben Dias3R. DiasRúben Dias
Renato Veiga13R. VeigaRenato Veiga
Nuno Mendes25N. MendesNuno Mendes
Vitinha23VitinhaVitinha
João Neves15J. NevesJoão Neves
Pedro Neto18P. NetoPedro Neto
Bruno Fernandes8B. FernandesBruno Fernandes
João Félix11J. FélixJoão Félix
Cristiano Ronaldo7C. RonaldoCristiano Ronaldo
Unai Simón23U. SimónUnai Simón
Pedro Porro12P. PorroPedro Porro
Pau Cubarsí22P. CubarsíPau Cubarsí
Aymeric Laporte14A. LaporteAymeric Laporte
Marc Cucurella24M. CucurellaMarc Cucurella
Rodri16RodriRodri
Pedri20PedriPedri
Lamine Yamal19L. YamalLamine Yamal
Dani Olmo10D. OlmoDani Olmo
Alex Baena15A. BaenaAlex Baena
Mikel Oyarzabal21M. OyarzabalMikel Oyarzabal

Portugal Substitutes

2Nélson SemedoD
12José SáG
22Rui SilvaG
6Matheus NunesM
14Gonçalo InácioD
5Diogo DalotD
4Tomás AraújoD
10Bernardo SilvaM
19Gonçalo GuedesF
16Francisco TrincãoF
24Samú CostaM
21Rúben NevesM
26Francisco ConceiçãoF
9Gonçalo RamosF
17Rafael LeãoF

Spain Substitutes

1David RayaG
13Joan GarcíaG
4Eric GarcíaD
5Marcos LlorenteM
2Marc PubillD
3Alejandro GrimaldoD
8Fabián RuizM
18Martín ZubimendiM
6Mikel MerinoM
17Nico WilliamsF
9Pablo GaviM
26Borja IglesiasF
7Ferran TorresF
25Víctor MuñozF
11Yéremy PinoM

Match Stats

PortugalSpain
44%Ball Possession56%
3Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots15
2Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal6
3Blocked Shots3
9Fouls13
2Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves2
12Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

PortugalPortugal
SpainSpain
1807Elo Rating 1957
1.43Attack 1.44
2.36Defense 2.81
39%Hit Rate 73%
12.2Shots per Game 16.7
3.2Shots on Target 7.7
4.5Corners per Game 6.1
1.4Cards per Game 0.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PortugalPortugal
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SpainSpain
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Portugal 0%Draw 77%23% Spain
2.69Avg Goals
63%BTTS Rate
44%Over 2.5

Recent Form

SpainSpain
4W1D0L
02/07/2026
SpainAustria
30
W
27/06/2026
UruguaySpain
01
W
21/06/2026
SpainSaudi Arabia
40
W
15/06/2026
SpainCape Verde Islands
00
D
09/06/2026
PeruSpain
13
W

Referee Profile

Anthony Taylor, England · 11 matches analysed

3.7Avg Yellows
3.8Avg Cards
23.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 37% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group H

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SpainSpain32105:0+57WWD
2Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands30302:203DDD
3UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
4Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia30211:5-42DLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SpainSpain35:07
2Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands32:23
3UruguayUruguay33:42
4Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia31:52

Group K

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ColombiaColombia32104:1+37DWW
2PortugalPortugal31206:1+55DWD
3Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
4UzbekistanUzbekistan30032:11-90LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ColombiaColombia34:17
2PortugalPortugal36:15
3Congo DRCongo DR34:34
4UzbekistanUzbekistan32:110

Portugal vs Spain Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 8.0 out of 10 by our context model. Portugal and Spain have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.69 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.