Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction

EkstraklasaPoland Poland · Regular Season - 12
Wisla Krakow
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Raków Częstochowa
Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Krakow·Tomasz Kwiatkowski 24/10/2026
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
2-1
Finished
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.23
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-9.9%
Wisla Krakow Rest
7 days
Raków Częstochowa Rest
8 days

Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa: the result in context

Wisla Krakow beat Raków Częstochowa 2-1 in the Ekstraklasa on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Raków Częstochowa have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.80
X
25%3.81
2
27%3.80
Double Chance
1X
73%1.23
X2
52%1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.52
No
40%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.22 = 2.83
Over 1.5
81%1.17
Over 2.5
59%1.53
Over 3.5
37%2.36
Under 1.5
19%4.80
Under 2.5
41%2.35
Under 3.5
63%1.55
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.2 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.34
Over 9.5
55%1.59
Over 10.5
43%2.00
Under 8.5
34%2.90
Under 9.5
45%2.17
Under 10.5
57%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%-
Over 4.5
45%-
Under 3.5
36%-
Under 4.5
55%-

Match Events

8'Penalty cancelledJulius Ertlthaler
45'Fran Tudor INKarol Struski out
45'Tomasz Pienko INMahir Emreli out
53'Julius ErtlthalerAssist: Julian Lelieveld
63'Marko Bulat INVladyslav Kochergin out
63'Jean Carlos INJakub Jendryka out
66'Julian Lelieveld INMarko Bozic out
66'Frederico Duarte INThody Elie Youan out
66'James Igbekeme INVíctor Meseguer out
72'Goal cancelledLamine Diaby Fadiga
81'Jerzy NapierajDissent
82'Penalty confirmedLamine Diaby Fadiga
84'Lamine Diaby Fadiga(Penalty)
84'Lamine Diaby Fadiga
90+4'Erick Otieno INNils Zätterström out
90+10'Kacper DudaAssist: Alan Uryga

Lineups

Wisla Krakow
4-4-1-1Coach: M. Jop
Raków Częstochowa
3-4-3Coach: Dawid Szwarga
Avg rating6.82
Avg rating6.52
M. Łubik6.31M. Łubik
R. Giger7.234R. Giger
A. Uryga6.66A. Uryga
D. Grujčić6.629D. Grujčić
J. Krzyżanowski6.852J. Krzyżanowski
Frederico Duarte6.710F. Duarte
K. Duda8.241K. Duda
J. Igbekeme6.412J. Igbekeme
J. Lelieveld6.82J. Lelieveld
J. Ertlthaler8.17J. Ertlthaler
Ángel Rodado6.39Á. Rodado
K. Trelowski7.11K. Trelowski
F. Tudor6.67F. Tudor
B. Racovițan7.025B. Racovițan
S. Svarnas6.94S. Svarnas
Jean Carlos6.320J. Carlos
O. Repka6.36O. Repka
M. Bulat6.05M. Bulat
E. Otieno6.526E. Otieno
L. Diaby-Fadiga6.780L. Diaby-Fadiga
P. Makuch6.69P. Makuch
T. Pieńko6.421T. Pieńko

Wisla Krakow Substitutes

17M. Božić66'for Julian Lelieveld6.4
97W. Biedrzycki
8Marc Carbó
13M. Maisonneuve
23Víctor Meseguer66'for James Igbekeme6.5
4R. Mikulec
93B. Neugebauer
27É. Youan66'for Frederico Duarte6.5

Raków Częstochowa Substitutes

39I. Brusberg
17J. Jendryka63'for Jean Carlos6.0
71T. Karić
10V. Kochergin63'for Marko Bulat6.8
15O. Kwiatkowski
2J. Napieraj81'
23K. Struski45'for Fran Tudor6.1
3A. Brorsson
19N. Zätterström90+4'for Erick Otieno
29W. Żołneczko
99Adam Basse
11M. Emreli45'for Tomasz Pienko6.7

Match Stats

Wisla KrakowRaków Częstochowa
58%Ball Possession42%
1Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots13
8Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots4
13Fouls6
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves6
535Total Passes375
440Passes Accurate305
6Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
1615Elo Rating 1531
1.15Attack 1.54
2.18Defense 0.53
58%Hit Rate 23%
18.9Shots per Game 18.4
6.4Shots on Target 6.3
4.7Corners per Game 4.7
1.1Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa3Wins · 75%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa06/02/2022
Raków CzęstochowaWisla Krakow
20
Ekstraklasa08/08/2021
Wisla KrakowRaków Częstochowa
12
Ekstraklasa09/04/2021
Wisla KrakowRaków Częstochowa
12
Ekstraklasa08/11/2020
Raków CzęstochowaWisla Krakow
00

Recent Form

Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
4W3D3L
16/10/2026
Widzew ŁódźWisla Krakow
00
D11/10/2026
Legia WarszawaWisla Krakow
20
L
02/10/2026
Piast GliwiceWisla Krakow
34
W
18/09/2026
Wisla KrakowSlask Wroclaw
21
W
11/09/2026
Wisla KrakowJagiellonia
20
W05/09/2026
Korona KielceWisla Krakow
11
D
01/09/2026
Odra OpoleWisla Krakow
21
L
29/08/2026
Wisla KrakowWieczysta Kraków
20
W
23/08/2026
Pogon SzczecinWisla Krakow
22
D
16/08/2026
Gornik ZabrzeWisla Krakow
21
L
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
3W0D7L
16/10/2026
Wieczysta KrakówRaków Częstochowa
12
W09/10/2026
Raków CzęstochowaGKS Katowice
14
L
02/10/2026
Raków CzęstochowaPolonia Bytom
41
W
19/09/2026
Korona KielceRaków Częstochowa
32
L
15/09/2026
Raków CzęstochowaZaglebie Lubin
23
L
11/09/2026
Raków CzęstochowaMotor Lublin
21
W06/09/2026
Lech PoznanRaków Częstochowa
10
L03/09/2026
Raków CzęstochowaGornik Zabrze
12
L30/08/2026
Raków CzęstochowaJagiellonia
25
L27/08/2026
Raków CzęstochowaHNK Hajduk Split
2232
L

Referee Profile

Tomasz Kwiatkowski151 matches

4.33Cards per match
4.20Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tomasz Kwiatkowski4.33
Other referees4.35

4.33 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.35).

Cards come from 117 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1191129:10+1928WWWWL
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1283121:11+1027DDWDW
3Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1173119:9+1024WWWWW
4Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1265123:11+1223LDWWD
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1263319:15+421WDLWW
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1262422:18+420WDWLW
7Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1254315:15019DWLLW
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1260622:17+518LLWWW
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce1253414:18-418WLLWL
10JagielloniaJagiellonia1150614:17-315WLLLL
11Wisla PlockWisla Plock1142510:16-614LWLWW
12Motor LublinMotor Lublin1234517:21-413DWWDL
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1233614:19-512LDWLL
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1218315:16-111DDLDD
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1223716:22-69WLLLL
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1222816:23-78LLLWD
17Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1222812:28-168LLLLL
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa12201016:28-126LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1129:1028
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1221:1127
3Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1119:924
4Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1223:1123
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1219:1521
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1222:1820
7Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1215:1519
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1222:1718
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce1214:1818
10JagielloniaJagiellonia1114:1715
11Wisla PlockWisla Plock1110:1614
12Motor LublinMotor Lublin1217:2113
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1214:1912
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1215:1611
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1216:229
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1216:238
17Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1212:288
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1216:286
Relegation

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About the Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa forecast

The forecasts for this Ekstraklasa match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Wisla Krakow and Raków Częstochowa in the Ekstraklasa table

In the Ekstraklasa table, Wisla Krakow are 5th and Raków Częstochowa 18th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Wisla Krakow 19-15, Raków Częstochowa 16-28. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.