Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow Prediction

Polish Army Stadium, Warsaw·Damian Sylwestrzak 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.0%
Legia Warszawa Rest
8 days
Wisla Krakow Rest
9 days

Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow: the result in context

Legia Warszawa beat Wisla Krakow 2-0 in the Ekstraklasa on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game. Referee Damian Sylwestrzak averages 4.99 cards a game, 0.66 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.02
X
27%3.56
2
27%3.28
Double Chance
1X
73%1.30
X2
54%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.60
No
43%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.14 = 2.63
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
54%1.73
Over 3.5
33%2.75
Under 1.5
23%4.00
Under 2.5
46%2.08
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.8 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.52
Over 9.5
51%1.91
Over 10.5
38%2.40
Under 8.5
38%2.37
Under 9.5
49%1.84
Under 10.5
62%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
40%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
60%-

Match Events

18'Lukasz Zjawinski
29'Mateusz SzczepaniakPersistent infringement
45'Mateusz Szczepaniak INJakub Zewlakow out
51'Kacper DudaFoul
57'Alan UrygaFoul
61'Frederico Duarte INJulian Lelieveld out
66'Angel·RodadoFoul
68'Damian Szymański INWojciech Urbanski out
70'Rafal AdamskiAssist: Jakub Zewlakow
74'Bartosz Kapustka INHenrique Arreiol out
75'James Igbekeme INRafal Mikulec out
75'Marko Bozic INVíctor Meseguer out
80'Darijo GrujcicFoul
85'Julius Ertlthaler INOliwier Plawinski out
90'Jakub Zewlakow INMichal Sevcik out
90+1'Paweł Wszołek INArkadiusz Reca out

Lineups

Legia Warszawa
3-4-3Coach: M. Papszun
Wisla Krakow
4-5-1Coach: M. Jop
Avg rating7.29
Avg rating6.42
O. Hindrich9.289O. Hindrich
K. Piątkowski7.491K. Piątkowski
R. Augustyniak7.58R. Augustyniak
Robert Deziel7.75R. Deziel
P. Wszołek6.922P. Wszołek
D. Szymański6.54D. Szymański
B. Kapustka6.767B. Kapustka
K. Chodyna6.811K. Chodyna
M. Szczepaniak6.517M. Szczepaniak
Ł. Zjawiński8.079Ł. Zjawiński
R. Adamski7.89R. Adamski
M. Łubik7.11M. Łubik
R. Giger6.334R. Giger
A. Uryga6.46A. Uryga
D. Grujčić6.429D. Grujčić
J. Krzyżanowski6.752J. Krzyżanowski
Frederico Duarte6.210F. Duarte
K. Duda6.341K. Duda
J. Ertlthaler6.57J. Ertlthaler
J. Igbekeme6.212J. Igbekeme
M. Božić6.517M. Božić
Ángel Rodado6.89Á. Rodado

Legia Warszawa Substitutes

20J. Żewłakow45'for Mateusz Szczepaniak90'for Michal Sevcik7.0
6Henrique Arreiol74'for Bartosz Kapustka7.1
24Z. Arsenić
1I. Brkić
14A. Čolak
2S. Fukuda
13A. Reca90+1'for Paweł Wszołek
23M. Ševčík90'replaced by Jakub Zewlakow
53W. Urbański68'for Damian Szymański6.9
62Franciszek Stępniewski

Wisla Krakow Substitutes

4R. Mikulec75'for James Igbekeme6.1
93B. Neugebauer
32Oliwier Plawinski85'replaced by Julius Ertlthaler
23Víctor Meseguer75'for Marko Bozic6.7
13M. Maisonneuve
2J. Lelieveld61'for Frederico Duarte6.1
50M. Kutwa
8Marc Carbó
97W. Biedrzycki

Match Stats

Legia WarszawaWisla Krakow
49%Ball Possession51%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots15
8Shots on Goal7
2Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots2
17Fouls15
1Offsides0
7Goalkeeper Saves6
443Total Passes467
370Passes Accurate389
84%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
1658Elo Rating 1615
1.90Attack 1.15
2.09Defense 2.18
56%Hit Rate 58%
13.3Shots per Game 18.9
4.3Shots on Target 6.4
3.7Corners per Game 4.7
1.3Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1Wins · 25%
1.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa25/02/2022
Legia WarszawaWisla Krakow
21
Ekstraklasa29/08/2021
Wisla KrakowLegia Warszawa
10
Ekstraklasa01/05/2021
Legia WarszawaWisla Krakow
00
Ekstraklasa12/12/2020
Wisla KrakowLegia Warszawa
12

Recent Form

Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
5W2D3L
02/10/2026
Piast GliwiceWisla Krakow
34
W
18/09/2026
Wisla KrakowSlask Wroclaw
21
W
11/09/2026
Wisla KrakowJagiellonia
20
W
05/09/2026
Korona KielceWisla Krakow
11
D
01/09/2026
Odra OpoleWisla Krakow
21
L
29/08/2026
Wisla KrakowWieczysta Kraków
20
W
23/08/2026
Pogon SzczecinWisla Krakow
22
D
16/08/2026
Gornik ZabrzeWisla Krakow
21
L
07/08/2026
Wisla KrakowWisla Plock
21
W
01/08/2026
Piast GliwiceWisla Krakow
43
L

Referee Profile

Damian Sylwestrzak202 matches

4.99Cards per match
4.74Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Damian Sylwestrzak4.99
Other referees4.33

4.99 cards a match, 0.66 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).

Cards come from 152 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1191129:10+1928WWWWL
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1283121:11+1027DDWDW
3Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1173119:9+1024WWWWW
4Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1265123:11+1223LDWWD
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1263319:15+421WDLWW
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1262422:18+420WDWLW
7Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1254315:15019DWLLW
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1260622:17+518LLWWW
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce1253414:18-418WLLWL
10JagielloniaJagiellonia1150614:17-315WLLLL
11Wisla PlockWisla Plock1142510:16-614LWLWW
12Motor LublinMotor Lublin1234517:21-413DWWDL
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1233614:19-512LDWLL
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1218315:16-111DDLDD
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1223716:22-69WLLLL
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1222816:23-78LLLWD
17Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1222812:28-168LLLLL
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa12201016:28-126LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1129:1028
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1221:1127
3Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1119:924
4Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1223:1123
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1219:1521
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1222:1820
7Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1215:1519
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1222:1718
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce1214:1818
10JagielloniaJagiellonia1114:1715
11Wisla PlockWisla Plock1110:1614
12Motor LublinMotor Lublin1217:2113
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1214:1912
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1215:1611
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1216:229
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1216:238
17Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1212:288
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1216:286
Relegation

About the Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow forecast

The forecasts for this Ekstraklasa match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Legia Warszawa and Wisla Krakow in the Ekstraklasa table

Legia Warszawa and Wisla Krakow are close in the Ekstraklasa table, 4th and 5th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Legia Warszawa 23-11, Wisla Krakow 19-15. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Legia Warszawa have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.