1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

SNP Arena, Sinsheim· Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.60
SignalGOODModel42%RiskMediumGap+10.7%
1899 Hoffenheim Rest
7 days
Borussia Dortmund Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.88
X
29%3.85
2
34%2.25
Double Chance
1X
66%1.66
X2
63%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.40
No
46%2.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.38 = 2.71
Over 1.5
73%1.13
Over 2.5
51%1.44
Over 3.5
30%2.15
Under 1.5
27%5.50
Under 2.5
49%2.69
Under 3.5
70%1.71
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.4 = 9
Over 8.5
57%1.41
Over 9.5
47%1.75
Over 10.5
31%2.19
Under 8.5
43%2.58
Under 9.5
53%2.00
Under 10.5
69%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.5 = 3.3
Over 3.5
41%1.65
Over 4.5
23%2.46
Under 3.5
59%2.17
Under 4.5
77%1.50

Match Events

32'F. Mane INE. Nwaneri out
40'Ozan KabakFoul
45'L. AvdullahuAssist: V. Coufal
45+2'Albian HajdariFoul
46'F. Nmecha INJ. Veerman out
54'T. LemperleAssist: A. Daghim
61'S. GuirassyAssist: W. Anton
62'K. Karetsas INF. Silva out
63'J. Gadou INL. Reggiani out
63'Wouter BurgerArgument
66'F. SilvaAssist: S. Guirassy
73'A. Hlozek INA. Kramaric out
73'P. Wimmer INB. Conte out
76'Luca ReggianiFoul
78'Maximilian BeierTime wasting
79'W. Burger INN. De Cat out
79'O. Kabak INR. Hranac out
80'Andrej KramarićFoul
84'T. Lemperle INM. Moerstedt out
86'A. HajdariOG
87'S. Guirassy INM. Sabitzer out

Lineups

1899 Hoffenheim
4-4-2Coach: Christian Ilzer
Borussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1Coach: Niko Kovac
O. Baumann1O. BaumannO. Baumann
V. Coufal34V. CoufalV. Coufal
O. Kabak5O. KabakO. Kabak
A. Hajdari21A. HajdariA. Hajdari
M. Rots39M. RotsM. Rots
P. Wimmer8P. WimmerP. Wimmer
L. Avdullahu7L. AvdullahuL. Avdullahu
W. Burger18W. BurgerW. Burger
A. Daghim14A. DaghimA. Daghim
A. Hlozek10A. HlozekA. Hlozek
T. Lemperle19T. LemperleT. Lemperle
G. Kobel1G. KobelG. Kobel
J. Gadou22J. GadouJ. Gadou
W. Anton3W. AntonW. Anton
F. Mane39F. ManeF. Mane
J. Ryerson26J. RyersonJ. Ryerson
J. Bellingham7J. BellinghamJ. Bellingham
F. Nmecha8F. NmechaF. Nmecha
D. Svensson24D. SvenssonD. Svensson
K. Karetsas19K. KaretsasK. Karetsas
M. Beier14M. BeierM. Beier
S. Guirassy9S. GuirassyS. Guirassy

1899 Hoffenheim Substitutes

37L. PhilippG
2R. HranacD
15V. GendreyD
13BernardoD
17N. De CatM
32C. LenzM
27A. KramaricF
20B. ConteM
9M. MoerstedtF

Borussia Dortmund Substitutes

33A. MeyerG
49L. ReggianiD
36K. PratesD
20M. SabitzerM
18E. NwaneriM
25J. VeermanM
17C. ChukwuemekaM
21F. SilvaF
41M. AlbertF

Match Stats

1899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund
60%Ball Possession40%
10Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box1
5Blocked Shots5
13Fouls7
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
498Total Passes335
400Passes Accurate253
80%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1760Elo Rating 1952
1.74Attack 2.74
1.15Defense 2.28
37%Hit Rate 100%
18.2Shots per Game 14.0
6.0Shots on Target 4.9
7.5Corners per Game 5.1
2.1Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend77% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

1899 Hoffenheim 41%Draw 17%42% Borussia Dortmund
3.28Avg Goals
77%BTTS Rate
61%Over 2.5

Recent Form

1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
2W1D2L
29/08/2026
1. FC Köln1899 Hoffenheim
32
L
22/08/2026
Erzgebirge Aue1899 Hoffenheim
04
W
16/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
22
D
15/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
30
L
01/08/2026
1899 HoffenheimKarlsruher SC
30
W
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
3W1D1L
01/09/2026
HEBCBorussia Dortmund
05
W
29/08/2026
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
20
W
22/08/2026
Borussia DortmundBayern München
12
L
15/08/2026
Borussia DortmundAS Roma
22
D
09/08/2026
ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
23
W

Referee Profile

Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany · 15 matches analysed

4.0Avg Yellows
4.1Avg Cards
21.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 32% of referees analysed

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund44009:2+712WWWW
2Bayern MünchenBayern München431014:2+1210WWDW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg431012:3+910DWWW
4FC AugsburgFC Augsburg421111:6+57LDWW
5Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen421110:5+57WDWL
6FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05421110:6+47WLWD
7SV ElversbergSV Elversberg42118:7+17DLWW
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen42118:807WDWL
9RB LeipzigRB Leipzig42029:5+46LWLW
10Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt41219:10-15DWLD
11FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0441213:4-15DWDL
121. FC Köln1. FC Köln41126:9-34LDLW
131899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim31026:7-13WLL
14VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart41036:9-33LLWL
15Hamburger SVHamburger SV41032:13-113WLLL
16SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0730120:4-41LLD
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin40134:17-131LLLD
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach40046:16-100LLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Bundesliga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

1899 Hoffenheim have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. 1899 Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.28 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.