1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.60
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+10.7%
1899 Hoffenheim Rest
7 days
Borussia Dortmund Rest
3 days
1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund: the result in context
Borussia Dortmund beat 1899 Hoffenheim 3-2 in the Bundesliga on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Borussia Dortmund have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
137%2.88
X29%3.85
234%2.25
Double Chance
1X66%1.66
X263%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.40
No46%2.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.38 = 2.71
Over 1.573%1.13
Over 2.551%1.44
Over 3.530%2.15
Under 1.527%5.50
Under 2.549%2.69
Under 3.570%1.71
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.4 = 9
Over 8.557%1.41
Over 9.547%1.75
Over 10.531%2.19
Under 8.543%2.58
Under 9.553%2.00
Under 10.569%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.5 = 3.3
Over 3.541%1.65
Over 4.523%2.46
Under 3.559%2.17
Under 4.577%1.50
Match Events
32'F. Mane INE. Nwaneri out
40'Ozan KabakFoul
45'L. AvdullahuAssist: V. Coufal
45+2'Albian HajdariFoul
46'F. Nmecha INJ. Veerman out
54'T. LemperleAssist: A. Daghim
61'S. GuirassyAssist: W. Anton
62'K. Karetsas INF. Silva out
63'J. Gadou INL. Reggiani out
63'Wouter BurgerArgument
66'F. SilvaAssist: S. Guirassy
73'A. Hlozek INA. Kramaric out
73'P. Wimmer INB. Conte out
76'Luca ReggianiFoul
78'Maximilian BeierTime wasting
79'W. Burger INN. De Cat out
79'O. Kabak INR. Hranac out
80'Andrej KramarićFoul
84'T. Lemperle INM. Moerstedt out
86'A. HajdariOG
87'S. Guirassy INM. Sabitzer out
Lineups
1899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1Coach: Niko KovacAvg ratingAvg rating
C1O. Baumann
34V. Coufal
5O. Kabak
21A. Hajdari
39M. Rots
8P. Wimmer
7L. Avdullahu
18W. Burger
14A. Daghim
10A. Hlozek
19T. Lemperle
1G. Kobel
22J. Gadou
C3W. Anton
39F. Mane
26J. Ryerson
7J. Bellingham
8F. Nmecha
24D. Svensson
19K. Karetsas
14M. Beier
9S. Guirassy1899 Hoffenheim Substitutes
37L. Philipp
2R. Hranac79'for O. Kabak
15V. Gendrey
13Bernardo
17N. De Cat79'for W. Burger
32C. Lenz
27A. Kramaric73'for A. Hlozek80'
20B. Conte73'for P. Wimmer
9M. Moerstedt84'for T. Lemperle
Borussia Dortmund Substitutes
33A. Meyer
49L. Reggiani63'for J. Gadou76'
36K. Prates
20M. Sabitzer87'for S. Guirassy
18E. Nwaneri32'for F. Mane
25J. Veerman46'for F. Nmecha
17C. Chukwuemeka
21F. Silva62'for K. Karetsas66'
41M. Albert
Match Stats
1899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund 60%Ball Possession40%
10Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box1
5Blocked Shots5
13Fouls7
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
498Total Passes335
400Passes Accurate253
80%Pass Accuracy76%
Team Comparison
1899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund1767Elo Rating 1964
1.38Attack 2.03
2.08Defense 1.74
31%Hit Rate 77%
15.5Shots per Game 15.2
4.5Shots on Target 5.9
6.2Corners per Game 5.2
2.8Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
1899 Hoffenheim- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Borussia Dortmund- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
1899 Hoffenheim2Wins · 20%Draws110%
Borussia Dortmund7Wins · 70%
7Wins · 70%2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
18/04/20261899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund21
07/12/2025Borussia Dortmund1899 Hoffenheim20
26/04/20251899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund23
15/12/2024Borussia Dortmund1899 Hoffenheim11
25/02/2024Borussia Dortmund1899 Hoffenheim23
01/11/2023Borussia Dortmund1899 Hoffenheim10
29/09/20231899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund13
25/02/20231899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund01
02/09/2022Borussia Dortmund1899 Hoffenheim10
22/01/20221899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund23
Recent Form
1899 Hoffenheim5W2D3L
29/08/2026
1. FC Köln1899 Hoffenheim
1. FC Köln1899 Hoffenheim32
L22/08/2026
Erzgebirge Aue1899 Hoffenheim
Erzgebirge Aue1899 Hoffenheim04
W16/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim22
D15/08/2026Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim30
L01/08/20261899 Hoffenheim
Karlsruher SC
1899 HoffenheimKarlsruher SC30
W29/07/20261899 Hoffenheim
Holstein Kiel
1899 HoffenheimHolstein Kiel31
W18/07/2026
SGV Freiberg1899 Hoffenheim
SGV Freiberg1899 Hoffenheim03
W16/05/2026
Borussia Mönchengladbach1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach1899 Hoffenheim40
L09/05/20261899 Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
1899 HoffenheimWerder Bremen10
W02/05/20261899 Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart
1899 HoffenheimVfB Stuttgart33
DBorussia Dortmund6W1D3L
01/09/2026
HEBCBorussia Dortmund
29/08/2026HEBCBorussia Dortmund05
WBorussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV20
W22/08/2026Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
Borussia DortmundBayern München12
L15/08/2026Borussia Dortmund
AS Roma
Borussia DortmundAS Roma22
D09/08/2026
ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
ArsenalBorussia Dortmund23
W01/08/2026
FC TokyoBorussia Dortmund
FC TokyoBorussia Dortmund01
W29/07/2026
Cerezo OsakaBorussia Dortmund
Cerezo OsakaBorussia Dortmund10
L25/07/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfBorussia Dortmund
Fortuna DüsseldorfBorussia Dortmund21
L18/07/2026
Rot-weiss OberhausenBorussia Dortmund
Rot-weiss OberhausenBorussia Dortmund13
W16/05/2026Werder BremenBorussia Dortmund
Werder BremenBorussia Dortmund02
WReferee Profile
4.11Cards per match
3.96Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.11 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.24).
Cards come from 134 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29:9 | +20 | 21 | WDWWD |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 19 | WWLLW |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | +14 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 16 | WLLWW |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | LWWDD |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 13 | LWLWL |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 | WLWWL |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | DWLWL |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 | WLLWW |
| 12 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 10 | LLLWL |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 | DDWDL |
| 14 |  FC Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 | LDDLW |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:21 | -14 | 7 | LDDDW |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12:25 | -13 | 4 | LDWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | 29:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 27:13 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 20:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | 17:18 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 16:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 20:20 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 10:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 9 | 7:21 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 12:25 | 4 |
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
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This match
More Bundesliga matches
- Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV 29/08/26
- SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen 30/08/26
- FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 30/08/26
- VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln 04/09/26
- Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin 05/09/26
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg 05/09/26
- Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig 05/09/26
- SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg 05/09/26
About the 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund forecast
The forecasts for this Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
1899 Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga table
In the Bundesliga table, Borussia Dortmund are 2nd and 1899 Hoffenheim 9th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: 1899 Hoffenheim 16-17, Borussia Dortmund 16-7. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.