SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn· Max Burda, Germany 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Over 4.5
2.02
SignalGOODModel53%RiskMediumGap+10.7%
SC Paderborn 07 Rest
7 days
SC Freiburg Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%3.55
X
26%3.70
2
51%2.02
Double Chance
1X
49%1.79
X2
77%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.55
No
46%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.03 + 1.76 = 2.79
Over 1.5
73%1.19
Over 2.5
51%1.65
Over 3.5
29%2.58
Under 1.5
27%4.50
Under 2.5
49%2.25
Under 3.5
71%1.48
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.7 + 5.1 = 8.8
Over 8.5
51%1.67
Over 9.5
36%2.04
Over 10.5
25%2.62
Under 8.5
49%2.12
Under 9.5
64%1.70
Under 10.5
75%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.6 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%1.62
Over 4.5
25%2.27
Under 3.5
56%2.19
Under 4.5
75%1.56

Match Events

26'M. Eggestein
38'Laurin CurdaFoul
43'Yuito SuzukiFoul
46'R. Philippe INS. Tigges out
48'Jano Ter-HorstFoul
56'Philipp LienhartFoul
59'Yannick EngelhardtFoul
74'L. Ulrich INO. Batista Meier out
74'J. Beste INL. Kubler out
74'D. Scherhant INV. Grifo out
82'J. ter Horst INJ. Sticker out
82'M. Pieringer INS. Marino out
82'Y. Engelhardt INB. Yilmaz out
82'Y. Suzuki INK. Goto out
89'M. Hansen INN. Mohr out
90+3'Tjark Lasse SchellerArgument

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07
3-1-4-2Coach: Ralf Kettemann
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Coach: Julian Schuster
N. Noll15N. NollN. Noll
J. ter Horst21J. ter HorstJ. ter Horst
T. Scheller25T. SchellerT. Scheller
M. Hansen22M. HansenM. Hansen
S. Castaneda5S. CastanedaS. Castaneda
L. Curda17L. CurdaL. Curda
L. Ulrich28L. UlrichL. Ulrich
G. Vidovic40G. VidovicG. Vidovic
R. Obermair23R. ObermairR. Obermair
M. Pieringer18M. PieringerM. Pieringer
R. Philippe9R. PhilippeR. Philippe
M. Backhaus1M. BackhausM. Backhaus
P. Treu29P. TreuP. Treu
M. Ginter28M. GinterM. Ginter
P. Lienhart3P. LienhartP. Lienhart
J. Makengo33J. MakengoJ. Makengo
M. Eggestein8M. EggesteinM. Eggestein
Y. Engelhardt16Y. EngelhardtY. Engelhardt
J. Beste19J. BesteJ. Beste
Y. Suzuki14Y. SuzukiY. Suzuki
D. Scherhant7D. ScherhantD. Scherhant
I. Matanovic31I. MatanovicI. Matanovic

SC Paderborn 07 Substitutes

1M. SchubertG
3J. StickerD
29C. LippmannM
24N. MohrD
6T. BaackM
7O. Batista MeierM
8L. Djuric
27S. TiggesF
30S. MarinoF

SC Freiburg Substitutes

21F. MullerG
17L. KublerD
37M. RosenfelderD
43B. OgbusD
30C. GunterD
27B. YilmazD
32V. GrifoM
42K. GotoF
22C. IrieF

Match Stats

SC Paderborn 07SC Freiburg
59%Ball Possession41%
5Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box9
8Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots8
16Fouls10
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
538Total Passes366
443Passes Accurate276
82%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
1684Elo Rating 1874
0.80Attack 3.11
1.49Defense 2.15
17%Hit Rate 73%
17.2Shots per Game 19.5
3.8Shots on Target 7.0
6.5Corners per Game 5.2
2.1Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

SC Paderborn 07 100%Draw 0%0% SC Freiburg
4Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
3W2D0L
29/08/2026
FSV Mainz 05SC Paderborn 07
00
D
23/08/2026
Phönix LübeckSC Paderborn 07
24
W
08/08/2026
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
22
D
01/08/2026
VfL OsnabrückSC Paderborn 07
02
W
25/05/2026
SC Paderborn 07VfL Wolfsburg
1101
W

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund44009:2+712WWWW
2Bayern MünchenBayern München431014:2+1210WWDW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg431012:3+910DWWW
4FC AugsburgFC Augsburg421111:6+57LDWW
5Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen421110:5+57WDWL
6FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05421110:6+47WLWD
7SV ElversbergSV Elversberg42118:7+17DLWW
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen42118:807WDWL
9RB LeipzigRB Leipzig42029:5+46LWLW
10Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt41219:10-15DWLD
11FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0441213:4-15DWDL
121. FC Köln1. FC Köln41126:9-34LDLW
131899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim31026:7-13WLL
14VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart41036:9-33LLWL
15Hamburger SVHamburger SV41032:13-113WLLL
16SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0730120:4-41LLD
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin40134:17-131LLLD
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach40046:16-100LLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Bundesliga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

SC Freiburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. SC Paderborn 07 and SC Freiburg have met 1 times recently, averaging 4 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.