SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn·Max Burda, Germany 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Over 4.5
2.02
SignalNEUTRALModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+10.7%
SC Paderborn 07 Rest
7 days
SC Freiburg Rest
6 days

SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg: result, form and history

SC Freiburg beat SC Paderborn 07 1-0 in the Bundesliga on 5 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: SC Freiburg had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for SC Paderborn 07.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%3.55
X
26%3.70
2
51%2.02
Double Chance
1X
49%1.79
X2
77%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.55
No
46%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.03 + 1.76 = 2.79
Over 1.5
73%1.19
Over 2.5
51%1.65
Over 3.5
29%2.58
Under 1.5
27%4.50
Under 2.5
49%2.25
Under 3.5
71%1.48
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.7 + 5.1 = 8.8
Over 8.5
51%1.67
Over 9.5
36%2.04
Over 10.5
25%2.62
Under 8.5
49%2.12
Under 9.5
64%1.70
Under 10.5
75%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.6 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%1.62
Over 4.5
25%2.27
Under 3.5
56%2.19
Under 4.5
75%1.56

Match Events

26'M. Eggestein
38'Laurin CurdaFoul
43'Yuito SuzukiFoul
46'R. Philippe INS. Tigges out
48'Jano Ter-HorstFoul
56'Philipp LienhartFoul
59'Yannick EngelhardtFoul
74'L. Ulrich INO. Batista Meier out
74'J. Beste INL. Kubler out
74'D. Scherhant INV. Grifo out
82'J. ter Horst INJ. Sticker out
82'M. Pieringer INS. Marino out
82'Y. Engelhardt INB. Yilmaz out
82'Y. Suzuki INK. Goto out
89'M. Hansen INN. Mohr out
90+3'Tjark Lasse SchellerArgument

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07
3-1-4-2Coach: Ralf Kettemann
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Coach: Julian Schuster
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating7.10
N. Noll8.515N. Noll
J. ter Horst6.321J. ter Horst
T. Scheller7.925T. Scheller
M. Hansen6.922M. Hansen
S. Castaneda7.05S. Castaneda
L. CurdaC6.917L. Curda
L. Ulrich6.928L. Ulrich
G. Vidovic6.040G. Vidovic
R. Obermair7.023R. Obermair
M. Pieringer5.718M. Pieringer
R. Philippe6.79R. Philippe
M. Backhaus8.21M. Backhaus
P. Treu8.029P. Treu
M. Ginter7.728M. Ginter
P. Lienhart7.33P. Lienhart
J. Makengo7.333J. Makengo
M. EggesteinC7.38M. Eggestein
Y. Engelhardt6.216Y. Engelhardt
J. Beste7.219J. Beste
Y. Suzuki6.314Y. Suzuki
D. Scherhant6.97D. Scherhant
I. Matanovic7.631I. Matanovic

SC Paderborn 07 Substitutes

1M. Schubert
3J. Sticker82'for J. ter Horst6.9
29C. Lippmann
24N. Mohr89'for M. Hansen
6T. Baack
7O. Batista Meier74'for L. Ulrich6.7
8L. Djuric
27S. Tigges46'for R. Philippe6.5
30S. Marino82'for M. Pieringer6.7

SC Freiburg Substitutes

21F. Muller
17L. Kubler74'for J. Beste6.6
37M. Rosenfelder
43B. Ogbus
30C. Gunter
27B. Yilmaz82'for Y. Engelhardt6.7
32V. Grifo74'for D. Scherhant6.9
42K. Goto82'for Y. Suzuki6.3
22C. Irie

Match Stats

SC Paderborn 07SC Freiburg
59%Ball Possession41%
5Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box9
8Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots8
16Fouls10
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
538Total Passes366
443Passes Accurate276
82%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
1702Elo Rating 1879
0.53Attack 1.48
2.16Defense 1.46
19%Hit Rate 69%
15.7Shots per Game 13.2
4.9Shots on Target 3.2
5.5Corners per Game 5.3
1.8Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 071Wins · 100%
Draws00%
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

DFB Pokal01/11/2023
SC FreiburgSC Paderborn 07
13

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
4W4D2L
29/08/2026
FSV Mainz 05SC Paderborn 07
00
D
23/08/2026
Phönix LübeckSC Paderborn 07
24
W
08/08/2026
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
22
D
01/08/2026
VfL OsnabrückSC Paderborn 07
02
W
25/05/2026
SC Paderborn 07VfL Wolfsburg
2111
W
21/05/2026
VfL WolfsburgSC Paderborn 07
00
D
17/05/2026
SV Darmstadt 98SC Paderborn 07
02
W
08/05/2026
SC Paderborn 07Karlsruher SC
22
D
03/05/2026
SV ElversbergSC Paderborn 07
51
L
26/04/2026
SC Paderborn 07FC Schalke 04
23
L
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
8W0D2L
30/08/2026
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
41
W
27/08/2026
SC FreiburgMotherwell
41
W
23/08/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg
15
W
20/08/2026
MotherwellSC Freiburg
13
W
15/08/2026
SC FreiburgCrystal Palace
20
W
08/08/2026
SC FreiburgStrasbourg
20
W
24/07/2026
SC FreiburgDerby
31
W
20/05/2026
SC FreiburgAston Villa
03
L
16/05/2026
SC FreiburgRB Leipzig
41
W
10/05/2026
Hamburger SVSC Freiburg
32
L

Referee Profile

Max Burda125 matches

4.70Cards per match
4.60Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Max Burda4.70
Other referees4.63

4.70 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.63).

Cards come from 105 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayern MünchenBayern München963029:9+2021WDWWD
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund963016:7+921WDWDD
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg961220:10+1019WWLLW
4RB LeipzigRB Leipzig960327:13+1418WWWLW
5Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen951320:17+316WLLWW
6Werder BremenWerder Bremen943217:15+215LWWDD
7SV ElversbergSV Elversberg941417:18-113LWLWL
8VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart940515:15012WWLLW
91899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim940516:17-112WLWWL
10Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt933315:20-512DWLWL
11Hamburger SVHamburger SV940510:20-1012WLLWW
12FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05931518:19-110LLLWL
13SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0792438:11-310DDWDL
14FC AugsburgFC Augsburg923420:2009LLDLD
151. FC Köln1. FC Köln923410:14-49LDDLW
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin91447:21-147LDDDW
17FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0491355:11-66LLDLL
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach911712:25-134LDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Bayern MünchenBayern München929:921
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund916:721
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg920:1019
4RB LeipzigRB Leipzig927:1318
5Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen920:1716
6Werder BremenWerder Bremen917:1515
7SV ElversbergSV Elversberg917:1813
8VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart915:1512
91899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim916:1712
10Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt915:2012
11Hamburger SVHamburger SV910:2012
12FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05918:1910
13SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0798:1110
14FC AugsburgFC Augsburg920:209
151. FC Köln1. FC Köln910:149
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin97:217
17FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0495:116
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach912:254
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

SC Paderborn 07 and SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, SC Freiburg are 3rd and SC Paderborn 07 13th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: SC Paderborn 07 8-11, SC Freiburg 20-10. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

SC Paderborn 07 and SC Freiburg have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.