VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.75
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+13.2%
VfB Stuttgart Rest
7 days
1. FC Köln Rest
6 days
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln: result, form and history
VfB Stuttgart beat 1. FC Köln 4-1 in the Bundesliga on 4 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
VfB Stuttgart have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
164%1.47
X22%5.00
214%6.00
Double Chance
1X86%1.14
X236%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.46
No39%2.56
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.71 + 1.2 = 2.91
Over 1.579%1.09
Over 2.561%1.34
Over 3.537%1.90
Under 1.521%6.80
Under 2.539%3.12
Under 3.563%1.90
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.7 = 9.1
Over 8.558%1.34
Over 9.546%1.59
Over 10.534%1.98
Under 8.542%2.90
Under 9.554%2.21
Under 10.566%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 2.3 = 3.6
Over 3.548%1.94
Over 4.528%2.76
Under 3.552%1.81
Under 4.572%1.40
Match Events
39'Bilal El KhannoussAssist: Josha Vagnoman
41'Jahmai Simpson-PuseyFoul
45'Paul Okon-Engstler INEllyes Skhiri out
45'Jan Thielmann INMikey Moore out
51'Maximilian MittelstädtFoul
60'Grischa PrömelAssist: Maximilian Mittelstädt
70'Chris Führich INJamie Leweling out
70'Deniz Undav INErmedin Demirović out
75'Ragnar Ache INMarius Bülter out
75'Linton Maina INReigan Heskey out
75'Ermedin DemirovićAssist: Finn Jeltsch
78'Bilal El Khannouss INLeo Sauer out
78'Maximilian Mittelstädt INRamon Hendriks out
81'Ramon HendriksOG
85'Tom KraußFoul
86'Alessio Castro-MontesFoul
90'Tom Krauß INImad Rondić out
90'Josha Vagnoman
90+2'Angelo Stiller INYanik Spalt out
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart1. FC Köln
4-3-3Coach: René WagnerAvg ratingAvg rating
1F. Bredlow
4J. Vagnoman
29F. Jeltsch
24J. Chabot
7M. Mittelstädt
11B. El Khannouss
21G. Prömel
6A. Stiller
10C. Führich
17D. Pejčinović
26D. Undav
1M. Schwäbe
17A. Castro-Montes
22J. Simpson-Pusey
24L. Lochoshvili
14G. Mensah
8Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
5T. Krauß
23P. Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
29J. Thielmann
9R. Ache
37L. MainaVfB Stuttgart Substitutes
3R. Hendriks78'for Maximilian Mittelstädt81'
47Y. Spalt90+2'for Angelo Stiller
16A. Karazor
44L. Sauer78'for Bilal El Khannouss
18J. Leweling70'for Chris Führich
2A. Al Dakhil
9E. Demirović70'for Deniz Undav75'
20L. Stergiou
33M. Funk
1. FC Köln Substitutes
11Reigan Heskey75'for Linton Maina
15I. Rondić90'for Tom Krauß
2J. Schmied
6E. Skhiri45'for Paul Okon-Engstler
3B. Sosa
33R. van den Berg
20R. Zieler
30M. Bülter75'for Ragnar Ache
47M. Moore45'for Jan Thielmann
Match Stats
VfB Stuttgart1. FC Köln 58%Ball Possession42%
10Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards3
22Total Shots18
8Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal9
15Shots Inside Box14
7Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots4
5Fouls6
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
526Total Passes378
450Passes Accurate316
86%Pass Accuracy84%
Team Comparison
VfB Stuttgart1. FC Köln1857Elo Rating 1699
1.58Attack 1.70
1.36Defense 2.42
42%Hit Rate 37%
15.7Shots per Game 13.9
5.5Shots on Target 4.8
5.2Corners per Game 4.8
3.1Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+159 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
VfB Stuttgart- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
1. FC Köln- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
VfB Stuttgart6Wins · 60%Draws220%
1. FC Köln2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
14/02/2026VfB Stuttgart1. FC Köln31
28/09/20251. FC KölnVfB Stuttgart12
24/02/2024VfB Stuttgart1. FC Köln11
30/09/20231. FC KölnVfB Stuttgart02
18/02/2023VfB Stuttgart1. FC Köln30
28/08/20221. FC KölnVfB Stuttgart00
14/05/2022VfB Stuttgart1. FC Köln21
19/12/20211. FC KölnVfB Stuttgart10
27/10/2021VfB Stuttgart1. FC Köln02
20/02/20211. FC KölnVfB Stuttgart01
Recent Form
VfB Stuttgart6W1D3L
28/08/2026
Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
Hansa RostockVfB Stuttgart
Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart51
L21/08/2026Hansa RostockVfB Stuttgart04
W15/08/2026
FulhamVfB Stuttgart
FulhamVfB Stuttgart10
L08/08/2026VfB Stuttgart
Everton
VfB StuttgartEverton31
W01/08/2026VfB Stuttgart
Paris FC
VfB StuttgartParis FC21
W29/07/2026
Kickers OffenbachVfB Stuttgart
Kickers OffenbachVfB Stuttgart18
W25/07/2026
HollenbachVfB Stuttgart
HollenbachVfB Stuttgart05
W19/07/2026
BalingenVfB Stuttgart
BalingenVfB Stuttgart07
W23/05/2026Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart30
L16/05/2026
Eintracht FrankfurtVfB Stuttgart
Eintracht FrankfurtVfB Stuttgart22
D1. FC Köln4W3D3L
29/08/20261. FC Köln
1899 Hoffenheim
1. FC Köln1899 Hoffenheim32
W24/08/2026
Würzburger Kickers1. FC Köln
Würzburger Kickers1. FC Köln12
W08/08/20261. FC Köln
Real Sociedad
1. FC KölnReal Sociedad21
W31/07/20261. FC Köln
Hertha BSC
1. FC KölnHertha BSC22
D23/07/2026
Bergisch Gladbach1. FC Köln
Bergisch Gladbach1. FC Köln08
W16/05/2026Bayern München1. FC Köln
Bayern München1. FC Köln51
L10/05/20261. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln1. FC Heidenheim13
L02/05/2026
Union Berlin1. FC Köln
Union Berlin1. FC Köln22
D25/04/20261. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC KölnBayer Leverkusen12
L17/04/2026
FC St. Pauli1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli1. FC Köln11
DReferee Profile
4.29Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).
Cards come from 137 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29:9 | +20 | 21 | WDWWD |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 19 | WWLLW |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | +14 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 16 | WLLWW |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | LWWDD |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 13 | LWLWL |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 | WLWWL |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | DWLWL |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 | WLLWW |
| 12 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 10 | LLLWL |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 | DDWDL |
| 14 |  FC Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 | LDDLW |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:21 | -14 | 7 | LDDDW |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 | LLDLL |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12:25 | -13 | 4 | LDWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | 29:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 27:13 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 20:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | 17:18 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 16:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 20:20 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 10:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 9 | 7:21 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 12:25 | 4 |
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Bundesliga matches
- Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt 29/08/26
- Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV 29/08/26
- SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen 30/08/26
- FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 30/08/26
- 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund 05/09/26
- Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin 05/09/26
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg 05/09/26
- Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig 05/09/26
About the VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
VfB Stuttgart and 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga table
In the Bundesliga table, VfB Stuttgart are 8th and 1. FC Köln 15th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: VfB Stuttgart 15-15, 1. FC Köln 10-14. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.