Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord Prediction

Fredrikstad
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad·Mischa Kellerhals, Norway 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+7.4%
Fredrikstad Rest
4 days
Sandefjord Rest
5 days

Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord: result, form and history

Fredrikstad beat Sandefjord 1-0 in the Eliteserien on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Fredrikstad have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 1.6 goals a game. Referee Mischa Kellerhals averages 2.67 cards a game, 0.99 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.28
X
27%3.40
2
32%3.00
Double Chance
1X
68%1.36
X2
59%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.57
No
45%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.32 = 2.76
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.73
Over 3.5
31%2.75
Under 1.5
24%4.00
Under 2.5
45%2.07
Under 3.5
69%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 5.2 = 10.4
Over 8.5
68%1.30
Over 9.5
60%1.53
Over 10.5
48%1.87
Under 8.5
32%3.30
Under 9.5
40%2.33
Under 10.5
52%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.8 = 4
Over 3.5
48%-
Over 4.5
31%-
Under 3.5
52%-
Under 4.5
69%-

Match Events

10'M. Melchior INJ. Vester out
26'O. Ohlenschlaeger
39'F. HolmeAssist: M. Nilsson
46'S. Owusu INI. Amundsen out
64'F. Ghebreyohannes INS. Rafn out
64'B. Faraas ING. Wesseh out
70'S. Mork IND. Skaarud out
70'B. Berntsen INF. Apetorgbor out
70'E. Patoulidis INJ. Dunsby out
77'O. Ohlenschlaeger INL. Owusu out
88'M. Nilsson INJ. Jezierski out
89'X. Lambrix INH. Krogelien out

Lineups

Fredrikstad
4-3-3Coach: Andreas Hagen
Sandefjord
4-1-4-1Coach: Andreas Tegstrom
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.72
Martin Borsheim7.277M. Borsheim
Solomon Owusu6.928S. Owusu
Fredrik Holmé9.34F. Holmé
Ulrik Fredriksen6.912U. Fredriksen
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem7.319F. Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Daniel EidC6.916D. Eid
Max Nilsson7.214M. Nilsson
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger6.920O. Øhlenschlaeger
Benjamin Faraas7.37B. Faraas
Henrik Langaas Skogvold6.523H. Langaas Skogvold
Salim Laghzaoui6.39S. Laghzaoui
Elias Hadaya7.330E. Hadaya
Fredrik Carson Pedersen6.64F. Carson Pedersen
Rasmus Holten7.013R. Holten
Xander Lambrix7.044X. Lambrix
Vetle Walle Egeli6.33V. Walle Egeli
Sander Risan MörkC7.36S. Risan Mörk
Evangelos Patoulidis6.27E. Patoulidis
Edvard Pettersen7.314E. Pettersen
Marcus Melchior6.620M. Melchior
Bendik Berntsen6.719B. Berntsen
Sebastian Holm Mathisen6.324S. Holm Mathisen

Fredrikstad Substitutes

38Isak Helstad Amundsen46'for S. Owusu6.9
5Simen Rafn64'for F. Ghebreyohannes6.3
29Gabriel Wesseh64'for B. Faraas6.6
24Leonard Owusu77'for O. Ohlenschlaeger6.6
21Jakub Jezierski88'for M. Nilsson
1Oystein Ovretveit
3Aleksander Andresen
6Samuel Leach Holm
10Johannes Núñez

Sandefjord Substitutes

37Jakob Vester10'for M. Melchior6.2
27Jakob Maslo Dunsby70'for E. Patoulidis6.7
32Daniel Skaarud70'for S. Mork6.6
17Foster Apetorgbor70'for B. Berntsen6.7
16Hakon Krogelien89'for X. Lambrix
1Alf Grønneberg
2Martin Hellan
31Henrik Skretteberg
21Jakob Swift

Match Stats

FredrikstadSandefjord
38%Ball Possession62%
6Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards0
14Total Shots15
5Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots8
12Fouls7
2Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves4
373Total Passes617
302Passes Accurate548
81%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

FredrikstadFredrikstad
SandefjordSandefjord
1620Elo Rating 1568
2.27Attack 0.58
0.42Defense 1.41
27%Hit Rate 14%
14.2Shots per Game 16.2
3.9Shots on Target 3.4
5.8Corners per Game 3.5
1.7Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FredrikstadFredrikstad
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
SandefjordSandefjord
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

FredrikstadFredrikstad3Wins · 60%
Draws240%
SandefjordSandefjord0Wins · 0%
1.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
20%3+ goals1 of 5

Previous meetings

Eliteserien25/05/2026
SandefjordFredrikstad
11
Eliteserien26/10/2025
SandefjordFredrikstad
00
Eliteserien21/04/2025
FredrikstadSandefjord
31
Eliteserien01/12/2024
SandefjordFredrikstad
01
Eliteserien28/04/2024
FredrikstadSandefjord
10

Recent Form

FredrikstadFredrikstad
2W1D7L
27/07/2026
RosenborgFredrikstad
40
L
17/07/2026
Bodo/GlimtFredrikstad
10
L
11/07/2026
FredrikstadLillestrom
02
L
04/07/2026
ValerengaFredrikstad
31
L
29/05/2026
FredrikstadStart
21
W
25/05/2026
SandefjordFredrikstad
11
D
16/05/2026
FredrikstadHam-Kam
21
W
09/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
21
L
02/05/2026
BrannFredrikstad
31
L
25/04/2026
FredrikstadViking
12
L
SandefjordSandefjord
2W3D5L
26/07/2026
SandefjordBodo/Glimt
03
L
18/07/2026
VikingSandefjord
21
L
12/07/2026
SandefjordHam-Kam
22
D
30/05/2026
MoldeSandefjord
21
L
25/05/2026
SandefjordFredrikstad
11
D
16/05/2026
LillestromSandefjord
31
L
10/05/2026
SandefjordKristiansund BK
20
W
03/05/2026
SandefjordAalesund
10
W
26/04/2026
TromsoSandefjord
31
L
18/04/2026
SandefjordRosenborg
00
D

Referee Profile

Mischa Kellerhals95 matches

2.67Cards per match
2.58Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
21.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mischa Kellerhals2.67
Other referees3.66

2.67 cards a match, 0.99 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.66).

Cards come from 12 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso25117743:38+540LLDDW
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8ValerengaValerenga25951143:46-332WWWLD
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart25541626:55-2919LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2559:3943
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2543:3840
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8ValerengaValerenga2543:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2526:5519
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fredrikstad and Sandefjord in the Eliteserien table

Fredrikstad and Sandefjord are close in the Eliteserien table, 11th and 12th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Fredrikstad 29-44, Sandefjord 26-34. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.