AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos Prediction
Greece · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel78%SurpriseMediumGap-3.0%
AEK Athens FC Rest
3 days
Panetolikos Rest
6 days
AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos: the result in context
AEK Athens FC beat Panetolikos 5-0 in the Super League 1 on 24 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: AEK Athens FC had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Panetolikos.
AEK Athens FC have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
184%1.12
X12%8.20
24%17.75
Double Chance
1X96%1.02
X216%5.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes45%2.28
No55%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.14 + 0.83 = 2.97
Over 1.583%1.09
Over 2.564%1.40
Over 3.542%2.02
Under 1.517%6.00
Under 2.536%2.80
Under 3.558%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.5 + 3 = 10.4
Over 8.569%1.57
Over 9.558%2.00
Over 10.547%2.57
Under 8.531%2.23
Under 9.542%1.74
Under 10.553%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.6 = 4.2
Over 3.561%1.52
Over 4.541%2.20
Under 3.539%2.42
Under 4.559%1.62
Match Events
4'Harold MoukoudiAssist: Petros Mantalos
23'Aboubakary KoitaAssist: Milan Vitális
25'Kwadwo OpokuFoul
38'Ambrósini António Cabaça SalvadorAssist: Aboubakary Koita
45'Nikola StajicFoul
45'Amine Bassi INKosta Aleksic out
45'Marvelous Nakamba INVangelis Nikolaou out
51'Christian ManriqueFoul
53'Penalty confirmedAmbrósini António Cabaça Salvador
56'Barnabás Varga(Penalty)
62'Kaan Kairinen INRăzvan Marin out
63'Barnabás Varga INLuka Jovic out
63'Petros Mantalos INDereck Kutesa out
68'Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador INOleksandr Zubkov out
74'Mateo Mejia INMoussa Djenepo out
74'Kwadwo Opoku INYoussouph Badji out
80'Stavros Pilios INCharalampos Lykogiannis out
86'Novica Eraković INElias Olsson out
90+2'Oleksandr ZubkovAssist: Llazaros Rota
Lineups
AEK Athens FCPanetolikos
4-4-2Coach: Y. AnastasiouAvg ratingAvg rating
91A. Brignoli
12L. Rota
2H. Moukoudi
44F. Relvas
3S. Pilios
11A. Koita
6K. Kairinen
27M. Vitális
20P. Mantalos
19B. Varga
90Zini
23V. Xenopoulos
5A. Prodromitis
28L. Kojić
49N. Stajić
15C. Manrique
90K. Opoku
44N. Eraković
6M. Nakamba
22D. Esteban
9J. Mateo Mejía Piedrahita
10A. BassiAEK Athens FC Substitutes
8M. Gaćinović
41Marios Balamotis
9L. Jović63'for Barnabás Varga
17Dimitrios Kaloskamis
7D. Kutesa63'for Petros Mantalos
22C. Lykogiannis80'for Stavros Pilios
18R. Marin62'for Kaan Kairinen
23João Mário
15M. Todorski
21D. Vida
10O. Zubkov68'for Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador90+2'
16K. Arriaga
Panetolikos Substitutes
20Youssouph Badji74'replaced by Kwadwo Opoku
26Aristidis Albanis
14K. Aleksić45'for Amine Bassi
65A. Apostolopoulos
19A. Bregou
12M. Djenepo74'for Mateo Mejia
77E. Nikolaou45'for Marvelous Nakamba
4E. Olsson86'for Novica Eraković
21E. Papazois
1Michalis Pardalos
11S. Soumah
Match Stats
AEK Athens FCPanetolikos 53%Ball Possession47%
9Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards3
26Total Shots8
12Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal3
17Shots Inside Box4
9Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots2
18Fouls12
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves7
432Total Passes391
379Passes Accurate329
11Free Kicks18
Team Comparison
AEK Athens FCPanetolikos1801Elo Rating 1488
2.55Attack 0.17
1.13Defense 0.00
58%Hit Rate 0%
16.8Shots per Game 8.7
5.9Shots on Target 2.1
5.7Corners per Game 4.0
1.5Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+312 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
AEK Athens FC- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Panetolikos- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
AEK Athens FC7Wins · 70%Draws110%
Panetolikos2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
14/12/2025PanetolikosAEK Athens FC05
02/11/2025AEK Athens FCPanetolikos10
24/09/2025AEK Athens FCPanetolikos21
25/01/2025AEK Athens FCPanetolikos10
05/10/2024PanetolikosAEK Athens FC10
18/12/2023PanetolikosAEK Athens FC22
08/10/2023AEK Athens FCPanetolikos30
15/01/2023AEK Athens FCPanetolikos41
17/09/2022PanetolikosAEK Athens FC02
16/01/2022AEK Athens FCPanetolikos12
Recent Form
AEK Athens FC6W2D2L
20/10/2026
Manchester CityAEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC
OFI
Volos NFCAEK Athens FC
Asteras TripolisAEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC
Aris Thessalonikis
Manchester CityAEK Athens FC51
L14/10/2026
Shakhtar DonetskAEK Athens FC
10/10/2026Shakhtar DonetskAEK Athens FC31
LAEK Athens FCOFI30
W20/09/2026Volos NFCAEK Athens FC12
W17/09/2026AEK Athens FC
Panserraikos
13/09/2026AEK Athens FCPanserraikos81
WAsteras TripolisAEK Athens FC11
D08/09/2026AEK Athens FC
Lask Linz
05/09/2026AEK Athens FCLask Linz10
WAEK Athens FCAris Thessalonikis50
W02/09/2026
Nestos ChrisoupolisAEK Athens FC
Nestos ChrisoupolisAEK Athens FC02
W30/08/2026
KifisiaAEK Athens FC
KifisiaAEK Athens FC11
DPanetolikos3W1D6L
18/10/2026Panetolikos
Olympiakos PiraeusKifisiaPanetolikosPanetolikos
PAOK
PanathinaikosPanetolikos
LevadiakosPanetolikosPanetolikos
KalamataPanetolikosAsteras Tripolis
PanetolikosOlympiakos Piraeus02
L11/10/2026KifisiaPanetolikos20
L20/09/2026PanetolikosPAOK13
L13/09/2026PanathinaikosPanetolikos30
L06/09/2026LevadiakosPanetolikos02
W29/08/2026PanetolikosKalamata20
W23/08/2026PanetolikosAsteras Tripolis31
W19/08/2026KalamataPanetolikos
KalamataPanetolikos42
L14/08/2026
Estac TroyesPanetolikos
Estac TroyesPanetolikos11
D21/05/2026PanetolikosAsteras Tripolis
PanetolikosAsteras Tripolis12
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:4 | +14 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:2 | +10 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21:3 | +18 | 17 | WWWDW |
| 4 | Aris Thessalonikis | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 5 | PAOK | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 6 | OFI | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | 13 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Kifisia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 | WLWWD |
| 8 | Kalamata | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 10 | LWWLW |
| 9 |  Iraklis 1908 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 | LLWDD |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 6 | DLWDD |
| 12 | Levadiakos | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0:11 | -11 | 3 | DDLLD |
| 13 |  Atromitos | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 2 | LLLDD |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 0 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 18:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | 12:2 | 19 |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 7 | 21:3 | 17 |
| 4 | Aris Thessalonikis | 8 | 13:14 | 16 |
| 5 | PAOK | 8 | 16:11 | 15 |
| 6 | OFI | 8 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 7 | Kifisia | 8 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 8 | 13:17 | 10 |
| 9 | Iraklis 1908 | 8 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 8 | 8:16 | 9 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 8 | 7:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Levadiakos | 8 | 0:11 | 3 |
| 13 | Atromitos | 7 | 6:12 | 2 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 8 | 6:13 | 0 |
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Super League 1 matches
- Atromitos vs AEK Athens FC 17/10/26
- Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus 18/10/26
- Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis 18/10/26
- PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 18/10/26
- Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos 24/10/26
- Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata 25/10/26
- Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos 25/10/26
- Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos 25/10/26
About the AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos forecast
The forecasts for this Super League 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
AEK Athens FC and Panetolikos in the Super League 1 table
In the Super League 1 table, AEK Athens FC are 3rd and Panetolikos 10th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: AEK Athens FC 21-3, Panetolikos 8-16. The full standings are on the Super League 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.