Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction

Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, Athens·Angelos Evangelou 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.16
SignalSTRONGModel78%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
Panathinaikos Rest
2 days
Asteras Tripolis Rest
7 days

Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis: result, form and history

Panathinaikos beat Asteras Tripolis 5-1 in the Super League 1 on 18 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Panathinaikos had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Asteras Tripolis.

Panathinaikos have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. Referee Angelos Evangelou averages 4.51 cards a game, 0.76 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.20
X
16%6.00
2
8%13.00
Double Chance
1X
92%1.04
X2
24%4.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.18
No
55%1.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.32 + 0.83 = 3.15
Over 1.5
81%1.16
Over 2.5
61%1.56
Over 3.5
38%2.35
Under 1.5
19%4.68
Under 2.5
39%2.33
Under 3.5
62%1.51
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 2.6 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.52
Over 9.5
44%1.92
Over 10.5
33%2.45
Under 8.5
44%2.33
Under 9.5
56%1.82
Under 10.5
67%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.8 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%-
Over 4.5
45%1.83
Under 3.5
36%-
Under 4.5
55%1.83

Match Events

19'Azzedine Ounahi INAndrews Tetteh out
27'Stefan de VrijAssist: Kings Kangwa
31'Imrân Louza
45'Levi García INVicente Taborda out
45'Kalvin Ketu INAntonis Papakanellos out
60'Antonis PapakanellosAssist: Konstantinos Chrysopoulos
61'Eder González INDimitrios Kourbelis out
61'Julián Chicco INGiannis Bouzoukis out
62'Cyriel DessersAssist: Imrân Louza
62'Goal confirmedCyriel Dessers
68'Kings Kangwa INElmin Rastoder out
68'Cyriel Dessers INPedro Chirivella out
71'Dimitrios Laskaris INFranco Orozco out
72'Davide CalabriaAssist: Pedro Chirivella
77'Santino Andino INAdriano Jagusic out
79'Federico Macheda INBenjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka out
83'Andrews TettehAssist: Imrân Louza

Lineups

Panathinaikos
4-2-3-1Coach: Jacob Neestrup
Asteras Tripolis
3-4-3Coach: G. Antonopoulos
Avg rating7.25
Avg rating5.92
Iñaki Peña6.71I. Peña
D. Calabria7.82D. Calabria
S. de Vrij7.76S. de Vrij
R. van Drongelen6.955R. van Drongelen
A. Salah-Eddine7.45A. Salah-Eddine
K. Kangwa7.742K. Kangwa
I. Louza9.526I. Louza
L. García6.499L. García
A. Ounahi6.521A. Ounahi
Santino Andino6.710S. Andino
C. Dessers8.29C. Dessers
N. Papadopoulos5.61N. Papadopoulos
D. Laskaris5.474D. Laskaris
F. Brorsson5.416F. Brorsson
K. Chrisopoulos5.36K. Chrisopoulos
G. Kotsiras5.527G. Kotsiras
Eder González6.110E. González
J. Chicco5.714J. Chicco
Alex Méndez5.728A. Méndez
J. Bartolo6.37J. Bartolo
F. Macheda6.59F. Macheda
K. Ketu6.311K. Ketu

Panathinaikos Substitutes

8Adriano Jagušić77'for Santino Andino6.3
4Pedro Chirivella68'for Cyriel Dessers7.1
70K. Kotsaris
7A. Tetteh19'for Azzedine Ounahi83'7.6
19T. Tsapras
20V. Taborda45'for Levi García6.6
12L. Chaves
77G. Kiriakopoulos
18S. Kontouris
14E. Palmer-Brown
28F. Pellistri
74E. Rastoder68'for Kings Kangwa7.0

Asteras Tripolis Substitutes

8I. Bouzoukis61'for Julián Chicco6.0
61V. Chatziemmanouil
64P. Deligiannidis
20N. Kaltsas
21D. Kourbelis61'for Eder González5.9
51Giannis Kriaras
75B. Mbunga Kimpioka79'for Federico Macheda6.1
19F. Orozco71'for Dimitrios Laskaris6.2
44A. Papakanellos45'for Kalvin Ketu60'6.8
17A. Tereziou
39Ricardinho
66Matias Zogu

Match Stats

PanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
72%Ball Possession28%
9Corner Kicks1
27Total Shots5
8Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal4
17Shots Inside Box4
10Shots Outside Box1
9Blocked Shots0
10Fouls7
2Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves2
631Total Passes248
569Passes Accurate172
7Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis
1792Elo Rating 1505
3.02Attack 1.37
2.14Defense 1.33
83%Hit Rate 34%
18.7Shots per Game 8.2
6.2Shots on Target 3.4
7.3Corners per Game 2.4
1.8Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+287 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.15 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos6Wins · 60%
Draws00%
Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis4Wins · 40%
2.0Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League 122/03/2026
Asteras TripolisPanathinaikos
12
Super League 126/10/2025
PanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
20
Super League 108/12/2024
Asteras TripolisPanathinaikos
01
Super League 118/08/2024
PanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
01
Super League 121/01/2024
PanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
20
Super League 128/09/2023
Asteras TripolisPanathinaikos
14
Super League 130/01/2023
Asteras TripolisPanathinaikos
10
Super League 109/10/2022
PanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
10
Super League 129/01/2022
PanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
01
Super League 123/10/2021
Asteras TripolisPanathinaikos
21

Referee Profile

Angelos Evangelou102 matches

4.51Cards per match
4.27Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
29.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Angelos Evangelou4.51
Other referees5.27

4.51 cards a match, 0.76 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).

Cards come from 85 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos870118:4+1421WWLWW
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus861112:2+1019WWWWL
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC752021:3+1817WWWDW
4Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis851213:14-116WWWDL
5PAOKPAOK850316:11+515LWLWW
6OFIOFI841313:12+113WLLDW
7KifisiaKifisia832310:11-111WLWWD
8KalamataKalamata831413:17-410LWWLW
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 190882339:11-29LLWDD
10PanetolikosPanetolikos83058:16-89LLLLL
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis81347:15-86DLWDD
12LevadiakosLevadiakos80350:11-113DDLLD
13AtromitosAtromitos70256:12-62LLLDD
14Volos NFCVolos NFC80356:13-70LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos818:421
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus812:219
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC721:317
4Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis813:1416
5PAOKPAOK816:1115
6OFIOFI813:1213
7KifisiaKifisia810:1111
8KalamataKalamata813:1710
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 190889:119
10PanetolikosPanetolikos88:169
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis87:156
12LevadiakosLevadiakos80:113
13AtromitosAtromitos76:122
14Volos NFCVolos NFC86:130
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Panathinaikos and Asteras Tripolis in the Super League 1 table

The table shows a wide gap: Panathinaikos are 1st in the Super League 1, while Asteras Tripolis sit 11th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: Panathinaikos 18-4, Asteras Tripolis 7-15. The full standings are on the Super League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Panathinaikos have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.