Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC Prediction
World · League Stage - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel80%SurpriseMediumGap-4.7%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.50
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
Manchester City Rest
3 days
AEK Athens FC Rest
6 days
Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC: result, form and history
Manchester City beat AEK Athens FC 5-1 in the UEFA Champions League on 20 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
181%1.12
X11%10.10
28%19.50
Double Chance
1X93%1.02
X219%6.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.95
No52%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.87 + 0.7 = 3.57
Over 1.589%1.04
Over 2.572%1.25
Over 3.558%1.70
Under 1.511%8.40
Under 2.528%3.80
Under 3.542%2.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 2.7 = 8.7
Over 8.549%1.43
Over 9.538%1.74
Over 10.528%2.25
Under 8.551%2.59
Under 9.562%2.00
Under 10.572%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.8 = 3.1
Over 3.538%2.06
Over 4.521%3.40
Under 3.562%1.71
Under 4.579%1.29
Match Events
12'Elliot Anderson
34'Phil FodenAssist: Rico Lewis
45'Răzvan Marin INAboubakary Koita out
45'Barnabás Varga INAmbrósini António Cabaça Salvador out
52'Stavros PiliosAssist: Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador
57'Rayan CherkiAssist: Phil Foden
59'Josko GvardiolFoul
62'Floyd Samba INRyan McAidoo out
63'João Mário INOleksandr Zubkov out
65'Phil FodenAssist: Rico Lewis
72'Josko Gvardiol INVitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis out
72'Enzo Fernández INRayan Aït-Nouri out
76'Phil FodenAssist: Ryan McAidoo
83'Rúben Dias INKaden Braithwaite out
83'Kervin Arriaga INMijat Gaćinović out
83'Luka Jovic INMilan Vitális out
Lineups
Manchester CityAEK Athens FC
4-4-2Coach: M. NikolićAvg ratingAvg rating
1G. Donnarumma
82R. Lewis
45A. Khusanov
3R. Dias
24J. Gvardiol
5E. Anderson
17E. Fernández
47P. Foden
10R. Cherki
37Allan
75F. Samba
91A. Brignoli
12L. Rota
2H. Moukoudi
44F. Relvas
3S. Pilios
14L. Majer
16K. Arriaga
18R. Marin
23J. Mário
9L. Jović
19B. VargaManchester City Substitutes
28G. Rulli
7I. Ndiaye
22Vitor Nunes72'for Josko Gvardiol
21R. Aït-Nouri72'for Enzo Fernández
13M. Bettinelli
32A. Bouaddi
61K. Braithwaite83'for Rúben Dias
9E. Haaland
11J. Doku
6M. Guéhi
56R. McAidoo62'for Floyd Samba
AEK Athens FC Substitutes
10O. Zubkov63'for João Mário
90Zini45'for Barnabás Varga
27M. Vitális83'for Luka Jovic
21D. Vida
22C. Lykogiannis
11A. Koita45'for Răzvan Marin
6K. Kairinen
8M. Gaćinović83'for Kervin Arriaga
41Marios Balamotis
20P. Mantalos
Match Stats
Manchester CityAEK Athens FC 64%Ball Possession36%
8Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
17Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal5
13Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box8
6Blocked Shots3
6Fouls10
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
680Total Passes386
636Passes Accurate345
9Free Kicks6
Team Comparison
Manchester CityAEK Athens FC2020Elo Rating 1801
2.75Attack 2.55
1.18Defense 1.13
56%Hit Rate 58%
18.2Shots per Game 16.8
6.7Shots on Target 5.9
6.8Corners per Game 5.7
1.9Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+219 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.57 goals
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
Manchester City- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
AEK Athens FC- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
Manchester City9W0D1L
17/10/2026Manchester City
IpswichManchester City
Paris Saint Germain
LiverpoolManchester CityManchester City
Sunderland
Manchester UnitedManchester City
FC PortoManchester City
Crystal PalaceManchester CityManchester City
Bournemouth
Manchester CityIpswich32
W14/10/2026Manchester CityParis Saint Germain24
L11/10/2026LiverpoolManchester City03
W20/09/2026Manchester CitySunderland53
W17/09/2026Manchester City
Norwich
13/09/2026Manchester CityNorwich50
WManchester UnitedManchester City01
W08/09/2026FC PortoManchester City02
W05/09/2026Manchester City
Coventry
28/08/2026Manchester CityCoventry10
WCrystal PalaceManchester City14
W23/08/2026Manchester CityBournemouth21
WAEK Athens FC7W2D1L
14/10/2026
Shakhtar DonetskAEK Athens FC
10/10/2026Shakhtar DonetskAEK Athens FC31
LAEK Athens FC
OFI30
W20/09/2026
Volos NFCAEK Athens FC12
W17/09/2026AEK Athens FC
Panserraikos
13/09/2026AEK Athens FCPanserraikos81
W
Asteras TripolisAEK Athens FC11
D08/09/2026AEK Athens FC
Lask Linz
05/09/2026AEK Athens FCLask Linz10
WAEK Athens FC
Aris Thessalonikis50
W02/09/2026
Nestos ChrisoupolisAEK Athens FC
Nestos ChrisoupolisAEK Athens FC02
W30/08/2026
KifisiaAEK Athens FC
KifisiaAEK Athens FC11
D26/08/2026AEK Athens FC
Levski Sofia
AEK Athens FCLevski Sofia40
WReferee Profile
3.94Cards per match
3.64Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.95 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.00).
Cards come from 166 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 21 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 25 |  Sabah FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | LWL |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LLW |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 | DLD |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Manchester United | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 | Inter | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FC | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Champions League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
VikingAEK Athens FC
CelticLask Linz
Union St. GilloiseBodo/Glimt
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Praha
LyonSlovan Bratislava
Mjallby AIF
Aarhus
Lech PoznanFenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
FK Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Omonia Nicosia
CeljeVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyonVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyonSlovan BratislavaMjallby AIFAarhusLech PoznanFenerbahçeGornik ZabrzeFC ThunDinamo ZagrebSturm GrazHeart Of MidlothianFK Crvena ZvezdaHapoel Beer ShevaOmonia NicosiaCeljeExplore more predictions
This match
More UEFA Champions League matches
About the Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC forecast
This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Manchester City and AEK Athens FC in the UEFA Champions League table
In the UEFA Champions League table, Manchester City are 10th and AEK Athens FC 29th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Manchester City 9-5, AEK Athens FC 3-8. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Manchester City and AEK Athens FC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.