Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat Prediction

Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Sports City Stadium, Jeddah·Abdullah Al-Shehri 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalGOODModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-3.0%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Al-Ahli Jeddah Rest
4 days
Al Khaleej Saihat Rest
5 days

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat: the result in context

Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Al Khaleej Saihat 4-1 in the Pro League on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Al-Ahli Jeddah have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.36
X
17%5.00
2
13%7.26
Double Chance
1X
87%1.07
X2
30%3.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.73
No
47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.46 + 0.77 = 3.23
Over 1.5
84%1.14
Over 2.5
65%1.50
Over 3.5
43%2.20
Under 1.5
16%5.23
Under 2.5
35%2.52
Under 3.5
57%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.51
Over 9.5
48%1.95
Over 10.5
37%2.40
Under 8.5
40%2.38
Under 9.5
52%1.75
Under 10.5
63%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%1.85
Over 4.5
31%2.70
Under 3.5
49%1.88
Under 4.5
69%1.42

Match Events

9'Ahmad AsiriFoul
11'Ivan ToneyAssist: Eduard Spertsyan
13'Goal confirmedIvan Toney
23'Mohammed Al-KhabraniFoul
45'Ahmad Asiri INSaleh Al Amri out
45'Joshua King INThamer Al-Khaibri out
45+3'Joshua KingFoul
57'Artem BondarenkoAssist: Francisco Trincão
61'Francisco TrincãoAssist: Ivan Toney
66'Firas Al-Buraikan INMatheus Gonçalves Martins out
66'Saeed Baattia INMohammed Abdulrahman Yousef out
66'Eduard Spertsyan INZiyad Al-Johani out
67'Mohammed Al-Khabrani INMiguel Crespo da Silva out
68'Card upgrade confirmedMateo Benegas
69'Mateo BenegasViolent conduct
79'Musa Barrow INHussain Al Issa out
79'Majed Omar Kanabah INmohammed bader munshi out
79'Goal cancelledMohammed Abdulrahman Yousef
81'Artem Bondarenko INAbdullah Radif out
81'Francisco Trincão INRamez Zaid Al-Attar out
87'Thamer Al-KhaibriAssist: Hussain Al Issa
90+6'Ivan Toney(Penalty)

Lineups

Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-3-3Coach: M. Pusic
Al Khaleej Saihat
4-3-1-2Coach: José Gomes
Avg rating7.08
Avg rating6.12
Abdulrahman Al Sanbi6.21A. Al Sanbi
Saeed Baattia7.415S. Baattia
Mohammed Bakor7.05M. Bakor
Ibañez6.93Ibañez
Saad Yaslam6.731S. Yaslam
V. Atangana Edoa6.66V. Atangana Edoa
A. Bondarenko8.219A. Bondarenko
E. Spertsyan7.28E. Spertsyan
Trincão8.97Trincão
I. Toney9.017I. Toney
Feras Al Brikan6.29F. Al Brikan
Marwan Al Haidari7.096M. Al Haidari
Fawaz Al Saqour6.027F. Al Saqour
Ahmad Asiri5.513A. Asiri
Abdullah Al Hafith5.817A. Al Hafith
Mohammed Al Khabrani5.43M. Al Khabrani
Omar Mascarell6.08O. Mascarell
Majed Kanabah6.212M. Kanabah
Pedro Rebocho5.95P. Rebocho
M. Barrow5.699M. Barrow
M. Benegas5.79M. Benegas
J. King6.37J. King

Al-Ahli Jeddah Substitutes

62Abdullah Abdo
87Ramez Al Attar81'for Francisco Trincão6.4
30Ziyad Al Johani66'for Eduard Spertsyan6.8
11Meshal Al Mutairi
4Makaya Ibrahima Diaby
20Matheus Gonçalves66'for Firas Al-Buraikan6.8
46Rayane Hamidou
21Abdullah Radif81'for Artem Bondarenko6.5
29Mohammed Yousef66'for Saeed Baattia6.7

Al Khaleej Saihat Substitutes

4K. Kouyaté
1M. Abbas Ibrahim
15Mansour Hamzi
19Miguel Crespo67'for Mohammed Al-Khabrani5.9
14Ali Al Shaafi
90Thamer Al Khaibri45'for Joshua King87'7.4
11Saleh Al Amri45'for Ahmad Asiri6.5
28Hussain Al Eisa79'for Musa Barrow6.9
16Bader Munshi79'for Majed Omar Kanabah5.8

Match Stats

Al-Ahli JeddahAl Khaleej Saihat
62%Ball Possession38%
5Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots6
11Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box4
6Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots3
15Fouls18
4Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves7
460Total Passes301
397Passes Accurate241
17Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah
Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat
1825Elo Rating 1471
3.15Attack 1.65
1.80Defense 1.16
86%Hit Rate 42%
13.6Shots per Game 10.0
7.7Shots on Target 3.1
3.2Corners per Game 4.9
0.9Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+354 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.23 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 1 in first half)
Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah5Wins · 83%
Draws117%
Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat0Wins · 0%
3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6

Previous meetings

Pro League20/05/2026
Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Ahli Jeddah
14
Pro League20/01/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahAl Khaleej Saihat
41
Pro League07/03/2025
Al-Ahli JeddahAl Khaleej Saihat
22
Pro League18/10/2024
Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Ahli Jeddah
03
Pro League29/12/2023
Al-Ahli JeddahAl Khaleej Saihat
10
Pro League17/08/2023
Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Ahli Jeddah
13

Referee Profile

Abdullah Al-Shehri31 matches

4.29Cards per match
3.96Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Abdullah Al-Shehri4.29
Other referees4.26

4.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.26).

Cards come from 28 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1090130:9+2127WWWWL
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1081123:8+1525WWWDW
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1181226:12+1425LWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1072120:10+1023WWLWW
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1070327:13+1421WWWWL
6NEOMNEOM1161416:9+719WLLDW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1153317:16+118WLWDD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah114349:11-215LWDLD
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1033414:21-712LLLLW
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1126310:17-712LWWDD
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1033411:19-812WLDWD
12Al ShababAl Shabab1025314:14011WDWDL
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1124512:16-410DLLDL
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1124512:20-810WLDWL
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1115512:19-78DLLDD
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1113710:23-136LLWLL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon110475:19-144LLDLL
18AbhaAbha100286:18-122LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1030:927
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1023:825
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1126:1225
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1020:1023
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1027:1321
6NEOMNEOM1116:919
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1117:1618
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah119:1115
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1014:2112
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1110:1712
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1011:1912
12Al ShababAl Shabab1014:1411
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1112:1610
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1112:2010
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1112:198
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1110:236
17Al TaawonAl Taawon115:194
18AbhaAbha106:182
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat forecast

The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Khaleej Saihat in the Pro League table

In the Pro League table, Al-Ahli Jeddah are 5th and Al Khaleej Saihat 10th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Ahli Jeddah 27-13, Al Khaleej Saihat 10-17. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.