Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab Prediction

Al-Fateh
1-3
Finished
HT 1-2
Al Shabab
Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, Hasa·Raed Al Zahrani 22/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.52
SignalNEUTRALModel39%SurpriseHighGap-3.2%
Al-Fateh Rest
3 days
Al Shabab Rest
2 days

Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab: the result in context

Al Shabab beat Al-Fateh 3-1 in the Pro League on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 8 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.88
X
26%3.64
2
40%2.15
Double Chance
1X
60%1.64
X2
66%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.44
No
38%2.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.32 = 2.72
Over 1.5
81%1.14
Over 2.5
59%1.52
Over 3.5
38%2.25
Under 1.5
19%5.05
Under 2.5
41%2.40
Under 3.5
62%1.58
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 5.1 = 10.7
Over 8.5
71%1.28
Over 9.5
61%1.51
Over 10.5
49%1.83
Under 8.5
29%3.20
Under 9.5
39%2.33
Under 10.5
51%1.89
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.62
Over 4.5
42%2.20
Under 3.5
39%2.22
Under 4.5
58%1.62

Match Events

16'Ali Al-BulaihiFoul
17'Ricardo MathiasAssist: Roger Martínez
31'Ali Al-Bulaihi
40'Lukáš HaraslínAssist: Wilfried Kanga
44'Daniel PodenceFoul
45'Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari INZiyad Maher Al Jari out
45'Mohammed Al-Thain INAbdullah Ahmed Musa Al Hawsawi out
54'Ali Al-BulaihiAssist: Yacine Adli
66'Abdulelah Al Khaibari INAbdulaziz Al-Suwailem out
66'Zaydou Youssouf INFaisal Abdulwahed out
67'Abdullah Matuq INAdel Abbas Qasem out
68'Yacine Adli INAli Al-Asmari out
71'Card upgrade confirmedZiyad Maher Al Jari
72'Ziyad Maher Al JariFoul
72'Daniel Podence INAbdulrahman Al-Oboud out
75'Ziyad Maher Al Jari
80'Wilfried Kanga INFahad Al Zubaidi out
86'Mourad Batna INSaad Al-Shurafa out
88'Dhari Sayyar Al Anazi INSultan Al-Anzi out

Lineups

Al-Fateh
5-4-1Coach: J. Sellami
Al Shabab
4-4-2Coach: T. Letsch
Avg rating6.29
Avg rating6.93
A. Šemper7.11A. Šemper
Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari6.022A. Rahman Al Khaibari
M. Lixandru6.58M. Lixandru
M. Saâdane6.417M. Saâdane
K. Boateng5.93K. Boateng
Abdulelah Al Khaibari5.816A. Al Khaibari
M. Batna6.311M. Batna
Z. Youssouf5.928Z. Youssouf
Ali Al Hassan6.36A. Al Hassan
L. Haraslín8.210L. Haraslín
W. Kanga6.79W. Kanga
M. Diaw6.91M. Diaw
Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani6.217M. Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
T. Jedvaj6.74T. Jedvaj
Ali Al Bulayhi8.355A. Al Bulayhi
Dhari Al Anazi7.321D. Al Anazi
A. Matuq6.237A. Matuq
J. Brownhill7.28J. Brownhill
Y. Adli7.729Y. Adli
Daniel Podence6.511D. Podence
Roger Martínez6.99R. Martínez
Ricardo Mathias8.049R. Mathias

Al-Fateh Substitutes

78Abdulaziz Al Suwailem66'for Abdulelah Al Khaibari6.0
80Faisal Al Abdulwahed66'for Zaydou Youssouf6.2
19R. Kelder
94Waleed Al Anzi
18Abdulaziz Al Fawaz
4Ziyad Al Jari45'for Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari72'75'4.8
7Fahad Al Zubaidi80'for Wilfried Kanga6.5
88Othman Al-Othma
49Saad Al Sharfa86'for Mourad Batna6.4

Al Shabab Substitutes

40Ali Al Asmari68'for Yacine Adli6.7
27Abdullah Al Hawsawi45'for Mohammed Al-Thain7.0
12S. Al Anzi88'for Dhari Sayyar Al Anazi6.3
33Mohammed Al Mahasneh
6Awad Al Nashri
24Abdulrahman Al Obud72'for Daniel Podence6.5
97Mourad Khodari
5Ali Makki
35Adel Abbas Qasem67'replaced by Abdullah Matuq

Match Stats

Al-FatehAl Shabab
40%Ball Possession60%
8Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
16Total Shots25
3Shots on Goal10
8Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box18
7Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots7
14Fouls8
3Offsides1
7Goalkeeper Saves2
296Total Passes446
241Passes Accurate384
7Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Al-FatehAl-Fateh
Al ShababAl Shabab
1424Elo Rating 1530
1.59Attack 1.99
0.00Defense 1.99
19%Hit Rate 46%
12.6Shots per Game 16.6
4.0Shots on Target 6.4
6.6Corners per Game 5.5
2.1Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Al-FatehAl-Fateh
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Al ShababAl Shabab
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.5 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Al-FatehAl-Fateh3Wins · 30%
Draws550%
Al ShababAl Shabab2Wins · 20%
2.9Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Pro League28/04/2026
Al ShababAl-Fateh
11
Pro League03/01/2026
Al-FatehAl Shabab
20
Pro League01/05/2025
Al-FatehAl Shabab
31
Pro League05/12/2024
Al ShababAl-Fateh
22
Pro League27/05/2024
Al ShababAl-Fateh
32
Pro League15/12/2023
Al-FatehAl Shabab
11
King's Cup31/10/2023
Al-FatehAl Shabab
1121
Pro League03/05/2023
Al ShababAl-Fateh
10
Pro League26/12/2022
Al-FatehAl Shabab
41
Pro League20/01/2022
Al ShababAl-Fateh
11

Referee Profile

Raed Al Zahrani35 matches

4.71Cards per match
4.42Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
25.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Raed Al Zahrani4.71
Other referees4.28

4.71 cards a match, 0.43 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.28).

Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1090130:9+2127WWWWL
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1081123:8+1525WWWDW
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1181226:12+1425LWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1072120:10+1023WWLWW
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1070327:13+1421WWWWL
6NEOMNEOM1161416:9+719WLLDW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1153317:16+118WLWDD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah114349:11-215LWDLD
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1033414:21-712LLLLW
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1126310:17-712LWWDD
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1033411:19-812WLDWD
12Al ShababAl Shabab1025314:14011WDWDL
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1124512:16-410DLLDL
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1124512:20-810WLDWL
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1115512:19-78DLLDD
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1113710:23-136LLWLL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon110475:19-144LLDLL
18AbhaAbha100286:18-122LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1030:927
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1023:825
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1126:1225
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1020:1023
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1027:1321
6NEOMNEOM1116:919
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1117:1618
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah119:1115
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1014:2112
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1110:1712
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1011:1912
12Al ShababAl Shabab1014:1411
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1112:1610
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1112:2010
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1112:198
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1110:236
17Al TaawonAl Taawon115:194
18AbhaAbha106:182
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab forecast

The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Fateh and Al Shabab in the Pro League table

In the Pro League table, Al Shabab are 12th and Al-Fateh 16th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Fateh 10-23, Al Shabab 14-14. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al Shabab have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.