Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh Prediction

Al-Fayha
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Al Riyadh
Al Majma’a Sport City, Madimaa·Abdullah Yahya Zarban 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-8.1%
Al-Fayha Rest
28 days
Al Riyadh Rest
27 days

Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh: the result in context

Al-Fayha and Al Riyadh drew 1-1 in the Pro League on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.11
X
28%3.31
2
30%3.23
Double Chance
1X
70%1.30
X2
58%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.73
No
45%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.3 = 2.84
Over 1.5
74%1.28
Over 2.5
51%1.92
Over 3.5
29%3.25
Under 1.5
26%3.50
Under 2.5
49%1.86
Under 3.5
71%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.51
Over 9.5
48%1.87
Over 10.5
38%2.40
Under 8.5
41%2.35
Under 9.5
52%1.86
Under 10.5
62%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%2.00
Over 4.5
32%2.95
Under 3.5
49%1.73
Under 4.5
68%1.37

Match Events

16'Lázaro Vinicius MarquesAssist: Jason Remeseiro
32'Bernard MensahFoul
45'Sulaiman Hazazi INHussain Qasim out
45'Essam Hassan Abdullah Bahri INMahmoud Trezeguet out
46'Ali Al-HussainFoul
60'Hussam Majrashi INFahad Mohammed Al-Jayzani out
69'Lázaro Vinicius Marques INYago Souza out
70'Alfa Semedo INNawaf Al-Harthi out
76'Hassan Hashim Al-Ali INHussain Al-Raqwani out
77'Kader KeitaFoul
80'Sultan Al-Essa INHussain Al Shurafa out
81'Hussain Al ShurafaFoul
88'Ali Al-Hussain INRayan Enad out
88'Jason Remeseiro INMalek Al-Abdulmonam out
90+2'Mahmoud TrezeguetAssist: Fahad Mohammed Al-Jayzani
90+5'Fashion SakalaDissent

Lineups

Al-Fayha
4-3-3Coach: Fábio Carille
Al Riyadh
4-2-3-1Coach: Maurício Dulac
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.76
O. Mosquera6.352O. Mosquera
Mohammed Al Baqawi7.122M. Al Baqawi
Mukhir Al Rashidi7.42M. Al Rashidi
O. Colley6.725O. Colley
Ahmed Bamasud6.924A. Bamasud
Ali Al Hussain6.16A. Al Hussain
Hugo Moura6.85H. Moura
Alfa Semedo6.330A. Semedo
Jason7.623Jason
Lázaro8.017Lázaro
F. Sakala6.610F. Sakala
M. Borjan7.182M. Borjan
Sultan Alessa6.62S. Alessa
Hossam Majrashi6.85H. Majrashi
R. Abascal6.826R. Abascal
Sulaiman Hazazi6.312S. Hazazi
K. Keita7.26K. Keita
B. Mensah7.143B. Mensah
T. Okou6.510T. Okou
V. Lekhal6.922V. Lekhal
Essam Bahri6.314E. Bahri
H. Al Ali6.811H. Al Ali

Al-Fayha Substitutes

12Turki Al Jaadi
1Abdulraoof Al-Deqeel
14Mansor Al Beshe
9Malek Al Abdulmanam88'for Jason Remeseiro6.2
7Nawaf Al-Harthi70'for Alfa Semedo6.4
21Ziyad Al Sahafi
43Fahad Majed Alhubayshi
40Yago Santana69'for Lázaro Vinicius Marques6.5
77R. Enad88'for Ali Al-Hussain6.5

Al Riyadh Substitutes

3Y. M. Al Musa
17Hussain Al-Raqwani76'for Hassan Hashim Al-Ali6.6
19A. M. Al Harthi80'for Sultan Al-Essa81'6.1
97Emad Fida
7Trézéguet45'for Essam Hassan Abdullah Bahri90+2'8.2
32Awad Dahal
23Hussain Qasim45'for Sulaiman Hazazi6.4
79F. Al Jayzani60'for Hussam Majrashi6.7
13Osama Al Bowardi

Match Stats

Al-FayhaAl Riyadh
41%Ball Possession59%
5Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal9
7Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots6
5Fouls11
0Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves3
348Total Passes503
287Passes Accurate431
82%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Al-FayhaAl-Fayha
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
1471Elo Rating 1497
1.16Attack 1.07
1.22Defense 2.31
0%Hit Rate 44%
9.2Shots per Game 13.4
2.6Shots on Target 3.9
4.1Corners per Game 4.9
1.5Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Al-FayhaAl-Fayha
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Al-FayhaAl-Fayha4Wins · 57%
Draws343%
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh0Wins · 0%
2.7Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

Pro League04/05/2026
Al-FayhaAl Riyadh
42
Pro League10/01/2026
Al RiyadhAl-Fayha
11
Pro League26/02/2025
Al RiyadhAl-Fayha
00
Pro League29/09/2024
Al-FayhaAl Riyadh
20
Pro League15/03/2024
Al-FayhaAl Riyadh
11
King's Cup26/09/2023
Al RiyadhAl-Fayha
12
Pro League22/09/2023
Al RiyadhAl-Fayha
13

Recent Form

Al-FayhaAl-Fayha
2W4D4L
12/09/2026
Al ShababAl-Fayha
00
D
08/09/2026
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Fayha
21
L
03/09/2026
Al-FayhaAl Kholood
22
D
28/08/2026
Al-FayhaAbha
32
W
25/08/2026
Al TaawonAl-Fayha
00
D
20/08/2026
Al-FayhaAl-Hilal Saudi FC
03
L
17/08/2026
Al-AdalahAl-Fayha
02
W
14/08/2026
NEOMAl-Fayha
21
L
31/07/2026
Den BoschAl-Fayha
20
L
22/07/2026
KVC WesterloAl-Fayha
00
D

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1090130:9+2127WWWWL
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1081123:8+1525WWWDW
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1181226:12+1425LWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1072120:10+1023WWLWW
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1070327:13+1421WWWWL
6NEOMNEOM1161416:9+719WLLDW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1153317:16+118WLWDD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah114349:11-215LWDLD
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1033414:21-712LLLLW
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1126310:17-712LWWDD
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1033411:19-812WLDWD
12Al ShababAl Shabab1025314:14011WDWDL
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1124512:16-410DLLDL
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1124512:20-810WLDWL
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1115512:19-78DLLDD
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1113710:23-136LLWLL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon110475:19-144LLDLL
18AbhaAbha100286:18-122LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1030:927
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1023:825
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1126:1225
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1020:1023
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1027:1321
6NEOMNEOM1116:919
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1117:1618
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah119:1115
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1014:2112
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1110:1712
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1011:1912
12Al ShababAl Shabab1014:1411
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1112:1610
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1112:2010
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1112:198
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1110:236
17Al TaawonAl Taawon115:194
18AbhaAbha106:182
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh forecast

The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Fayha and Al Riyadh in the Pro League table

In the Pro League table, Al Riyadh are 11th and Al-Fayha 15th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Fayha 12-19, Al Riyadh 11-19. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.