Cienciano vs Universitario Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 4.5
1.76
SignalNEUTRALModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Cienciano Rest
3 days
Universitario Rest
8 days
Cienciano vs Universitario: the result in context
Cienciano beat Universitario 2-0 in the Primera División on 3 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Universitario had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Cienciano.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Roberto Perez Gutierrez averages 4.83 cards a game, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
146%2.26
X22%3.15
232%3.10
Double Chance
1X68%1.33
X254%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.75
No47%1.96
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.19 = 2.36
Over 1.571%1.30
Over 2.548%1.99
Over 3.526%3.35
Under 1.529%3.17
Under 2.552%1.77
Under 3.574%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 4.4 = 8.4
Over 8.553%1.75
Over 9.538%2.22
Over 10.529%2.95
Under 8.547%1.95
Under 9.562%1.57
Under 10.571%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.5 = 5.2
Over 3.574%-
Over 4.557%1.76
Under 3.526%-
Under 4.543%1.95
Match Events
34'M. SuccarAssist: C. Cabello
46'L. Alzugaray INJ. Guivin Tanta out
63'J. Rivera ING. Lapadula out
63'H. Fertoli INJ. Concha out
66'M. Succar INA. Robles out
77'A. Hohberg INH. Caparo out
82'C. GarcesAssist: C. Souza Espana
83'J. Requena INH. Calcaterra out
86'C. Souza Espana ING. Aguirre out
86'C. Cabello INR. Salazar out
87'G. Barreto INR. Sandoval out
Lineups
CiencianoUniversitario
Coach: Hector CuperCienciano Starting XI
1Gonzalo Falcón
22Carlos Cabello86'replaced by R. Salazar
4Maximiliano Amondarain
3Kevin Becerra
16Marcos Martinich
88Gerson Barreto87'replaced by R. Sandoval
5Santiago Arias
7Cristian Souza86'replaced by G. Aguirre
10Alejandro Hohberg77'replaced by H. Caparo
19Matías Succar34'66'replaced by A. Robles
21Carlos GarcésC82'
Avg rating
Universitario Starting XI
1Diego Romero
24Andy PoloC
2Caín Fara
5Matías Di Benedetto
33César Inga
8Héctor Fértoli63'replaced by J. Concha
15Juan Manuel Requena83'replaced by H. Calcaterra
28Adrián Quiroz
30Lisandro Alzugaray46'replaced by J. Guivin Tanta
20Alex Valera
11José Rivera63'replaced by G. Lapadula
Avg rating
Cienciano Substitutes
29Ademar Robles66'for M. Succar
39Henry Caparó77'for A. Hohberg
25Renzo Salazar86'for C. Cabello
8Gonzalo Aguirre86'for C. Souza Espana
17Ray Sandoval87'for G. Barreto
31Ítalo Espinoza
14Sebastian Cavero
27Alonso Yovera
18Didier La Torre
Universitario Substitutes
21Jordan Guivin46'for L. Alzugaray
17Jairo Concha63'for H. Fertoli
18Gianluca Lapadula63'for J. Rivera
10Horacio Calcaterra83'for J. Requena
25Miguel Vargas
4Anderson Santamaría
3Williams Riveros
6Jesús Castillo
23Jorge Murrugarra
Match Stats
CiencianoUniversitario 60%Ball Possession40%
7Corner Kicks2
24Total Shots7
8Shots on Goal1
13Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box4
11Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots2
8Fouls6
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
465Total Passes313
397Passes Accurate231
85%Pass Accuracy74%
Team Comparison
CiencianoUniversitario1608Elo Rating 1714
1.70Attack 2.40
2.17Defense 1.58
63%Hit Rate 64%
20.1Shots per Game 15.9
5.7Shots on Target 6.1
6.0Corners per Game 6.4
2.1Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Cienciano- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Universitario- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Cienciano1Wins · 10%Draws440%
Universitario5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
14/02/2026UniversitarioCienciano21
27/07/2025CiencianoUniversitario11
16/02/2025UniversitarioCienciano32
28/10/2024UniversitarioCienciano31
21/05/2024CiencianoUniversitario00
23/06/2023CiencianoUniversitario11
25/03/2023UniversitarioCienciano30
10/03/2023UniversitarioCienciano20
07/08/2022CiencianoUniversitario10
13/03/2022UniversitarioCienciano11
Recent Form
Cienciano5W1D4L
30/07/2026Cienciano
Lanus
Juan Pablo II CollegeCiencianoLanusCiencianoCienciano
FBC Melgar
Deportivo BinacionalCienciano
CiencianoLanus40
W25/07/2026Juan Pablo II CollegeCienciano20
L23/07/2026LanusCienciano20
L18/07/2026CiencianoFBC Melgar13
L10/07/2026Cienciano
ADT
CiencianoADT23
L29/06/2026
CuscoCienciano
CuscoCienciano12
W22/06/2026Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
14/06/2026CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso21
WDeportivo BinacionalCienciano02
W01/06/2026Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
CiencianoSporting Cristal32
W28/05/2026Cienciano
Juventud
CiencianoJuventud11
DUniversitario4W4D2L
25/07/2026UniversitarioCuscoADTUniversitario
UniversitarioCusco21
W18/07/2026ADTUniversitario12
W11/07/2026Universitario
Millonarios
UniversitarioMillonarios20
W27/06/2026Universitario
Atletico Grau
UniversitarioAtletico Grau11
D13/06/2026
Molinos El PirataUniversitario
Molinos El PirataUniversitario20
L31/05/2026Universitario
Sport Huancayo
UniversitarioSport Huancayo21
W27/05/2026Universitario
Deportes Tolima
UniversitarioDeportes Tolima00
D23/05/2026
UCV MoqueguaUniversitario
UCV MoqueguaUniversitario00
D21/05/2026
Club NacionalUniversitario
Club NacionalUniversitario00
D16/05/2026UniversitarioAtletico Grau
UniversitarioAtletico Grau01
LReferee Profile
4.83Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.83 cards a match, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.50).
Cards come from 132 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 55:35 | +20 | 59 | DWLWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 54:37 | +17 | 54 | WDWLW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 54 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 62:47 | +15 | 50 | LDDLL |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 47 | LWLLW |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 36 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 29:41 | -12 | 34 | WLLLW |
| 15 | ADT | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 31 | WDWWD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 |  FC Cajamarca | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 44:65 | -21 | 28 | WWWLL |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 55:35 | 59 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 50:35 | 54 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 62:47 | 50 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 46:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 32 | 44:47 | 36 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 29:41 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 32 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 32 | 44:65 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 38:58 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DWLWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | WDWWD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWWLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | LWLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 34:17 | +17 | 31 | LDDLL |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:20 | +11 | 30 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:17 | +8 | 26 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 15 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | ADT | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13:26 | -13 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 11 | WWWLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 5 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 34:17 | 31 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 31:20 | 30 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 25:17 | 26 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 26:27 | 15 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | ADT | 15 | 13:26 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 21:37 | 11 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 17:32 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico 02/08/26
- Sporting Cristal vs Juan Pablo II College 02/08/26
- ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso 02/08/26
- UCV Moquegua vs FBC Melgar 02/08/26
- Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano 06/08/26
- Sport Huancayo vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 07/08/26
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco 07/08/26
- Universitario vs Sporting Cristal 08/08/26
About the Cienciano vs Universitario forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cienciano and Universitario in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Universitario are 2nd and Cienciano 7th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Cienciano 53-43, Universitario 55-35. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.