Emmen vs De Graafschap Prediction

Eerste DivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 6
Emmen
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
De Graafschap
De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen 11/09/2026
EmmenEmmen
1-2
Finished
De GraafschapDe Graafschap

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Emmen Rest
7 days
De Graafschap Rest
7 days

Emmen vs De Graafschap: the result in context

De Graafschap beat Emmen 2-1 in the Eerste Divisie on 11 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Emmen had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for De Graafschap.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.71
X
27%4.15
2
25%3.91
Double Chance
1X
75%1.22
X2
51%2.01
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.36
No
33%2.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.09 + 1.34 = 3.43
Over 1.5
85%1.09
Over 2.5
67%1.34
Over 3.5
48%1.87
Under 1.5
15%6.55
Under 2.5
33%3.10
Under 3.5
52%1.88
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.8 = 9.5
Over 8.5
57%1.36
Over 9.5
45%1.63
Over 10.5
39%2.02
Under 8.5
43%2.83
Under 9.5
55%2.11
Under 10.5
61%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.8 = 3.5
Over 3.5
45%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
55%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

7'Julian kaniaAssist: Nolan Martens
18'Jason Meerstadt INgijs bolk out
29'Jack Cooper LoveAssist: Bryan Van Hove
57'Sybrand Veldhuis INMustafa Abdullatif out
57'Alessandro Hojabrpour INTorben Rhein out
61'Bjorn van Zijl INJorn Triep out
61'Julian kania INKyano Kwint out
63'Donny WarmerdamAssist: Fedde De Jong
70'Freddy Quispel INStan van Manen out
75'Rowan BesselinkFoul
79'Y. Dedelhomme INSafyan Toure out
79'Casper Staring INLuca Denk out
82'Toivo Mero INNart Ahmeti-Grainca out
82'Nolan Martens INJannes Luca·Wieckhoff out
88'Thomas KokFoul
90+2'Joshua MukehFoul
90+4'Luca EverinkArgument
90+4'Donny WarmerdamArgument
90+6'Luca EverinkSerious foul
90+6'Fedde De JongArgument

Lineups

Emmen
4-2-3-1Coach: M. van Dam
De Graafschap
4-3-3Coach: T. Duivenvoorden
Avg rating6.43
Avg rating6.57
S. Karssies6.81S. Karssies
L. Everink5.224L. Everink
J. Mukeh6.52J. Mukeh
Y. Dede-Lhomme6.53Y. Dede-Lhomme
B. Van Hove6.317B. Van Hove
A. Hojabrpour6.621A. Hojabrpour
C. Staring7.26C. Staring
M. Breij6.622M. Breij
F. Quispel5.512F. Quispel
S. Veldhuis6.140S. Veldhuis
J. Cooper8.09J. Cooper
T. Wieggers6.41T. Wieggers
N. Martens7.116N. Martens
R. Besselink6.33R. Besselink
T. Kok6.815T. Kok
K. Symons5.821K. Symons
J. Meerstadt5.924J. Meerstadt
D. Warmerdam6.98D. Warmerdam
F. de Jong7.210F. de Jong
Bjorn van Zijl6.77B. van Zijl
J. Kania7.99J. Kania
T. Mero6.611T. Mero

Emmen Substitutes

8L. Denk79'for Casper Staring5.9
18V. Carus
27J. Huijzer
25R. Kongolo
38Kevin Norder
7T. Rhein57'for Alessandro Hojabrpour6.4
15C. Sunder
29Safyan Toure79'for Y. Dedelhomme6.7
16Aaron Wanki
14Stan van Manen70'for Freddy Quispel6.3
4C. Østergaard
10Mustafa Abdullatif57'for Sybrand Veldhuis6.2

De Graafschap Substitutes

14Gijs Bolk18'for Jason Meerstadt6.5
18Denzel Eijken
20Gabriele Finocchiaro
23R. Jonkers
17N. Kaninda
40Kyano Kwint61'for Julian kania6.5
25M. Pabai
22P. Reverson
38M. Smits
28J. Triep61'for Bjorn van Zijl6.2
2J. Wieckhoff82'for Nolan Martens6.3
27N. Ahmeti-Grainca82'for Toivo Mero6.3

Match Stats

EmmenDe Graafschap
64%Ball Possession36%
13Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
27Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal5
19Shots Inside Box9
8Shots Outside Box3
13Blocked Shots2
12Fouls10
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
553Total Passes306
458Passes Accurate217
10Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

EmmenEmmen
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
1581Elo Rating 1510
1.89Attack 1.36
2.61Defense 1.75
83%Hit Rate 34%
13.9Shots per Game 13.8
5.7Shots on Target 4.5
7.2Corners per Game 5.4
2.0Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

âš½High Goal Expectancy3.44 goals
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

EmmenEmmen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

EmmenEmmen5Wins · 56%
Draws111%
De GraafschapDe Graafschap3Wins · 33%
2.6Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie24/04/2026
EmmenDe Graafschap
10
Eerste Divisie05/09/2025
De GraafschapEmmen
23
Eerste Divisie24/01/2025
De GraafschapEmmen
40
Eerste Divisie25/11/2024
EmmenDe Graafschap
30
Eerste Divisie10/05/2024
EmmenDe Graafschap
21
KNVB Beker31/10/2023
De GraafschapEmmen
20
Eerste Divisie25/08/2023
De GraafschapEmmen
01
Eerste Divisie01/04/2022
De GraafschapEmmen
11
Eerste Divisie27/08/2021
EmmenDe Graafschap
02

Recent Form

EmmenEmmen
6W1D3L
04/09/2026
EmmenFC Volendam
53
W
30/08/2026
VVV VenloEmmen
40
L
21/08/2026
EmmenJong AZ
31
W
17/08/2026
Jong AjaxEmmen
46
W
07/08/2026
EmmenRoda
10
W
01/08/2026
EmmenAlmere City FC
40
W
24/07/2026
EmmenTwente
03
L
11/07/2026
GroningenEmmen
32
L
24/04/2026
EmmenDe Graafschap
10
W
17/04/2026
RodaEmmen
22
D
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
1W1D8L
04/09/2026
HeraclesDe Graafschap
50
L
29/08/2026
De GraafschapAlmere City FC
14
L
23/08/2026
VVV VenloDe Graafschap
21
L
17/08/2026
De GraafschapJong AZ
25
L
09/08/2026
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
11
D
01/08/2026
De GraafschapExcelsior
15
L
25/07/2026
De GraafschapKifisia
42
W
17/07/2026
De GraafschapTelstar
36
L
12/07/2026
De GraafschapAEK Athens FC
12
L
03/07/2026
HeerenveenDe Graafschap
72
L

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
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About the Emmen vs De Graafschap forecast

The forecasts for this Eerste Divisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Emmen and De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, Emmen are 3rd and De Graafschap 16th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Emmen 26-19, De Graafschap 15-26. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Emmen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.