Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 Prediction

Waalwijk
2-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Jong PSV U21
Mandemakers Stadion, WaalwijkĀ·R. Sturm 28/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
Waalwijk Rest
7 days
Jong PSV U21 Rest
4 days

Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21: result, form and history

Waalwijk and Jong PSV U21 drew 2-2 in the Eerste Divisie on 28 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee R. Sturm averages 2.66 cards a game, 0.89 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.70
X
22%4.10
2
18%4.10
Double Chance
1X
82%1.20
X2
40%2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.43
No
35%2.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.91 + 1.07 = 2.98
Over 1.5
82%1.10
Over 2.5
56%1.41
Over 3.5
35%2.04
Under 1.5
18%5.78
Under 2.5
44%2.71
Under 3.5
65%1.74
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'K. Varela
19'K. VarelaAssist: J. van de Haar
28'S. SidibeAssist: F. Kluit
46'K. Oteng-Mensah INA. Jones out
46'S. Dumbili INM. Bahaty out
46'A. JonesAssist: J. Koller
63'J. van de Haar INF. Stokkers out
63'K. Varela INA. Dkidak out
64'R. Fage INY. van der Veen out
71'M. BahatyFoul
73'J. Nap INR. van Hedel out
81'J. Koller INB. Mulders out
81'F. Kluit INJ. Beerens out
86'J. de WijsFoul
87'J. de Wijs INH. van Gemert out
89'E. Bassey INK. Penso out

Lineups

Waalwijk
4-4-2Coach: Sander Duits
Jong PSV U21
4-2-3-1Coach: Stijn Schaars
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.64
Niek Schiks7.21N. Schiks
Faissal Al Mazyani6.333F. Al Mazyani
Liam Van Gelderen6.34L. Van Gelderen
Jordy de WijsC7.230J. de Wijs
Juan Familia-Castillo6.95J. Familia-Castillo
Ryan Fage6.97R. Fage
Jochem Nap7.08J. Nap
Loek Postma6.36L. Postma
Keyan Varela8.920K. Varela
Jesse van de Haar6.59J. van de Haar
Thijs van Leeuwen7.210T. van Leeuwen
Khadim Ngom7.01K. Ngom
Essien Bassey6.32E. Bassey
Fabian MeriƩn6.23F. MeriƩn
Madi MonamayC6.34M. Monamay
Gino Verhulst6.25G. Verhulst
Souleymane Sidibe8.06S. Sidibe
Shuryjano Cornecion6.98S. Cornecion
Samuel Dumbili6.27S. Dumbili
Jim Koller6.610J. Koller
Fabio Kluit6.911F. Kluit
Keziah Oteng Mensah5.99K. Oteng Mensah

Waalwijk Substitutes

27Finn Stokkers63'for J. van de Haar6.3
24Azzedine Dkidak63'for K. Varela6.7
11Yoram van der Veen64'for R. Fage7.2
31Luuk Vogels
16Mark Spenkelink
42Bart Kemmeren
3Sven van der Plas
55Nazjir Held
25Navajo Bakboord
18Rein van Hedel73'for J. Nap6.5
19Haye Van Gemert87'for J. de Wijs

Jong PSV U21 Substitutes

19Austyn Jones46'for K. Oteng-Mensah46'7.5
17Manuel Bahaty46'for S. Dumbili71'6.3
16Stijn Kuijsten
23Eskil Moedt
15Rivas Manuhutu
22Kyano Penso89'for E. Bassey
14Brent Jonkers
21Boet Mulders81'for J. Koller
18Jairo Beerens81'for F. Kluit

Match Stats

WaalwijkJong PSV U21
49%Ball Possession51%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots16
9Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal9
11Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box6
0Blocked Shots2
8Fouls11
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves7
458Total Passes472
372Passes Accurate378
81%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

WaalwijkWaalwijk
Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U21
1596Elo Rating 1509
0.66Attack 1.04
1.47Defense 1.67
0%Hit Rate 27%
15.9Shots per Game 10.0
4.1Shots on Target 4.3
7.4Corners per Game 4.3
1.5Cards per Game 0.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
šŸ“‰Home Underperforming
šŸ“‰Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

WaalwijkWaalwijk
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U21
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

WaalwijkWaalwijk1Wins Ā· 50%
Draws00%
Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211Wins Ā· 50%
4.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie24/04/2026
WaalwijkJong PSV U21
41
Eerste Divisie01/12/2025
Jong PSV U21Waalwijk
31

Recent Form

WaalwijkWaalwijk
2W6D2L
21/08/2026
Helmond SportWaalwijk
11
D
14/08/2026
WaalwijkDordrecht
22
D
07/08/2026
VitesseWaalwijk
11
D
02/08/2026
WaalwijkKifisia
30
W
29/07/2026
WaalwijkPatro Eisden
12
L
25/07/2026
WaalwijkBochum II
02
L
11/07/2026
Kozakken BoysWaalwijk
00
D
04/07/2026
WaalwijkJong AZ
11
D
30/06/2026
WaalwijkRot-weiss Oberhausen
21
W
09/05/2026
Willem IIWaalwijk
11
D
Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U21
4W1D5L
24/08/2026
Jong PSV U21FC OSS
10
W
19/08/2026
Sunderland U21Jong PSV U21
11
D
14/08/2026
Almere City FCJong PSV U21
31
L
10/08/2026
Jong PSV U21FC Volendam
32
W
18/07/2026
Jong PSV U21KRC Genk II
24
L
24/04/2026
WaalwijkJong PSV U21
41
L
17/04/2026
Jong PSV U21Jong Ajax
01
L
13/04/2026
Jong AZJong PSV U21
02
W
06/04/2026
Jong PSV U21VVV Venlo
10
W
03/04/2026
Willem IIJong PSV U21
10
L

Referee Profile

R. Sturm72 matches

2.66Cards per match
2.61Yellow cards per match
0.05Red cards per match
21.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. Sturm2.66
Other referees3.55

2.66 cards a match, 0.89 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.55).

Cards come from 44 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
Promotion

About the Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Waalwijk and Jong PSV U21 in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, Waalwijk (11th) and Jong PSV U21 (12th) are level on 16 points. League goal record so far: Waalwijk 21-17, Jong PSV U21 17-19. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Waalwijk and Jong PSV U21 have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.