Roda vs NAC Breda Prediction

Roda
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
NAC Breda
Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade·M. van den Kerkhof 28/08/2026
RodaRoda
2-2
Finished
NAC BredaNAC Breda

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel39%SurpriseMediumGap-0.8%
Roda Rest
7 days
NAC Breda Rest
6 days

Roda vs NAC Breda: the result in context

Roda and NAC Breda drew 2-2 in the Eerste Divisie on 28 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8. Referee M. van den Kerkhof averages 2.65 cards a game, 0.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%3.00
X
25%3.55
2
35%2.15
Double Chance
1X
64%1.65
X2
60%1.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.54
No
35%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 1.42 = 3.20
Over 1.5
82%1.20
Over 2.5
59%1.65
Over 3.5
37%2.57
Under 1.5
18%4.33
Under 2.5
41%2.16
Under 3.5
63%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.7 = 10
Over 8.5
66%1.34
Over 9.5
57%1.56
Over 10.5
43%1.93
Under 8.5
34%2.92
Under 9.5
43%2.21
Under 10.5
57%1.78
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.8 = 3.1
Over 3.5
27%-
Over 4.5
13%-
Under 3.5
73%-
Under 4.5
87%-

Match Events

33'M. TolAssist: M. Paulissen
40'M. SoumanoAssist: J. Van Hecke
53'M. VerripsFoul
54'A. van den Hurk(Penalty)
55'C. Brym INM. Seuntjens out
56'C. Valerius INB. Lucassen out
56'M. Soumano INP. Gladon out
60'J. Deom INJ. Sleegers out
60'M. Paulissen IND. Van den Buijs out
63'M. SeuntjensFoul
69'M. Balard INB. Ghalidi out
71'X. van den Berg INJ. Kruiver out
75'A. van den HurkFoul
79'P. Gladon
84'A. van den Hurk INF. Schenten out
84'J. Van Hecke INP. Reulen out
84'J. Mensah INB. Marsman out
85'P. GladonFoul
90+3'B. GhalidiFoul

Lineups

Roda
3-4-2-1Coach: Rob Penders
NAC Breda
4-4-2Coach: Carl Hoefkens
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.97
Justin Treichel6.51J. Treichel
Marco Tol7.53M. Tol
Dyon Dorenbosch6.711D. Dorenbosch
Lucas Beerten7.215L. Beerten
Xander van den Berg6.214X. van den Berg
Mitchell Paulissen7.26M. Paulissen
Jerome Deom6.624J. Deom
Koen Jansen6.35K. Jansen
Jeremiah Mensah6.98J. Mensah
Joshua Nisbet7.54J. Nisbet
Anthony van den HurkC7.79A. van den Hurk
Michael Verrips7.51M. Verrips
Cherrion Valerius6.325C. Valerius
Leo Greiml7.04L. Greiml
Jan Van den Bergh7.312J. Van den Bergh
Rio Hillen7.022R. Hillen
Jannes Van Hecke6.578J. Van Hecke
Fredrik Jensen7.08F. Jensen
Maximilien Balard6.66M. Balard
Mohamed NassohC7.210M. Nassoh
Charles-Andreas Brym6.77C. Brym
Moussa Soumano7.99M. Soumano

Roda Substitutes

33Dario Van Den Buijs60'for M. Paulissen6.2
26Joey Sleegers60'for J. Deom6.3
21Martin Stojcevic
28Jay-Jay van Damme
22Jay Kruiver71'for X. van den Berg6.3
25Bram Marsman84'for J. Mensah
27Keanu Van Mieghem
19Noah Crabu
32Nadir Maoujoudi
20Mokrane Bentoumi
10Fynn Schenten84'for A. van den Hurk

NAC Breda Substitutes

2Boyd Lucassen56'for C. Valerius6.7
20Mats Seuntjens55'for C. Brym63'6.3
19Paul Gladon56'for M. Soumano79'85'7.9
31Kostas Lamprou
23Roy Kortsmit
35Mylan Brouwers
32Rayan van Aarst
34Imran Nazih
11Raul Paula
26Pepijn Reulen84'for J. Van Hecke
55Brahim Ghalidi69'for M. Balard90+3'6.7

Match Stats

RodaNAC Breda
40%Ball Possession60%
4Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards4
13Total Shots19
10Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal9
9Shots Inside Box14
4Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots6
10Fouls13
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves7
359Total Passes541
301Passes Accurate476
84%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

RodaRoda
NAC BredaNAC Breda
1591Elo Rating 1566
1.74Attack 1.82
1.71Defense 2.12
64%Hit Rate 56%
15.1Shots per Game 13.8
5.9Shots on Target 5.1
8.3Corners per Game 4.8
1.1Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

âš½High Goal Expectancy3.2 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

RodaRoda
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NAC BredaNAC Breda
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

RodaRoda2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
NAC BredaNAC Breda4Wins · 40%
4.1Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie17/05/2024
RodaNAC Breda
05
Eredivisie13/05/2024
NAC BredaRoda
31
Eerste Divisie23/03/2024
RodaNAC Breda
31
Eerste Divisie09/09/2023
NAC BredaRoda
13
Eerste Divisie29/04/2023
NAC BredaRoda
42
Eerste Divisie26/08/2022
RodaNAC Breda
13
Eerste Divisie04/02/2022
NAC BredaRoda
22
Eerste Divisie10/09/2021
RodaNAC Breda
00
Eerste Divisie16/04/2021
RodaNAC Breda
33
Eerste Divisie08/01/2021
NAC BredaRoda
22

Recent Form

RodaRoda
4W2D4L
21/08/2026
DordrechtRoda
01
W
14/08/2026
RodaHelmond Sport
21
W
07/08/2026
EmmenRoda
10
L
01/08/2026
RodaAlemannia Aachen
24
L
17/07/2026
RodaBeerschot VA
10
W
10/07/2026
CambuurRoda
21
L
03/07/2026
VitesseRoda
11
D
30/06/2026
ChevremontRoda
010
W
01/05/2026
WaalwijkRoda
3111
L
28/04/2026
RodaWaalwijk
11
D
NAC BredaNAC Breda
5W1D4L
22/08/2026
NAC BredaJong Ajax
32
W
14/08/2026
NAC BredaVVV Venlo
02
L
07/08/2026
FC OSSNAC Breda
12
W
01/08/2026
BoltonNAC Breda
10
L
28/07/2026
NAC BredaOFI
32
W
25/07/2026
Lokeren-TemseNAC Breda
12
W
18/07/2026
NAC BredaExcelsior
13
L
15/07/2026
HoekNAC Breda
12
W
08/07/2026
NAC BredaFC Eindhoven
02
L
17/05/2026
AZ AlkmaarNAC Breda
33
D

Referee Profile

M. van den Kerkhof170 matches

2.65Cards per match
2.52Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
19.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. van den Kerkhof2.65
Other referees3.22

2.65 cards a match, 0.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.22).

Cards come from 168 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
Promotion

About the Roda vs NAC Breda forecast

The forecasts for this Eerste Divisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Roda and NAC Breda in the Eerste Divisie table

Roda and NAC Breda are close in the Eerste Divisie table, 5th and 6th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Roda 15-11, NAC Breda 23-20. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

NAC Breda have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.