Arbroath vs Ayr Utd Prediction
Scotland · Regular Season - 14
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Arbroath vs Ayr Utd: result, form and history
Arbroath beat Ayr Utd 4-1 in the Championship on 7 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Ayr Utd had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Arbroath.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee C. Graham averages 4.90 cards a game, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Arbroath
Ayr UtdGame State Tendencies
Arbroath- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Ayr Utd- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Arbroath1Wins · 10%5Wins · 50%Previous meetings
01/08/2026Ayr UtdArbroath11/04/2026Ayr UtdArbroath03/03/2026ArbroathAyr Utd15/11/2025Ayr UtdArbroath01/08/2025ArbroathAyr Utd
19/07/2025Ayr UtdArbroath13/04/2024Ayr UtdArbroath23/01/2024Ayr UtdArbroath13/01/2024ArbroathAyr Utd02/09/2023ArbroathAyr UtdRecent Form
ArbroathArbroath
Queen of the SouthArbroath
Raith Rovers
LivingstonArbroath
Inverness CTArbroathArbroath
Morton
PartickArbroathArbroath
Queen's Park
StenhousemuirArbroathRaith RoversArbroathArbroath
DunfermlineAyr Utd
Annan AthleticAyr UtdAyr UtdQueen's ParkAyr UtdPartickAyr UtdDunfermlineLivingstonAyr UtdAyr UtdStenhousemuirQueen's ParkAyr UtdAyr UtdInverness CTPartickAyr UtdAyr UtdMortonReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.90 cards a match, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.99).
Cards come from 39 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18:7 | +11 | 28 | WLWDW |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20:9 | +11 | 25 | DWLDW |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 15:7 | +8 | 25 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 23 | LLLLD |
| 5 | Livingston | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | +7 | 21 | DWWDL |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18:17 | +1 | 20 | DLWWL |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 15 | LWLDW |
| 8 | Arbroath | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 14 | WLLLL |
| 9 | Morton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 13 | WWWWL |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8:23 | -15 | 7 | LLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 14 | 18:7 | 28 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 20:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 14 | 15:7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 14 | 16:16 | 23 |
| 5 | Livingston | 14 | 19:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 14 | 18:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 13 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 14 | 11:23 | 14 |
| 9 | Morton | 13 | 16:23 | 13 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 14 | 8:23 | 7 |
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About the Arbroath vs Ayr Utd forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Arbroath and Ayr Utd in the Championship table
Ayr Utd and Arbroath are close in the Championship table, 7th and 8th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Arbroath 11-23, Ayr Utd 14-18. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Ayr Utd have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.